Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Prediction and Odds

Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Prediction and Odds: The Boston Celtics are predicted to win as per the latest odds and predictions.

The Boston Celtics will aim for their third consecutive win to make the series level when they meet the Miami Heat in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The Celtics are flying high after a fantastic comeback with three back-to-back wins. One more victory against the Heat in the upcoming fixture will make the series open for Boston with the last set to be a home game.

The Miami Heat need to bounce back at home if they want to keep their championship hopes strong. Spoelstra’s men went for a blazing start but lost momentum from the fourth game. However, a big positive on their side is that they are just 1 win away from winning the series. The Heat will back themselves to regain supremacy at FTX Arena in the next matchup.

Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Prediction: Tactical Analysis

Despite the Celtics leading the series 3-2, both teams have shown mixed performances throughout, with room for tactical improvements.

The Celtics, with an offensive rating (OFFRTG) of 115.6, have shown a commendable offensive game. Powered by players like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, who have averaged 27.7 and 23.9 points respectively in these playoffs, they have strong scoring ability. However, the Celtics’ defensive rating (DEFRTG) of 118.2 suggests room for defensive improvement. The team’s rebounding percentage (REB%) of 49.7 and turnover percentage (TOV%) of 13.7 underline a need for better ball possession and stronger defensive rebounds.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat, with an OFFRTG of 118.2, have a slight edge in offensive output compared to the Celtics. However, their DEFRTG of 115.6 indicates similar defensive challenges. The Heat’s REB% of 50.3 is marginally higher than the Celtics’, indicating a slightly better performance in controlling the boards. Yet, their higher TOV% of 14.4 suggests that ball control issues have plagued them more than their counterparts.

In terms of shooting, both teams have showcased impressive effective field goal percentages (EFG%) with the Celtics at 55.5% and the Heat marginally ahead at 57.6%. These high EFG%s are a testament to the teams’ shooting prowess and will be key in the upcoming game.

The key for the Celtics will be to leverage their offensive strengths while improving on defense and rebounding. For the Heat, minimizing turnovers and maintaining their slight edge in offensive efficiency could prove vital.

Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Prediction: Home-Away Stats

The Miami Heat will be hosting the sixth game. They had a good home record of 27-14 in the regular season. The Heat won 6 out of 7 playoff games as of now.

It will be an away fixture for the Boston Celtics. They dominated in the away games in the regular season, winning 25 out of 41 matchups. In the postseason, the Celtics are 5-3 away from home so far.

Heat cs Celtics Game 6 Prediction: Offense and Defense Comparison


Offensive Advantage: Boston Celtics

  • The Boston Celtics have maintained an average of 113.9 points per game in the playoffs. They shot 48.5% from the field and 38.1% from the 3-point line. The free throw accuracy stands at 80.5%. In the regular season, the Celtics were the 2nd-best team in the attack having an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 117.9.
  • The Miami Heat played with an average of 112.8 points per game in the postseason. In shooting, they played with a success rate of 47.9% in field goals, 38.0% in 3-pointers, and 80.5% in free throws. Miami was rated 113.2 on the defense with a rank of 25 in the league.


Defensive Advantage: Miami Heat

  • The Miami Heat allowed an average of 109.1 points per game. They played with an average of 43.9 rebounds, with 5.3 steals and 4.5 blocks per game. The Heat restricted the other teams to 45.9% from the field and 33.5% from the 3-point line. Miami was given a rank of 8 in the defense with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 113.4.
  • The Boston Celtics are conceding 109.9 points per game in the playoffs as of now. They maintained an average of 41.2 rebounds per game. The average number of steals per game is currently at 7.6 while the average number of blocks per game stands at 5.0. Boston allowed the opponents to play with a shooting conversion rate of 45.6% in field goals and 36.7% in 3-pointers. The Celtics were the 3rd best-ranked team in the defense with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 111.3.

Celtics vs Heat Game 6 Odds

Although the home advantage will be on the side of the Miami Heat, the Boston Celtics are likely to continue their ruthless run. They looked in excellent touch in the last two games.


  • Boston Celtics: -3 (-110)
  • Miami Heat: +3 (-110)


  • Boston Celtics: -140
  • Miami Heat: +120
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Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Prediction: Head-to-Head Stats

Both these teams have met 35 times in the regular season of the NBA as of now. The Miami Heat have the upper hand with 19 wins, while the Boston Celtics won 16 games.

The previous playoff encounter took place in the Eastern Conference Finals of the last season. The Boston Celtics registered a 4-3 win in that series.

In the regular season, there have been 133 games between these two sides so far. The Boston Celtics are leading with 80 wins, while the Miami Heat won 53 games.

In the regular season of the NBA 2022-23, the equation stood at 2-2 between these two teams.

H2H Key Highlights: Last 5 Playoff Meetings

  • Number of away games won by the Boston Celtics: 1
  • Number of home games won by the Miami Heat: 1
  • Average Number of Total Points Scored: 221.4
  • Average Number of Points Scored by the Miami Heat: 111.6
  • Average Number of Points Scored by the Boston Celtics: 109.8

Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Prediction: Players to Watch Out

Boston Celtics

  1. Jayson Tatum (Small Forward): Points Per Game: 27.7 | Rebounds Per Game: 10.4 | Assists Per Game: 5.3
  2. Jaylen Brown (Shooting Guard): Points Per Game: 22.7 | Rebounds Per Game: 5.2 | Steals Per Game: 1.0
  3. Marcus Smart (Point Guard): Points Per Game: 14.9 | Assists Per Game: 5.3 | Steals Per Game: 1.3

Miami Heat

  1. Jimmy Butler (Small Forward): Points Per Game: 28.8 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.7 | Assists Per Game: 5.5
  2. Bam Adebayo (Center): Points Per Game: 17.5 | Rebounds Per Game: 8.9 | Assists Per Game: 3.6
  3. Gabe Vincent (Point Guard): Points Per Game: 13.1 | Assists Per Game: 4.1 | Steals Per Game: 0.9

Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Winner Prediction

  • Home Advantage: Heat
  • Momentum Advantage: Celtics
  • H2H Advantage: Celtics
  • Offensive Advantage: Celtics
  • Defensive Advantage: Heat
  • Overall: Celtics to win

The Boston Celtics will aim to capitalize on the winning momentum and win another crucial away game against the Heat. On the other hand, the Miami Heat can’t afford to let the Celtics level the series as the last fixture will be an away contest. They need a complete team effort to bounce back.

According to the odds and stats, the Boston Celtics are expected to win this matchup.