Updated COVID-19 Forecasts for India and USA
Updated COVID-19 Forecasts for India and USA
by Mohal Joshi @MohalJoshiHost: @indiarisingmk, Columnist & Podcaster. Interests: GeoPolitics/Defence/Psephology/Politics
This is an update. A version from two days ago (COVID-19 India Forecasts: Is India beginning to bend the curve?) is available here
Updated modelling of COVID-19 “projected” case growth for USA & India based on data for the past few days.
USA: 189,785 actual vs 189,137 (my projected no) [~0.3% delta]
INDIA: 1,619 actual vs 1,524 (my projected no) [~6.2% delta]
COVID-19 Forecasts for USA
As per the adjusted modelling over the next 7 days total cases could be at ~476,000+
“Future projected” values are in black color/white font.
In USA the % increase in new cases has been less than 20% over the past 4 days. Whether this trend continues long term is yet to be seen in the coming days.
COVID-19 Forecasts for India
As per the adjusted modelling over the next 7 days total cases could be ~5,300+
Note: “Future projected” values are in black color/white font.
India saw another massive (+272) increase in new cases i.e. two days of 200+ new cases. This presents a new challenge for authorities as in the coming days more people will be identified from these “hotspot” clusters all across the nation. Next few days will be crucial as all the infected people from these clusters needed to be identified & isolated quickly to prevent India case number from exploding even more.
This analysis originally appeared here
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