India to win in final showdown? India vs Australia Live
India vs Australia Live Prediction: The clash between defending Champions Australia and India promises to be mouthwatering at Oval Ground. The Super Sunday sees two teams coming off a high after winning the previous encounter. Australia came away with the victory, pulling it from jaws of defeats against West Indies while India put up a clinical show against South Africa at Southampton in their first match.
After analysis of team India and Australia, Kangaroos holds the aces when two of the most significant rival clash. Even the history between two nations, with Australia having won 8 out of 11 matches hold the psychological edge.
So what India does to change the course of history?
Let’s analyse the likely team combination-
Rohit Sharma, Shikhar Dhawan, Virat Kohli, KL Rahul, MS Dhoni, Kedar Jadhav, Hardik Pandya, Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammad Shami, Bhuvaneshwar Kumar, Kuldeep Yadav, Ravindra Jadeja, Yuzvendra Chahal
Aaron Finch, David Warner, Steven Smith, Usman Khawaja, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Mitch Starc, Pat Cummins, Nathan Counter Nile, Jason Behrendroff, Adam Zampa.
Likely match scenario
Now looking at the combination, Australia’s plan will be to tackle India’s top order with left arm bowler. Both Rohit and Shikhar had their issues against left-arm angle visible in a warm-up match against New Zealand Trent Boult.
After 2015 World Cup, in 67 innings Dhawan has got out to left-arm bowler 12 times while Rohit in 71 innings has fallen prey ten times
Against Kohli, teams give up once he gets past 20, but at the start of the innings, Virat plays away from the body and that’s been his pattern of dismissal. Australia started this in the 2017 home series the series which yielded 46 runs in 5 innings. Mitch Starc is the critical bowler here. However, surprisingly Counter Nile averages 21 against Virat and Rohit dismissing them three times a piece better than Starc (81) and Cummins(58.66)
Even Adam Zampa (38.20) has a better record against top -2 Indian batsmen having gotten Rohit out twice and Kohli three times, while all-rounder Marcus Stoinis (40.25) has decent returns against the duo.
Shikhar Dhawan technical deficiency might take a bit of time to get solved. However, the more time he spends at the crease and starts steadily, the better the chance for him to get a match-winning score for India. Maybe Australian encounter is too early to chalk out that weakness.
With India’s top order being vulnerable against Australia bowler and KL Rahul being untested against quality bowling lineup, the onus is on MS Dhoni to take the lead should top request fail to fire. Hence it’s imperative for India if they bat second to keep the check on Australia’s first innings score. With Australian passing spin test against India in India. The key bowler and perhaps the only way to stop Australia is Jasprit Bumrah.
Bumrah didn’t play the ODI series at home against the Kangaroos. India missed him at the start and at different stages during three matches especially in Mohali where Kangaroos chased 350.
If Bumrah makes an early breakthrough getting Finch, Warner or Khawaja then wrist spinners can attack its arch nemesis, Steven Smith. Though prolific scorer against India, Smith is untested against both spin duo and even Bumrah, unlike other team members, who faced them in 8 innings in a test back in Australia along with three ODI and then in India in two T-20 and 5 ODI.
Chahal was easy picking for Glenn Maxwell in T-20s. Moreover, Stoinis having to face the Chahal at the net while playing for RCB would know a thing or two about him. However, Kuldeep had his worst series back home against Australia. He might be dropped today for Jadeja. So Bumrah with his high speed and pinpoint accuracy becomes a significant factor here. His action makes anyone challenging to pick him at the start, and that’s a chance for India to make an inroad. Also, the new ball is doing a bit in the tournament in the first ten over with different gloss or different paint. Thus, Bumrah with his current form can do it for Men in Blue.
Weather and venue
Unfortunately, rain is likely to play spoilsport throughout tomorrow, and even India’s net session was called off because of that. The cloud cover is expected to increase with passing the time.
The pitch at the Oval has a spongy bounce. However, going by matches in World Cup it looks high scoring ground. Bangladesh scored 330 against South Africa and England also scored more than 300 in the very first encounter. There is assistance for spinners as well in the second half, so batting first looks like a wise option, but with conditions and rain likely to play spoilsport, the team could bowl first as well. It could be a tricky decision.
Australia starts as the favourite. However, if Jasprit Bumrah has a good game and Rohit, Virat and Dhoni followup with excellent performance then its India’s game. Thus India vs Australia live match will be an interesting one.
For Australia, Warner, Khawaja, Starc and Counter Nile could win the game. You can be assured Adam Zampa, Pat Cummins will be a significant influence if Australia wins.
It will be a learning curve for both teams to get combinations right.Perhaps team which wins today might lose in knockouts if a confrontation happens again.