Dr. Sachin Reddy’s assessment of Lok Sabha 2019 Election

Dr. Sachin Reddy’s assessment of Lok Sabha 2019 Election
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Dr. Sachin Reddy’s assessment of Lok Sabha 2019 Election

With the polling for the 17th Lok Sabha election coming to an end, the fate of India has now been sealed in the EVM machines and on 23rd of May the King to the Throne of Delhi Sultanate will be decided. However several exit polls are already out with their own sets of number. We will try to analyse the assessment of well known Dr. Sachin Reddy. Dr. Sachin Reddy was one of the most accurate predictors of the 2018 Karnataka Assembly Election. His knowledge of each Assembly constitutency is quite remarkable.

UPPER NORTH INDIA

The Upper North India includes the states of Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and the union territory of Delhi. In 2014 BJP along with it allies had won 33 Lok Sabha seats. This part of India has total 45 seats. In 2019, BJP seems to win 30 seats in this part of India. Congress is expected to win 11 seats. BJP is losing 3 seats as per the analysis of Dr. Sachin Reddy.

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HEARTLAND + EAST

The heartland- Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Chhatishgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar- had played a very important role in bringing the BJP government at the centre in 2014. The party along with it allies had won 150 of 174 Lok Sabha seats. However, in the eastern state of West Bengal and Odisha which sends 63 MPs to lower house of Parliament, BJP could win only 3 in 2014 Lok Sabha election. This time BJP is expected to lose some seats in heartland while will make a major inroad in West Bengal and Odisha. As per the assessment to of Dr. Reddy BJP may win around 123 seats in heartland where as it may win about 21 seats in eastern states of West Bengal and Odisha. Congress on other hand may manage only 31 Lok Sabha seats out of total 234. TMC is expected to win 26 seats and BJD in Odisha may win 12 Lok Seats as per assessment.

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WEST INDIA

The states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Goa had been clean sweep for BJP in 2014. This part of country covers 101 Lok Seats. In 2014, BJP along with its ally had won 94 seats. As per the assessment of Dr. Sachin Reddy, BJP may lose few seats in this part of India as compared to that of 2014 tally. BJP and it ally stands to win 81 Lok Sabha seats in this in this region while Congress and its ally may win around 20 out of 101 Lok Sabha seats in this region.

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SOUTH INDIA

Except Karnataka, BJP has always struggled to make its presence felt in rest of the South Indian states. The states of Karnataka, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Tamil Nadu together sends 129 MPs to the Lok Sabha. As per the assessment of Dr. Sachin Reddy, BJP for the first time may be able to open its counter in Kerala by winning 1 out of 20 Lok Sabha seats of the state. In rest of the state NDA headed by BJP is expected to win 34 Lok Sabha seats. In Karnataka BJP is heading towards a landslide victory of 21 seats. Jagan Reddy’s YSR Congress is turning out to be biggest gainer. The party is expected to win 14 seats in Andhra Pradesh while Chandrababu Naidu’s TDP may settle with 11 seats, four less than the 2014 count. Congress and it ally may win 50 seats out of 129 Lok Sabha of seats. K Chandrashekhar Rao’s TRS seems to sweep Telangana winning 15 out of 17 seats. In Kerala, the left seems to be in losing a lot.

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NORTH EAST AND UNION TERRITORIES

The north-eastern states of Assam, Mizoram, Meghalaya, Tripura, Nagaland, Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim along with rest of the Union Territories carries a valuable 31 Lok Sabha seats. In this part of India, NDA headed by BJP seems to be the biggest gainer in the 2019 Lok Sabha election. The charisma of Himanta Biswa Sharma is helping BJP sweep the entire north-east. The NDA alliance is expected to win 25 Lok Sabha seats out of 31 while Congress is expected to win only 7 seats in this part of India.

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OUTCOME

After adding up all the numbers, BJP is heading towards becoming the single largest party. The party is expected to win 262 seats on its own while with its allies it is comfortably forming the government. The NDA alliance is heading towards winning 315 Lok Sabha seats. Congress on the other hand may better its 2014 tally by winning 71 seats. However, it may still fail to touch the 3-digit mark. The UPA alliance is expected to win 138 seats while others may win around 90. What will be the final result, will be clear on 23rd May, the Judgement Day however after analysing all the exit polls it is clear the Modi 2.0 is soon be reality.

TOPIC: Dr. Sachin Reddy’s assessment of Lok Sabha 2019 Election

READ: Exit Polls of India- Prediction

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