Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction and Statistical Analysis. Arsenal 2, Spurs 1

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction and Statistical Analysis. Arsenal 2, Spurs 1

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction.

When is Arsenal most likely to score a goal? Arsenal is most likely to score in the first 30 minutes of the second half given the ultra-defensive approach of the Spurs. It could change tomorrow.

When is Tottenham most likely to score a goal? Tottenham Hotspur has dominated in the second half of the EPL matches. 61.1% of their goals have come in the last 45 minutes.

Who is most likely to score for Arsenal? Gabriel Jesus has looked in good touch this season. He will look to add more goals to his name in the upcoming match.

Who is most likely to score for Tottenham? Harry Kane has been fantastic so far and the Spurs will expect him to score in the next match as well.

CrowdWisdomLIVE Prediction: Arsenal 2 Tottenham 1

All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.

On Saturday, 1st October, Arsenal is set to host Tottenham Hotspur at the Emirates Stadium for their upcoming EPL game. The Gunners have dominated the current season with 6 wins out of the first 7 matches. Tottenham will aim for their third straight win and consolidate their position in the league rankings. Let us evaluate the forecasts in detail.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction: Goals Scored and Conceded


Arsenal has been in outstanding form this season. They have had just one defeat so far and sitting at the top of the points table they have scored 17 goals this season and have conceded only 7 goals.

In their last 5 matches, Arsenal has scored 10 goals with 6 coming in the second half and 4 coming in the first half.

They have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches. 4 of the 6 goals were scored in the second half with 3 being scored between 61st to 75th minute of the match.


Tottenham is just 1 point below Arsenal and is yet to lose a match this season. They have won 5 and have drawn the rest 2 matches as of now.

In their last 5 matches, they have scored 11 goals with 7 being scored in the 2nd half. Tottenham has mostly scored in the last 15 minutes of the match.

Defensively they have been outstanding and have conceded only 6 goals in their last 5 matches. 4 of the 6 goals came in the 2nd half while 2 have been scored in the first half.

YouTube video

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction: Home and Away Stats (Last 3 EPL games)

Arsenal has a high goal-per-match average, particularly at home while Tottenham tends to be very defensive in away matches having NOT LOST a single game so far. But the team is particularly vulnerable after the first 30 minutes of the game. Interestingly out of 8 Goals at home, Arsenal has scored just 1 Goal in the first 30 minutes.

Goals Scored Per Match (Home): 2.7
Goals Conceded Per Match (Home): 1.3

Tottenham has scored in every away game and at least 2 in 2 games. Arsenal on the other hand has conceded at least one goal in every home game. In fact, Arsenal has conceded ALL home goals in the first 30 minutes of the second half. Tottenham has also scored most of their Goals in the second half in away games.

Goals Scored Per Match (Away): 1.7
Goals Conceded Per Match (Away): 1.0

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction: Present Form Analysis

This season playing at home, Arsenal has:

  • Scored 2.66 goals per match.
  • Scored in each game.
  • No clean sheet.
  • Conceded 1.33 goals per match.

This season playing away, Tottenham has:

  • Scored 1.67 goal per match.
  • Scored in each game.
  • One clean sheet.
  • Conceded one goal per match.

Follow other games this weekend

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction: Forwards Statistics

  • The star Brazilian striker Gabriel Jesus leads the attack for the Gunners. Jesus has scored 4 goals this season along with 3 assists and 3 big chances created. He also got 53% dribbling success.
  • Tottenham’s forward attack is spearheaded by the English football captain Harry Kane. Kane is having another impressive season as he has scored 6 goals so far, playing at an average of 3.4 shots per game.

Top Scorers for Arsenal in Last Season:

  • Bukayo Saka (11 goals)
  • Emile Smith Rowe (10 goals)
  • Martin Odegaard (7 goals)

Top Scorers for Tottenham Hotspur in Last Season:

  • Heung-min Son (23 goals)
  • Harry Kane (17 goals)
  • Dejan Kulusevki (5 goals)

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Some Key Insights


  • Arsenal has scored over 1.5 goals per match in all the games at home.
  • Gunners have scored 67% of the time in both halves at home.
  • Gunners have conceded a goal every 68 minutes at home.
  • They score a goal every three shots on Target.


  • Tottenham has scored over 0.5 goals per match in all the Away games.
  • Tottenham has scored 33% of the goals in both halves.
  • Tottenham have conceded a goal every 90 minutes in Away games.
  • They score a goal every 2.7 shots on target.

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Yellow Card Statistics


Gabriel Jesus has the most yellow cards to his name. He has 4 yellow cards. He is followed by Ben White and Granit Xhaka. Both have been carded twice.


Harry Kane, Ivan Perisic, and Richarlison, all three have been carded twice this season.

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Defence Statistics


Gabriel Magalhaes is a strong pillar in the defence for the Hammers. Magalhaes has played the current season at an average of 3.3 clearances per game with 78% success in the ground duels. He also scored 1 goal.

William Saliba is another key defender who has maintained an average of 3.1 clearances per game this season along with 75% dribbling success.

Benjamin White has had 1.4 clearances per game and has 2 tackles per game.


Davinson Sanchez and Cristian Romero are the leading defenders for the Spurs. Sanchez is playing at an average of 4.8 clearances per match with 79% success in the ground duels.

Romero’s clearance average stands at 2.8 per game. He won 78% of the aerial duels. He has 0.6 tackles per game.

Eric Dier has 2.3 clearances per game and 0.6 tackles per game.

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Goalkeeper Stats

Arsenal’s nets is guarded by Aaron Ramsdale. He has been outstanding so far with 65% saves. He has so far conceded only 1 goal per game and has 3 clean sheets.

Hugo Lloris has been excellent with his performance so far with a total of 70% saves so far. He has conceded 1 goal per game and has 2 clean sheets.

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Team Stats (All Competitions: 2022/2023)


Matches: 8
Goals Per Game: 2.3
Goals Conceded Per Game: 1.0
Clean Sheets: 3


Matches: 9
Goals Per Game: 2.2
Goals Conceded Per Game: 1.0
Clean Sheets: 3

YouTube video

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspurs Prediction: Head to Head Statistics

Matches: 205 | Arsenal: 84 | Draw: 54 | Tottenham: 67

Recent 5 Meetings: Arsenal: 2 | Draw: 0 | Tottenham: 3

Last Meeting: Tottenham Hotspur defeated Arsenal with a score of 3-0 in a Premier League fixture on 12 May 2022.

This Fixture by the Numbers:

In the last five matches against Spurs, Arsenal has:

  • Scored 1.2 goals per match.
  • Failed to score twice.
  • No clean sheet.
  • Scored 2.33 goals per match in last three home games.

In the last five matches against Arsenal, Spurs has:

  • Scored 1.8 goals per match.
  • Scored in every match.
  • Two clean sheet.
  • Scored 1.3 goals in last three away games.

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Winning Odds


Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Predicted Lineup

Arsenal (4-2-3-1): Ramsdale; Tierney, Gabriel, Saliba, White; Xhaka, Thomas; Martinelli, Vieira, Saka; Jesus

Tottenham (3-4-2-1): Lloris; Sanchez, Dier, Lenglet; Perisic, Hojbjerg, Bentancur, Sessegnon; Kulusevski, Richarlison/Son; Kane

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Final Analysis and Prediction

The statistics predict a boring first half before an action-packed second half. Arsenal will likely prevail 2 Goals to 1 on the basis of given their offensive capabilities and the Spurs’ defensive weakness in the later part of the game.

Also Read Southampton vs Everton Prediction



Sujoy has substantial experience in producing sports articles with a deep insight into data and metrics of the games to help the readers get a better idea of the statistics and predict the outcomes.