Uttar Pradesh Election: Prediction Market Update
A competitive election is underway in Uttar Pradesh
Predictors are predicting a minimum 21 seat loss for NDA in Uttar Pradesh with big demand for NDA below 50 Seats
Prices are up 15% from a month ago and have remained stable
BSP > 15 seats also looks quite healthy with 15% increase over the last one month
The bias for BJP appears to be in the 25 to 36 seats range .
But there is support for BJP in the 37 to 48 range as well
A minority also believe that BJP could win more than 50 Seats
SP on the other hand, appears to be struggling to find demand for > 22 seats.
Looking at the prediction market data it appears BJP is looking at 35 to 40 seats range in Uttar Pradesh while SP and BSP appear to be in the 15-20 seats range
Pic Courtesy: The Quint