Italy vs Spain Football Predictions and Betting Odds
Wembley Stadium in London is set to host Italy and Spain in the semi-finals of Euro 2020 on Tuesday. Spain reached the Euro 2020 semi-final after winning a penalty thriller against Switzerland. Whereas, Italy defeated the FIFA No. 1 ranked team Belgium to reach the semi-finals.
Spain have faced quite a hardship in the group stages and that trend even continued in the knockouts as they haven’t yet won any match in knockout stages within 90 minutes. While Italy stormed their way into the semis by defeating Belgium 2-1.
The two teams have quite a history on the international stage, but the memorable one was the Euro 2012 finals when Spain destroyed the dangerous Italian defense to win the Euro Cup 2012 by a margin of 4-0. The revenge for Italy came exactly 4 years later when Italy packed the Spanish side out of the Euro 2016 in the Round of 16. Once again 4 years later the two footballing giants are ready to go against each other in another fascinating contest. The winner goes one step closer to be crowned as Euro 2020 champions.
Italy have scored 11 goals in 5 matches while conceding 2 goals. Spain on the other hand have scored 12 goals in 5 matches while conceding 5 goals
Predicted Goal: 1
Predicted Goal: 0
Win Probability: 37%
Win Probability: 32%
Italy vs Spain Football Predictions and Betting Odds: Probable Line-Up
Spain – Pablo Sarabia, Alvaro Morata, Ferran Torres, Pedri, Sergio Busquets, Koke, Jordi Alba, Paul Torres, Aymeric Laporte, Cesar Apzilicueta, Unai Simon.
Italy – Lorenzo Insigne, Ciro Immobile, Federico Chiesa, Marco Verrati, Jorginho, Nicolo Barella, Leonardo Spinazzola, Giorgio Chiellini, Leonardo Bonucci, Giovanni Di Lorenzo.
Italy vs Spain Football Predictions and Betting Odds: Offensive and Defensive stats
Slight advantage Italy
Spain’s attack was a little bit sloppy against Switzerland. Alvaro Morata did not look in fine touch. He played for 54 minutes and had a 90% pass accuracy rate, 2 ariel duels lost, 3 ground duels won with a poor rating of 6.8.
Pablo Sarabia too performed poorly in the same match as he played for only 45 minutes and had a 61% pass accuracy rate, and had a rating of 6.6. The attack needs to perform well if they look forward to defeating Italy.
Italy had a tough match against Belgium, but their attack still found the right rhythm to overcome the strong Belgium defense. Lorenzo Insigne was brilliant as he scored a goal in the last match. He had shots on target ratio of 50% and a pass accuracy rate of 89%. His rating was 8.6.
Immobile was a bit out of form against Belgium. His rating for the match was only 6.4 and had a pass accuracy rate was 77%.
Spain’s midfield is led by the team captain Busquets who was excellent against Switzerland. He had a pass accuracy rate of almost 89%, 6 out of 6 ground duels won, 5 out of 9 Ariel duels won. He was rated at 7.8.
He will be supported by Pedri, who is an experienced player and was quite good against Switzerland. He had a pass accuracy rate of 91%, 5 tackles, and 2 interceptions with a rating of 7.8.
Italy’s midfield was also top-notch against Belgium. Barella was the star in the midfield with 87% pass accuracy rate. He had 3 out of 3 dribbles success with an accuracy rate of 100%, he had a rating of 8.3.
Verrati also looked impressive with 94% pass, 104 touches in 74 minutes, 4 tackles and a rating of 7.7.
Jordi Alaba was impressive against Switzerland with 93% pass accuracy and total 141 touches. He gave 4 key passes in the match and had a rating of 7.9.
Pau Torres was also quite decent with an almost 95% pass accuracy rate. He had a rating of 7.1. The defense looks solid and will try harder to stop the Italian attack.
Italian defense is traditionally brilliant which was visible in a match against Belgium. Bonucci was in fine touch with a 90% pass accuracy rate, 1 clearance, 1 blocked shot, 1 tackle, 1 interception, and 71 touches. He was rated 7.2 out of 10 in the match.
Spinazzola had 96% pass accuracy rate and a rating of 7.0.
Italy vs Spain Football Predictions and Betting Odds: Latest Player and Manager News
[6th July] Spain manager Luis Enrique has a long and bloody history with Italy
[6th July] Bonucci wary of crafty Morata
[6th July] Mancini’s Italy plot to overtake Spain after following in rival’s footsteps
[6th July] Leonardo Bonucci warns Azzurri’s ‘flawless’ run to Euro semis counts for nothing at Wembley
[6th July] Three key battles: Italy vs Spain
Italy vs Spain Football Predictions and Betting Odds: Recent Form
Italy did not face much difficulty in the Group stage. Italy sailed through the group stages after winning all the matches. They received 9 points with 7 goals given and no goal conceded.
Their qualification in Round of 16 was rather a predictable one as they did not face a stronger team in the Group stage. However, their Round of 16 was not a cakewalk as there was no result by the end of 90 minutes against Austria. It was in extra times when both the teams scored. Italy scored twice while Austria scored once in extra time.
In quarter-finals, Italy defeated Belgium to qualify for the semi-finals.
Spain on the other hand made it into Round of 16 with just 1 win and 2 draws. They had their biggest Euro Cup victory when they defeated Slovakia by 5-0 goals. In the rest of the two matches, they settled for a draw against Sweden and Poland. Spain have lost just one of their last 29 internationals that is against Ukraine in a UEFA Nations League last November and are unbeaten in 13 games.
In round of 16, Spain defeated Croatia in a goal-fest match by 5-3 and went on to defeat Switzerland in a penalty shootout in the quarter finals, 3-1, after the match was drawn 1-1.
Italy vs Spain Football Predictions and Betting Odds: Head-to-head stats
Italy and Spain have been in a neck-to-neck affair in overall head-to-head stats. 37 matches have been played between the two sides, both the teams have 11 wins each. 15 matches between the two teams ended in a draw.
In the last five matches between the two teams, Spain have won 2 matches, Italy have won 1 match while 2 matches ended in a draw. The last match between the two teams was FIFA World Cup 2017 match, Spain defeated Italy by 3-0 goals.
Italy vs Spain Football Predictions and Betting Odds: Predicted Winner
Playing at a neutral venue, both Italy and Spain are equally strong to win the upcoming semi-final match. However, the football Predictions and Betting Odds favors Italy in this match.
The betting odds for Italy at Bet365 are placed at 2.50 while the odds for Spain stand at 3.00. According to 1xbet the betting odds for Italy’s win stands on 1.6 while Spain has an odd of 2.10.
As per FcTables, Italy has a 37% chance of beating Spain while the win probability of Spain stands at 32%.