Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction: Statistical Analysis of Goals, Odds and Winner

Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction: Statistical Analysis of Goals, Odds and Winner
Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction

When is Aston Villa most likely to score a goal? Aston Villa has struggled to score this season. 40% of their goals have come in the time frame of 60-75 minutes.

When is Southampton most likely to score a goal? Southampton has also not been very good at attacking in the current EPL season. The Saints have scored 80% of the goals in the second half.

Who is most likely to score for Aston Villa? Ollie Watkins hasn’t looked at his best as of now. However, Villa will hope that he scores in the upcoming match.

Who is most likely to score for Southampton? Che Adams and James Ward-Prowse have a higher probability to score than all other players.

CrowdWisdom360 Prediction: Aston Villa 2 Southampton 1
All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the final may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.

Aston Villa has a bright chance to secure 3 points and improve their position on the points table when they host Southampton for the next EPL fixture on Friday, 16 September. Steven Gerrard’s men have failed to make a good start to the new season of the EPL as they are struggling at the 17th position with only 1 win from the first 6 matches. Southampton, on the other hand, also needs to perform consistently well in the upcoming fixtures to get into the top 10. The Saints will look to trouble the hosts at the Villa Park Stadium on Friday.

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Goals Scored and Conceded

Aston Villa

Goals ScoredGoals Conceded
First 15 minutes11
16 to 30 minutes02
31 to 45 minutes10
46 to 60 minutes02
61 to 75 minutes42
76 to 90 minutes11
First Half23
Second Half55
Total (Last 5 Matches)78

Southampton

Goals ScoredGoals Conceded
First 15 minutes00
16 to 30 minutes21
31 to 45 minutes11
46 to 60 minutes12
61 to 75 minutes10
76 to 90 minutes20
First Half32
Second Half42
Total (Last 5 Matches)74
YouTube video

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Forwards Statistics

The English pair of Ollie Watkins and Danny Ings lead the forward attack for Aston Villa. Watkins is yet to bring out his best this season. In the EPL 2021-22, he added 11 goals to his name with 2 assists and 4 big chances created. Ings has scored 1 goal this season. He also got a dribbling success of 83%.

The Scottish professional footballer Che Adams has played well so far as he has scored 2 goals in the current season. He has also maintained an average of 1.6 key passes per game. Adam Armstrong is another important striker for the Saints. Armstrong has scored once so far. He also assisted in 1 goal and created 1 big chance for his team.

Top Scorers for Aston Villa in Last Season:

  • Ollie Watkins (11 goals)
  • Danny Ings (7 goals)
  • Jacob Ramsey (6 goals)

Top Scorers for Southampton in Last Season:

  • James Ward-Prowse (10 goals)
  • Che Adams (7 goals)
  • Armando Broja (6 goals)
GoalsShots On Target Per Game
Aston Villa
Ollie Watkins10.5
Danny Ings10.6
Leon Bailey10.3
Southampton
Che Adams20.8
Adam Armstrong10.5
Sekou Mara00.5

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Yellow Card Statistics

  • Aston Villa:
Yellow Cards
Danny Ings2
Jacob Ramsey2
John McGinn2
  • Southampton:
Yellow Cards
Mohammed Salisu2
Armel Bella-Kotchap1
Ibrahima Diallo1

Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction: Midfield Statistics

Passing AccuracyKey Passes Per Game
Aston Villa
Emiliano Buendia82%0.8
John McGinn83%0.3
Douglas Luiz 87%0.6
Southampton
James Ward-Prowse81%2.5
Romeo Lavia88%0.4
Oriol Romeu81%1.0

Aston Villa’s midfield department consists of players like Emiliano Buendia and John McGinn. Buendia has played the current at a passing accuracy of 82% and 67% dribbling success. McGinn’s Passing accuracy stands at 83%. He also won 80% of the aerial duels.

James Ward-Prowse is the most dependable midfielder for the Saints. He was the top goal-scorer for Southampton in the last season. This year, he has scored 1 goal so far. Ward-Prowse is also having an average of 1.3 interceptions per match. Romeo Lavia is another key midfielder who is playing at an average of 2 interceptions per match with 59% success in the ground duels.

Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction: Defence Statistics

Clearances Per GameTackles Per Game
Aston Villa
Ashley Young2.02.0
Calum Chambers0.51.5
Tyrone Mings5.30.3
Southampton
Armel Bella-Kotchap5.01.2
Mohammed Salisu3.72.7
Romain Perraud0.81.8

Ashley Young has been the leader in the defence panel for Villa. Young is playing the current EPL season at an average of 2 clearances per match along with 86% success in the total duels. Calum Chambers is also an important defender. Chambers is having an average of 1.25 tackles per match this season. He has played with a passing accuracy of 89%.

Armel Bella-Kotchap and Mohammed Salisu are the reliable defenders for the Saints. Bella-Kothap has played at a good average of 5 clearances per game with 72% success in the ground duels. He also assisted in a goal. Salisu’s clearance average stands at 3.7. He got a dribbling success of 67%.

Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction: Goalkeeper Stats

Emiliano Martinez (Aston Villa)Gavin Bazunu (Southampton)
Saves Per Game3.5 (68%)2.5 (60%)
Clean Sheet00

The Villa’s goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez has given a performance so far. He is playing at an average of 3.5 saves per game with a 68% save success rate.

Gavin Bazunu has also given a somewhat similar goalkeeping performance for the Saints. He has maintained an average of 2.5 saves per match with a 60% save success rate.

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Team Stats (All Competitions)

StatsAston VillaSouthampton
Matches1312
Goals per game1.691.25
Goals conceding per game1.151.33
Clean Sheets33
Ball Possesion %44.33%32.78%

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Head-to-Head Statistics

Matches: 82 | Aston Villa: 30 | Draw: 23 | Southampton: 29

Recent 5 Meetings: Aston Villa: 2 | Draw: 0 | Southampton: 3

Last Meeting: Aston Villa defeated Southampton with a score of 4-0 in a Premier League fixture on 5 March 2022.

Key Highlights: Fixture by the Numbers

In the last five matches against Southampton, Aston Villa has:

  • Scored 1.4 goals per match.
  • Two clean sheets.
  • Scored 1.8 goals at Villa park in the last five matches against Southampton

In the last five matches against Villa, Southampton has:

  • Scored 1.4 goals per match.
  • Two clean sheets.
  • Scored 2.4 goals at Villa park in the last five matches against Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Comparative Analysis

In the Premier League this season, Playing at Home Villa has:

  • Scored Three goals in three matches at one goal per match.
  • Conceded four goals at 1.33 goals per match.
  • No clean sheet.

In the Premier League this season, Playing away Southampton has:

  • Scored two goals in three matches at 0.66 goals per match.
  • Conceded 6 goals at 2 goals per match.
  • No Clean sheet.

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Winning Odds

Aston VillaSouthampton
FcTables2.053.65
SofaScore1.953.75
BettingExpert2.053.75

Aston Villa vs Southampton betting tips

Second Half Winner: Aston Villa

  • Villa has scored 75% of their goals in the second half with Ollie Watkins Covering 60% of the distance.

Anytime Goal Scorer: Che Adams

  • Che Adams has the highest shot Accuracy for a player in this match and takes most shots for Southampton.

*All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the final may not necessarily replicate the recent performance

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Predicted Lineup

Aston Villa (4-3-2-1): Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne; Luiz, Kamara, McGinn; Bailey, Ramsey; Watkins

Southampton (4-2-3-1): Bazunu; Perraud, Salisu, Bella-Kotchap, Walker-Peters; Ward-Prowse, Diallo; Armstrong, Aribo, Elyounoussi; Adams

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction: Final Analysis and Prediction

Aston Villa will aim for a convincing home win to bring their campaign back on track. They ended their last match in a 1-1 draw with the defending champions, Man City. A more comprehensive performance will be expected from the attackers. On the other hand, Southampton failed to capitalize on the momentum after defeating Chelsea as they lost the very next match to the Wolves. It will be a mighty challenge for the Saints to avoid another loss on Friday. As per the predictions and betting platforms, Aston Villa has a higher probability to win this fixture.

Read all our EPL coverage here

Sujoy

Sujoy

Sujoy has substantial experience in producing sports articles with a deep insight into data and metrics of the games to help the readers get a better idea of the statistics and predict the outcomes.