Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 3 Prediction and Odds

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 3 Prediction and Odds: The Denver Nuggets are currently favored by bookmakers, but the statistics for this upcoming game are slightly in favor of the Minnesota Timberwolves.


The NBA playoff action between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Denver Nuggets now moves to Target Center for Game 3 after two exciting games at Ball Arena. The Denver Nuggets are currently leading the series with two back-to-back wins at home. With the series on the line, the Minnesota Timberwolves need to win the upcoming game to give themselves any hope of advancing further.

Playoffs game recap

Game 1:

In game 1 of the playoffs between the Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Nuggets emerged as the dominant team. Led by Jamal Murray’s 24 points and 8 assists, the top-seeded Nuggets secured a comfortable 109-80 victory over the Timberwolves. Despite some early jitters, Murray quickly found his groove and delivered an impressive performance. The Timberwolves, on the other hand, struggled to keep up with the Nuggets and couldn’t match their intensity. Overall, it was a convincing win for the Nuggets as they set the tone for the rest of the playoffs. The statistics from the game between the Timberwolves and Nuggets revealed some weaknesses in the Timberwolves’ performance. They shot 37.1% from the field, while the Nuggets were much more efficient with 45.1% from the field. The Nuggets also outperformed the Timberwolves in 3-pointers, hitting 41% from the field compared to the Timberwolves’ 30.6%. Overall, the Nuggets were clearly the superior team on both field goals and 3-pointers.

Game 2:

Jamal Murray delivered another standout performance in the playoffs, which helped the Denver Nuggets take a 2-0 lead in the series. With Murray’s impressive performance, the Nuggets were able to propel themselves to victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves put up a strong fight throughout most of the game and had a chance to win after dominating the Nuggets in the third quarter. However, the Nuggets began their recovery in the fourth quarter, with Michael Porter Jr. scoring eight consecutive points including a four-point play, a reverse layup, and two free throws

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 3 Prediction: Home Away Stats

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been performing well when playing on their home court, winning 29 out of 52 games played there. Additionally, their most recent performances at home have been better than average, as they have won 3 out of their last 5 games played on their home court.

The Denver Nuggets haven’t performed as well when playing away from home this season. Specifically, they have only won 19 out of 41 games played on the road. Their recent performances on the road have also been subpar, as they have only won 1 out of their last 5 games played away from home.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Odds

The Denver Nuggets are entering the game as favorites, with bookmakers giving them the edge over the Timberwolves. Here are the most recent odds and predictions for the game:

Spread:

  • Nuggets: -2.5 (-110)
  • Timberwolves: +2.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Nuggets: -137
  • Timberwolves: +115

Win Probability:

  • Nuggets: 55%
  • Timberwolves: 45%
YouTube video

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction: Offense and Defense Comparison (Regular season)

Offense

Offensive Advantage: Denver Nuggets.

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have been scoring an average of 115.8 points per game this season. They have been successful on 49.0% of their shots from the field and 36.5% of their shots from 3-point range. Their free throw success rate is 75.5%. Despite these statistics, the Timberwolves currently hold the 23rd rank in the league for offense, with an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 113.5.
  • On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets have also been scoring an average of 115.8 points per game this season. They have been successful on 50.4% of their shots from the field, 37.9% of their shots from beyond the 3-point line, and 75.1% of their free throws. The Nuggets hold the 5th rank in the league for offense, with an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 116.9.

Defense

Defensive Advantage: Minnesota Timberwolves

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have been allowing their opponents to score an average of 115.8 points per game this season. They have been averaging 41.8 rebounds per game, and have been recording an average of 8.0 steals and 5.4 blocks per game. The Timberwolves are currently ranked as the 10th-best team in the league in terms of defense, with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 113.7.
  • In contrast, the Denver Nuggets have been allowing their opponents to score an average of 112.5 points per game this season. They have been averaging 43.0 rebounds per game, and have been recording an average of 7.5 steals and 4.5 blocks per game. The Nuggets are currently ranked 18th in the league in terms of defense, with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 114.2.

Note: The above stats are from the NBA 2022-23 Regular Season

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 Prediction : Head-to-head Stats

The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Denver Nuggets have competed against each other a total of 141 times in regular season games and five times during playoff matches. The Nuggets have been the superior team in the regular season, winning 87 games, while the Timberwolves have emerged victorious in 54 games.

During the playoffs, the Timberwolves have won four games, while the Nuggets have won three games.

In their most recent five matchups, the Nuggets have been the more dominant team, winning four out of the five games. In the current season, the two teams have played against each other six times, with the Nuggets winning four games and the Timberwolves winning two.

Head-to-Head: Key Highlights (Last 5 Meetings):

  • The Timberwolves hosted 1 game and won that game.
  • Average Number of Total Points scored: 229.6
  • Average Number of Points scored by the Denver Nuggets: 119.4
  • Average Number of Points scored by Minnesota Timberwolves: 100.2

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 Prediction: Players to Watch Out

Denver Nuggets

  1. Nikola Jokic (Center): Points Per Game: 24.8 | Rebounds Per Game: 11.9 | Assists Per Game: 9.8
  2. Jamal Murray (Point Guard): Points Per Game: 20.0 | Assists Per Game: 6.2 | Rebounds Per Game: 4.0
  3. Michael Porter Jr (Small Forward): Points Per Game: 17.5 | Rebounds Per Game: 5.5 | Steals Per Game: 0.6

Minnesota Timberwolves

  1. Anthony Edwards (Shooting Guard): Points Per Game: 24.6 | Rebounds Per Game: 5.8 | Assists Per Game: 4.4
  2. Karl-Anthony Towns (Center): Points Per Game: 20.8 | Rebounds Per Game: 8.1 | Assists Per Game: 4.8
  3. Mike Conley (Point Guard): Points Per Game: 14.0 | Assists Per Game: 5.0 | Steals Per Game: 1.2

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 3 Prediction

  • Home Advantage: Timberwolves
  • H2H Advantage: Nuggets
  • Momentum Advantage: Timberwolves
  • Offensive Advantage: Nuggets
  • Defensive Advantage: Timberwolves
  • Overall: Close but Timberwolves have a home advantage

The Minnesota Timberwolves have not performed well in the playoffs, with their adjusted offensive ratings being 7 points lower than during the regular season. On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets have been consistent and maintained their reputation as a strong home team. However, the Timberwolves have the opportunity to turn the tide with their impressive record at home, and the Nuggets have struggled in their last 5 away games. To keep their playoff hopes alive, the Timberwolves will need to prevent Jamal Murray from dominating. While the odds favor the Nuggets, we are slightly leaning towards the Timberwolves.