Man City vs Man United Prediction and Statistical Analysis: Man City 2, Man Utd 1

Man City vs Man United Prediction and Statistical Analysis: Man City 2, Man Utd 1

Man City vs Man United Prediction.

When is Man City most likely to score a goal? Man City will score the first goal in the first half of the match.

When is Man United most likely to score a goal? There have not been too many goals scored by United this season. However, 62.5% of their goals have come in the second half.

Who is most likely to score for Man City? Haaland has scored 55% of City’s goals this season and is most likely to score in this game.

Who is most likely to score for United? Jadon Sancho has better accuracy than Rashford which renders him more likely to score for United.

Who is likely to win the match? Man City: 2 Man United: 1

All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.


Man City will host Man United at Etihad Stadium on 2 October on Matchday 9. Man City is currently ranked second in the Standings. In contrast, United is placed 5th in the Premier League.

Man City vs Man United Prediction: Statistical analysis of Goals

Man United has taken a defensive approach over the last few matches conceding 4 goals in 4 matches. They conceded 6 Goals in the first 2 matches of the season. In the last 2 away matches, Man Utd did not concede a single goal though against admittedly easier opposition. Against top teams, Man United has had a mixed record beating Arsenal and Liverpool but was beaten by 4th placed Brighton 1-2.

Given the power of Man City’s attack unit, Man Utd is likely to concede more than 1 Goal.

Man City on the other hand has been pounding goals in most games with a minimum of 2 Goals in 6 out of 7 matches. That said, Man City has not yet been tested by any of the top 6 teams in the table. In the Champions League, against a strong Dortmund line-up, City managed to eke out a 2-1 victory.

Man City could score in both halves.

Man CityMan Utd
15 minutes2-00-1
30 minutes5-02-3
First Half6-04-4
60 Minutes9-25-5
75 Minutes12-27-5
90 Minutes16-27-6

  • Man City Home in EPL 2023 Aggregate Goals: 14-2
  • Man Utd Away in EPL 2023 Aggregate Goals: 2-4

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Man City vs Man United Prediction: present Form Analysis

In the last five matches at home, Man City has:

  • Scored 4.4 goals per match.
  • Two clean sheets.
  • Scored in each game.
  • Conceded 0.8 goals per match.

In the last five away matches, Man United has:

  • Scored 0.8 goals per match.
  • Three clean sheets.
  • Failed to score twice.
  • Conceded one goal per match.

Forwards Statistics

Goals per Match
Man City
Haaland1.54
Foden0.32
Gundogan0.27
Man United
Rashford0.52
Sancho0.51
Antony0.42

Man City:

  • Haaland has scored 14 goals in ten matches for Man City this season at 1.54 goal per match. The Striker has taken most shots for the Citizens and has an accuracy of 51.2%.
  • Phil Foden has scored 3 goals with a Shooting accuracy of 64.6%.

Man United:

  • Marcus Rashford has taken 15 shots so far averaging 1.67 shots per match. The Striker has scored 3 goals with a shooting accuracy of 26.2%.
  • Jadon Sancho has scored 3 goals with a shooting accuracy of 66.4%.

Top Scorers for Man City in Last Season:

  • Kevin De Bruyne (15 goals)
  • Raheem Sterling (13 goals)
  • Riyad Mahrez (11 goals)

Top Scorers for United in Last Season:

  • Cristiano Ronaldo: 18
  • Bruno Fernandes: 10
  • M greenwood: 5

Quick Stats

Man City

  • Man City has a 25% shot conversion rate. At home, the city takes more than 8 shots on goal and scores once every 1.79 attempts.
  • The city has never lost second half in a Home fixture.

Man United

  • Man United has a poor shot conversion rate in away fixtures. United scores every 19 shots in away fixtures.
  • United has only once won the second half.

Man City vs Man United Prediction: Yellow Card Statistics

  • Man City:
Yellow Cards per match
Cancelo0.28
Rodri0.14
Foden0.14
  • Man United:
Yellow Cards per match
Mc Tominay0.66
Dalot0.50
Martinez0.40

Man City vs Man United Prediction: Defence Statistics

  • The Citizens rely on Joao Cancelo and Ruben Dias in the defence department. This season, Cancelo has played at 1.9 tackles per game on average, winning 62% of the aerial duels. Dias continues to maintain a 2.0 clearing average every game. His passing efficiency on the field has been 94%.
  • Man United: Man United has demonstrated their defensive prowess in the last three games. In the previous three games, the Old Trafford club has kept two clean sheets, mostly because to Varane, Dalot, and Martinez. With a combined clearance rate of up to 12 clearances per game, the trio’s tackle success accuracy is close to 90%.
Clearances Per GameTackles Per Game
Man City
Cancelo0.11.9
Ruben Diaz2.00.7
Kyle Walker10.3
Man United
Varane4.82.4
Dalot2.52.3
Martinez4.71.0

Man City vs Man United Prediction: Goal Keeper Stats

EdersenDe Gea
Goals Conceded (per Game) 0.861.11
Clean Sheet43

Man City vs Man United Prediction: Team Stats (All Competitions: 2022/2023)

StatsMan CityMan United
Matches108
Goals per game3.01.20
Goals conceding per game1.01.11
Clean Sheets53
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Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction: Head-to-Head Statistics

Matches: 187 | Man City: 57 | Draw: 53 | Man United: 77

Last 5 Meetings: Man City: 3 | Draw: 1 | Nottingham Forest: 1

Last Meeting: Man City defeated United 4-1 in the last Premier League encounter on 06 March, 2022.

Key Highlights: This Fixture

In the last five matches against Man United, Man City has:

  • Scored 1.6 goals per match.
  • Three clean sheets.
  • Failed to score twice.
  • Scored 1.2 goals at the Etihad Stadium.

In the last five matches against City, Man United has:

  • Scored 0.6 goals per match.
  • Two clean sheets.
  • Failed to score thrice.
  • Scored 1 goal per match at Etihad Stadium.

Man City Odds

Man CityMan United
FcTables1.377.50
SofaScore1.337.50
BettingExpert1.379.20

Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction: Betting Tips

Both teams to score: yes

  • Manchester derby has seen lots of goals over the past few years. Current forms suggest that Manchester City is almost certain to score against United but Man United has some problems in Attack but City has some defensive weaknesses which can be exploited.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction: Team News

John Stones Limped off against Germany in the Nations League game. Currently being assesed for the Hamstring Injury and might be Unavailable to play against United.

Kavin Phillips is ruled out with no potential date of returning. Phillips has a Shoulder Injury.

Despite sitting out United’s two Europa League matches, Marcus Rashford is still anticipated to make a full recovery from the injury he incurred against Arsenal in time for Sunday’s derby.

The state of Anthony Martial’s Fitness is debatable. The Frenchman has played just once this year, a standout cameo of 45 minutes against Liverpool last month.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Predicted Line up

Man City (4-3-3): Ederson; Walker, Stones, Dias, Cancelo; Bruyne, Rodri, Silva; Mahrez, Haaland, Foden

Man Utd (4-2-3-1): De Gea; Shaw, Martinez, Varane, Dalot; Mctominay, Eriksen; Rashford, Fernandes, Sancho; Antony

Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction: Final Analysis and Prediction

Man City should once again eke out a narrow win 2-1. Man United is starting to show some form in the Premier League and can be a threat especially defensively with Martinez, Casemiro, and Varane looking solid on the back. Man City on the other hand has looked solid in the front with Erling Haaland having strengthened the already strong City Squad.

Liverpool vs Brighton

Man United vs Man City Prediction
Man United vs Man City Prediction
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