Milan vs Chelsea Prediction, Analysis and Odds

Milan vs Chelsea Prediction, Analysis and Odds
Milan vs Chelsea Prediction

When is Milan most likely to score a goal? Milan has been better at goal-scoring in the second half of the UEFA Champions League fixtures. They scored 75% of the goals in the last 45 minutes.

When is Chelsea most likely to score a goal? Chelsea also looked more dangerous in the second half. 50% of their goals came in the time frame of 45-60 minutes.

Who is most likely to score for Milan? Rafael Leao is likely to score for Milan in the upcoming game.

Who is most likely to score for Chelsea? Raheem Sterling has looked in good form this season. He is expected to score in the next match for Chelsea

Who is likely to win the match? Milan 1 Chelsea 1
All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the final may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.

AC Milan will hope to turn things around in the next clash with Chelsea for the upcoming UEFA Champions League fixture on Tuesday, 11 October. The Italian club faced a 0-3 defeat to the Blues in the last meeting less than a week ago. Milan is currently in the 3rd position of Group E with 4 points.

Chelsea will look to continue the same performance as the last game when they face Milan at the San Siro Stadium on Tuesday. The Blues have looked in top form over the past few weeks. They are currently in the 2nd position of Group E with the same number of points as Milan.

Milan vs Chelsea Prediction: Goals Scored and Conceded


Milan scored 9 goals in the last 5 fixtures. 7 of them were scored in the second half.

Milan’s defence has looked slightly out of touch in recent games. They conceded 7 goals in the last 5 matches, with 6 of them coming in the second half.


Chelsea also scored 9 goals if we look at the last 5 matches. They scored 6 of them in the second half.

The Blues’ defenders have done a  brilliant job in the recent games as they conceded just 3 goals in the last 5 games. 2 of them were conceded in the first half.

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Milan vs Chelsea Prediction: Present Form Analysis

  • Won 33% of the Matches in the current UEFA Champions League 2022-23.
  • 0% Clean Sheets
  • 57% Ball Possession
  • 10% Shots Conversion Rate
  • 14 Fouls Committed Per Match
  • Won 33% of the Matches in the current UEFA Champions League 2022-23.
  • 33% Clean Sheets
  • 64% Ball Possession
  • 9% Shots Conversion Rate
  • 12 Fouls Committed Per Match

Milan vs Chelsea Prediction: Forwards Statistics


AC Milan has some formidable attackers in their team such as Rafael Leao, Ante Rebic, and Ismail Bennacer.

  • Rafael Leao has looked in good form in the current season of Serie A. He has scored 4 goals so far, playing at an average of 4.4 shots per game. Leao also assisted in 4 goals and created 4 big chances for his side.
  • Ante Rebic scored 4 goals in the Italian football league. He also got a dribbling success of 67%.
  • Ismail Bennecer has played with an average of 2.6 key passes per match, winning 58% of the ground duels.

The key attackers for Chelsea include players like Raheem Sterling, Reece James, and Mason Mount.

  • Raheem Sterling is playing his first season for Chelsea. He has added 3 goals in the EPL till now along with 1 assist and 3 big chances created.
  • Reece James has played the Premier League at an average of 1.3 key passes per game. His passing accuracy stands at 91%.
  • Mason Mount has maintained an average of 1.9 key passes per match so far. He won 53% of the ground duels.

Top Scorers of Milan in the Champions League 2022-23

  • Alexis Saelemaekers (2 goals)
  • Tommaso Pobega (1 goal)
  • Olivier Giroud (1 goal)

Top Scorers of Chelsea in the Champions League 2022-23

  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (1 goal)
  • Raheem Sterling (1 goal)
  • Reece James (1 goal)

Milan vs Chelsea Prediction: Yellow Cards (Champions League)

  • Fikayo Tomori (2 Yellow Cards)
  • Brahim Diaz (1 Yellow Card)
  • Davide Calabria (1 Yellow Card)
  • Kalidou Koulibaly (1 goal)
  • Mason Mount (1 Yellow Card)
  • Matteo Kovacic (1 Yellow Card)

Quick Stats

  • AC Milan last defeated Chelsea long back in February 1966 in the European competition. The next 5 meetings ended in 3 draws and 2 losses.
  • AC Milan doesn’t have a good home record against English clubs as they lost 4 of the last 5 matches when they hosted an English team.
  • Chelsea has failed to win in the last 7 away matches against an Italian cub. They lost 6 and drew 1. The last victory came against Lazio in November 2003.
  • Chelsea’s defenders allowed only 1 shot on target when they hosted Milan in the last fixture.

Milan vs Chelsea Prediction: Defence Statistics


Some of the top defenders of AC Milan include Theo Hernandez, Davide Calabria, and Pierre Kalulu.

  • Theo Hernandez has played well in the current UEFA Champions League as he has maintained an average of 2 tackles per game with 63% success in the ground duels.
  • Davide Calabria has been good with an average of 1.5 tackles per match and a success rate of 60% in the total duels.

The leading defenders of Chelsea are Thiago Silva, Wesley Fofana, and Marc Cucurella.

  • Thiago Silva has been a consistent performer for the Blues. The 38-year-old defender has played at an average of 3.5 clearances per game in the European Cup with 86% success in the ground duels.
  • Wesley Fofana’s tackling average stands at 3 per match. He also contributed 1 goal and won 80% of the aerial duels.

Milan vs Chelsea Prediction: Goalkeeper Statistics

Ciprian Tatarusanu (Milan): Saves Per Game: 3.0 (50%) | Clean Sheets: 0

Kepa Arrizabalaga (Chelsea): Saves Per Game: 1.7 (71%) | Clean Sheets: 1

Milan vs Chelsea Prediction: Head-to-Head Statistics

Matches: 6 | Milan: 1 | Draw: 3 | Chelsea: 2

Recent 3 Meetings: Milan: 0 | Draw: 2 | Chelsea: 1

Last Meeting: Chelsea defeated AC Milan with a score of 3-0 in the current UEFA Champions League on 5 October 2022.

Winning Odds


Milan vs Chelsea Team News

Mike Maignan, Alessandro Florenzi, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Junior Messias, Simon Kjaer, Davide Calabria, and Alexis Saelemaekers are just a few of the several Milan players out with injuries.

Theo Hernandez’s return from injury against Juventus, who will start at left-back on Tuesday night, gave the hosts some encouragement.

There shouldn’t be any huge shocks in the Milan XI with Olivier Giroud poised to lead the line with Diaz and Rafael Leao providing backup.

N’Golo Kante is still sidelined with a hamstring issue for Chelsea, and Wesley Fofana is out with the knee injury he sustained in the match with Milan.

Predicted Lineup

Milan (4-3-2-1): Tatarusanu; Kalulu, Gabbia, Tomori, Hernandez; Tonali, Bennacer, Pobega; Diaz, Leao; Giroud

Chelsea (3-4-2-1): Arrizabalaga; Fofana/Chalobah, Silva, Koulibaly; James, Loftus-Cheek, Kovacic, Chilwell; Sterling, Mount; Aubameyang

Final Analysis and Prediction

AC Milan will look to bring out their best to end the losing streak against Chelsea in the European Cup. The defenders will have no margin of error against the blazing attackers of the Blues. On the other hand, Chelsea will aim to continue the same form against the hosts and secure 3 more points on Tuesday. All the predictions and betting platforms are favoring Chelsea for this fixture.

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