Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction

When is Newcastle more Likely to score? Newcastle is likely to score its goal in the second half

When is Chelsea most likely to score? Chelsea is also expected to score in the second half.

Who is most likely to score for Newcastle? Callum Wilson has looked in ominous touch this season and he is likely to score in this fixture.

Who is most likely to score for Chelsea? Aubamayeng is most likely to score for Chelsea in this match.

Crowdwisdom360 Prediction for this match: Newcastle: 2, Chelsea: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.

Old Rivalry beckons us at St James Park as Chelsea takes on resurgent Newcastle in a Mouthwatering Clash. The tables have turned since both sides met last season.

Newcastle enters this match on the back of a splendid season so far and are unsurprisingly sitting third on the table. Chelsea Conversely has been on and off this season and is currently outside the Top 5.

It would be all to play for as both sides take the field on 12th November.

Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: Goals Analysis

  • Newcastle has been in form both home and away in the preceding five matches. If we consider the home stats, Newcastle has not lost a single game in the previous five matches. Furthermore, Newcastle has scored 3 or more goals in the last three matches. The overall goal aggregate for the last 5 home matches is 11-2.
  • As far as away form is concerned, it has been excellent. The last loss was in September. The away aggregate for the Magpies is 10-5 for the last five matches.
  • Considering goal distribution, Newcastle has been more dominant in the second half with its average goal coming around 54-58 minutes in home games. The away games have seen Newcastle more attacking in the first half with its average goal coming in the First half.
  • Chelsea’s home and away form has been quite contrasting and goal-scoring has not been that consistent either. Chelsea’s home aggregate for the last five matches is 8-4. The goal-scoring has dipped in the last two home games with only one goal in two matches.
  • Chelsea’s away record has been negative with an aggregate of 6-7 in the last five matches. Here too the last two games have seen Chelsea struggle to score goals with only one goal in two fixtures.
  • The away goal for Chelsea came in the second half around 50-58 minutes.
  • considering the aforementioned data we can conclude that, we are in for a Power-Packed second half with both teams likely to score in it.
YouTube video

Newcastle Chelsea Prediction: Form (Last 5 Premier League Matches)

In the last five home matches in the Premier League, Newcastle has:

  • Scored 2,2 goals per match.
  • Conceded 0.4 goals per match.
  • Failed to score once.
  • Three clean sheets.

In the last five away games, Chelsea has:

  • Scored 1.2 goals per match.
  • Conceded 1.4 goals per match.
  • Failed to score once.
  • Two clean sheets.

Forwards Statistics


  • Callum Wilson has played 10 games, taken 24 shots overall with 11 of them finding the back of the net, and scored 6 goals. With a pass completion percentage of 72% and an average of 10 passes per game, Callum Wilson also averages 2 assists.
  • Miguel Almirón has played 14 games, taken 21 shots overall with 12 of them finding the back of the net, and scored 8 goals. Miguel Almirón averages 30 passes each game, completing them 85% of the time.


  • Kai Havertz has played in 12 games, taken 19 shots overall with 11 of them finding the back of the net, and scored 3 goals. Kai Havertz averages 24 passes per game, completing them 81% of the time.
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has participated in 6 games, taken 12 shots overall with 8 of them finding the back of the net. He has also scored 2 goals. With an average of 17 passes per game and an 81% pass completion rate, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang also averages 2 assists.

Newcastle v Chelsea Prediction: Defensive Analysis

Newcastle’s defence has been the best among top teams. Magpies have conceded 0.70 goals fewer than Premier League. If we consider another defensive facet, the Magpies have been good there as well with below-average shots conceded.

Nick Pope has also been brilliant for them with a 13% more save percentage than the Premier League average.

Key Defenders

  • 62 aerial duels and 14 tackles have been won by Schar. He added a total of 13 blocks on top of that.
  • 44 aerial duels and 43 tackles have been won by Trippier. He also made a total of 10 blocks on top of that.

Compared to the EPL average, Chelsea has played better defense. The Blues allow 0.25 fewer goals per game than other teams, but more than the top 5 clubs in the Premier League. Chelsea’s primary issue is that, out of the top 5 clubs, it allows the most shots on goal. The Chelsea defence features a standout goalie who outperforms most opponents.

Key Defenders

  • Chalobah has won 20 tackles and 27 aerial battles. He added two blocks on top of that.
  • 27 aerial duels and 23 tackles have been won by Koulibaly. He made a total of 4 blocks on top of that.

Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: Head-to-Head Statistics

Matches: 181 | Chelsea: 78 | Draw: 39 | Newcastle: 54

Recent 5 Meetings: Chelsea: 4 | Draw: | Newcastle: 1

Last Meeting: Chelsea defeated Newcastle 1-0

Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: Head-to-Head: Key Highlights

Chelsea Playing against Newcastle has:

  • Scored 1.6 goals per match.
  • 4 Clean sheets.

Newcastle playing against Chelsea has:

  • Scored 0.2 goals per match.
  • One clean sheet.

Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction and Odds

Newcastle UnitedCrystal Palace

Read our other EPL Prediction and Odds

Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: Team News

However, it’s unlikely that Matt Ritchie and Paul Dummett will make it back from calf issues in time. Alexander Isak (thigh) and Emil Krafth (knee) are out of the running due to injuries, although backup goalkeeper Karl Darlow is nearing the end of a protracted ankle injury.
A foot issue has cost Kepa Arrizabalaga his position as Chelsea’s starting goalkeeper. Midweek saw Denis Zakaria score on his club debut, although he had to leave the game due to a contact injury.

The likelihood of getting Mateo Kovacic is not as certain. The midfielder missed Wednesday’s game due to a calf injury but could play this weekend.

Newcastle Chelsea Prediction: Predicted Line up

Newcastle Probable 11: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn; Longstaff, Guimaraes, Willock; Almiron, Wilson, Murphy.

Chelsea Probable 11: Mendy; Azpilicueta, Chalobah, Silva, Cucurella; Loftus-Cheek, Jorginho; Pulisic, Mount, Sterling; Aubameyang.

YouTube video

Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction: Final Analysis

Given the performances of both teams, it is anticipated that the game will be interesting. Although Chelsea leads on head-to-head, the Magpies have the advantage in form.
Our prediction is that Newcastle will win this game and has a chance to change head-to-head.