Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Statistical Analysis of Goals, Odds and Winner

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Statistical Analysis of Goals, Odds and Winner
Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

When is Chelsea most likely to score a goal? Chelsea is expected to take an early lead by scoring in the first half. The Blues have scored 33.3% of their goals in the time frame of 15-30 minutes.

When is Liverpool most likely to score a goal?  Liverpool is likely to score in the second half. Reds 58% of the goals has come in the second half. This increases against strong teams, against whom the Reds have scored 80% of the goals in the second half.

Who is most likely to score for Chelsea? Raheem Sterling is expected to score for Chelsea in the upcoming match.

Who is most likely to score for Liverpool? Luis Diaz has shown great form in the last five matches and his shooting accuracy is also the best at the current moment

Who is likely to win the match? Chelsea: 1 Liverpool: 1

All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the final may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.

Stamford Bridge will host Liverpool on matchday 8. Chelsea is currently 6th in the standings. Followed by the Reds. Both teams have had a difficult start to their Premier League campaigns and are unexpectedly outside the top 3. With Arsenal and City going strong, this clash is very important for both sides if they want a chance to win the Premier League title.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Goals Scored and Conceded


Goals ScoredGoals Conceded
First 15 minutes1
16 to 30 minutes11
31 to 45 minutes3
46 to 60 minutes1
61 to 75 minutes13
76 to 90 minutes2
First Half15
Second Half43
Total (Last 5 Matches)58


Goals ScoredGoals Conceded
First 15 minutes21
16 to 30 minutes11
31 to 45 minutes23
46 to 60 minutes2
61 to 75 minutes22
76 to 90 minutes3
First Half55
Second Half72
Total (Last 5 Games)127
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Forwards Statistics


  • Raheem Sterling has scored 3 goals in the six outings for Chelsea with a Shot accuracy of 36%. The main problem for Chelsea is lack of diversified goal scorers which has dampened their chances in some fixtures.
  • The main problem for Chelsea is the form of Mason Mount; The Attacking Midfielder scored the highest goals for Chelsea in the last season.


  • Mohammad Salah has scored 2 goals in six outings so far in the Premier League. The Egyptian is playing with an accuracy of 33.33%.
  • Luis Diaz has scored 2 goals in Six outings so far in the Premier League and was the Sole scorer for Liverpool against Napoli. The player has taken the Least shots to score goals. He has a Shot accuracy of 45.5% this season.

Top Scorers for Chelsea in Last Season:

  • Mason Mount (11 goals)
  • Kai Havertz (8 goals)
  • Romelu Lukaku (8 goals)

Top Scorers for Liverpool in Last Season:

  • Muhamed Salah (23 goals)
  • Sadio Mane (16 goals)
  • Diogo Jota (15 goals
Shots per GoalsGoals per Match
Raheem Sterling1.80.50
Ben Chilwell0.20.25
Luis Diaz2.50.50
Mohammad Salah3.70.39
Roberto Firmino2.70.50

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Yellow Card Statistics

  • Chelsea:
Yellow Cards per match
Kai Havertz0.60
Reece James0.50
Marc Cucurella0.50
  • Liverpool:
Yellow Cards per match
Luis Diaz0.16

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Defence Statistics

  • Thiago Silva is a highly experienced defender for Chelsea. The 27-year-old Brazilian footballer has maintained an average of 3.3 clearances per game this season, with 83% success in the ground duels. Kalidou Koulibaly is another important defender who is having an average of 2 clearances per match as of now. His interception average is also looking good at 1.4 per match.
  • Liverpool has not been great Defensively this season. They have conceded 0.40 goals more than previous season up to this point. Virgil Van Dijk is the only defender in their side who has more than three clearances. The main problem lies in Interception where Liverpool is below par with nine Interception per match.
Clearances Per GameTackles Per Game
Van Dijk3.21
Arnold 0.21.2

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Goal Keeper Stats

Goals Conceded (per Game) 1.331.40
Clean Sheet12

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Stats (All Competitions: 2022/2023)

Goals per game1.402.25
Goals conceding per game1.601.37
Clean Sheets12
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Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Head to Head Statistics

Matches: 212 | Chelsea: 65 | Draw: 43 | Liverpool: 84

Recent 5 Meetings: Chelsea: 1 | Draw: 2 | Liverpool: 2

Last Meeting: Liverpool defeated Chelsea in an F.A cup final on Penalties.

Key Highlights: This Fixture

In the last five Matches against Liverpool, Chelsea has:

  • Scored 0.8 goals per match.
  • three clean sheets.
  • Scored 0.8 goals in the last five fixtures at Stamford Bridge.

In the last five matches against Chelsea, Liverpool has:

  • Scored 0.6 goals per match.
  • two clean sheets.
  • Scored 1 goals per match in the last five fixtures at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Present Form Comparative Analysis

In the Premier League this season, playing at home, Chelsea has:

  • Scored 2 goals per match.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Conceded 1.33 goals per match.

In the Premier League this season, playing away, Liverpool has:

  • Scored 1 goal per match.
  • One clean sheet.
  • Conceded 1.33 goals per match.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Odds


Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Predicted Lineup

Chelsea (3-1-4-2): Mendy; Fofana, Silva, Koulibaly; Loftus-Cheek; James, Cucurella, Gallagher, Kovacic; Pullisic, Sterling

Liverpool (4-3-3): Alisson;  Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, Van Dijk, Robertson;  Fabinho, Elliott, Arthur; Diaz, Firmino, Salah

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Tactical Analysis

  • When Liverpool FC attack, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson play slightly higher up the field in the 4-3-3 formation. It’s because they are now playing like a traditional winger, which is an inverted full-back.
  • Trent’s role as an inverted right back assists Mo Salah in most attacks. To move the ball into an attack, inverted full-backs play in a triangle with the midfielder and winger. In the inverted left back role, Robertson plays closely with Luis Diaz to attack from the left flank.
  • Under Thomas Tuchel, Chelsea were relatively possession-based but none of their central defenders were particularly progressive.
  • The central defenders did not typically take responsibility for moving the ball through the thirds.
  • Chelsea’s main ball progressor tended to be Italian international midfielder Jorginho.
  • Graham Potter, however, would likely change this. A tactical standpoint, Potter is very flexible, but he tends to prefer the back three system over the back four.
  • At Chelsea, he would already have the players needed to make this system a success

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Strengths and Weakness

Chelsea: Strengths

  • Aerial Duels
  • Stealing the ball from the Opposition
  • Creating long shots opportunities.

Chelsea: Weakness

  • Defending Set pieces.
  • Offside Trap

Liverpool: Strengths

  • Attacking Set Pieces
  • Attack from the Wingers
  • Finishing scoring chances

Liverpool: Weakness

  • Defending through balls
  • Aerial duels
  • Defending against good Dribblers

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Final Analysis and Prediction

This fixture is expected to be a Fiery contest. Chelsea’s top hierarchy fresh from sacking Tuchel would be expecting a comeback under Graham Potter. Conversely, Jurgen Klopp would be under pressure to deliver after a horrific start this season.


Both teams have quality in their ranks and a similar season so far. Chelsea lacks quality in their attacking with only Raheem Sterling looking in the good form. Liverpool’s attack is very Potent; However, they have their own set of problems in the Midfield. two sides have played 40% of their last five matches in a draw. With the kind of form both sides have shown; the match might be heading towards a draw.

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