Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and Odds

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and Odds

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and Odds: The Denver Nuggets are expected to win this game as per the bookmarkers.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (22-24) have a mighty challenge ahead as they are set to face the Denver Nuggets (33-13) in the upcoming NBA fixture tonight. The Thunder have looked inconsistent this season. They need to uplift their performance to give a strong fight to the red-hot Nuggets. The Thunder are currently in the 11th position in the Western Conference. In the last game, they faced a 113-118 defeat to the Sacramento Kings.

The Denver Nuggets will look to continue their dominance in the West when they host the Thunder at Ball Arena in the next matchup. It has been a fantastic season for the Nuggets till now. They are currently looking very strong in the top position in the Western Conference. Denver crushed the Indiana Pacers with a score of 134-111 in the last fixture.

Injury Update

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and Odds: Last 5 Games Analysis

The OKC Thunder have won 3 of the last 5 away games.

The wins came against the likes of the Brooklyn Nets, Chicago Bulls, and Philadelphia 76ers. They lost to the Sacramento Kings and Miami Heat. Overall, the Thunder have managed to win only 8 out of 23 away fixtures so far.

In the last 5 home games

  • The OKC Thunder have scored 118.6 points per game.
  • The OKC Thunder have conceded 111.2 points per game.
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 3 points or less: 1
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 4-10 points: 2

The Denver Nuggets are currently on a winning streak of 16 games at home.

Denver’s last 5 home wins came against teams like the Indiana Pacers, Minnesota Timberwolves, Portland Trail Blazers, Orlando Magic, and Phoenix Suns. The Nuggets have an excellent home record of 22-3 in the current season.

In the last 5 home games

  • The Denver Nuggets have scored 124.6 points per game.
  • The Denver Nuggets have conceded 111.0 points per game.
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 3 points or less: 0
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 4-10 points: 3

The Denver Nuggets have been invincible at home this season. They also have a compelling winning momentum on their side.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and Odds: Attack and Defense Comparisons


The OKC Thunder have played with a scoring rate of 117.0 points so far. They shot 46.6% from the field and 35.8% from the 3-point line. With an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 113.3, the Thunder rank 21 in the offense.

The Denver Nuggets maintained a scoring average of 117.3 points this season. In shooting, they played with a success rate of 51.0% in field goals and 39.7% in 3-pointers. The Nuggets have the 3rd-best offense among all sides with an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 118.0.

The Denver Nuggets have a much more formidable attack than the OKC Thunder.


The OKC Thunder have been conceding 115.8 points per game. They played with an average of 44.3 rebounds. The average number of steals and the average number of blocks are currently at 8.2 and 5.3 respectively. The Thunder are rated 112.1 on defense with a rank of 9 in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have given away 113.2 points per game in the current season. They maintained an average of 43.0 rebounds, with 7.3 steals and 4.4 blocks. The Nuggets rank 17 in the defense having an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 114.3.

The OKC Thunder have the upper hand in the defense.

Thunder vs Nuggets Odds


  • Denver Nuggets: -5.5 (-112)
  • OKC Thunder: +5.5 (-110)


  • Denver Nuggets: -233
  • OKC Thunder: +195

Win Probability

  • Denver Nuggets: 76%
  • OKC Thunder: 24%
YouTube video

Read: Knicks vs Raptors Prediction

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and Odds: Last Game Analysis

Can the Thunder improve their away record?

The OKC Thunder dropped another away fixture by losing to the Sacramento Kings in the last game. The Thunder were dominated by Sacramento’s rookie Keegan Murray who scored his season-high 20 points. The Thunder had better shooting accuracy than the Kings. But they were outrebounded 36-53. Isaiah Joe’s 3-pointer in the dying seconds cut Oklahoma’s deficit to 3 points. However, Fox extended the Kings’ lead again with his layup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander looked in excellent touch once again as he finished with 37 points and 7 assists. Isaiah Joe scored 21 points off the bench with 6 rebounds.

Will the Nuggets continue their unbeaten run?

Jamal Murray’s first triple-double of his career helped the Nuggets thrash the Indiana Pacers in the last matchup. Denver continued its flawless shooting in the game against Indiana. They shot 61.4% from the field and 50.0% from the 3-point line. The Nuggets also outscored the Pacers 68-50 in the paint. It was another perfectly balanced approach in offense and defense. Denver won its third straight game under the acting head coach David Adelman.

Jamal Murray ended a memorable contest with 17 points, 10 rebounds, and 14 assists. Aaron Gordon had a successful night as well. He added 28 points with 5 rebounds and 6 assists.

Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction: Head-to-Head Stats

Both these teams have met 194 times in the regular season of the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder are ahead with 101 wins, while the Denver Nuggets won 93 fixtures.

If we check out the last 5 meetings, 4 Nuggets dominated as they won 4 games and the Thunder could win only 1. The previous clash took place in the current season. The Denver Nuggets won that game with a score of 131-126.

Head-to-Head: Key Highlights (Last 5 Meetings)

  • The Denver Nuggets won 2 home games.
  • The OKC Thunder won 1 away game.
  • Average Number of Total Points scored: 234.8
  • Average Number of Points scored by the Denver Nuggets: 119.0
  • Average Number of Points scored by the OKC Thunder: 115.8

Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction: Players to Watch Out

Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic (Center)

Points Per Game: 25.1 | Rebounds Per Game: 11.0 | Assists Per Game: 9.9

Jokic’s participation in this game is subject to fitness.

Jamal Murray (Point Guard)

Points Per Game: 18.7 | Assists Per Game: 5.6 | Rebounds Per Game: 4.1

Murray’s participation in this game is subject to fitness.

Aaron Gordon (Power Forward)

Points Per Game: 16.8 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.7 | Steals Per Game: 0.8

Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Point Guard)

Points Per Game: 30.6 | Assists Per Game: 5.5 | Rebounds Per Game: 4.8

Josh Giddey (Shooting Guard)

Points Per Game: 16.0 | Rebounds Per Game: 8.0 | Assists Per Game: 5.8

Luguentz Dort (Small Forward)

Points Per Game: 14.3 | Rebounds Per Game: 4.3 | Steals Per Game: 1.0

Nuggets vs Thunder Winner Prediction

  • The Denver Nuggets have the momentum advantage.
  • Offensive Advantage: Nuggets
  • Defensive Advantage: Thunder
  • Overall: Advantage Nuggets

The OKC Thunder will have no margin of error against the Denver Nuggets. They can’t just rely on Gilgeous-Alexander. Oklahoma would require contributions from all players to trouble the visitors. On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets will look to continue their streak and secure another solid home win. They have already defeated the Thunder thrice this season. All the odds and predictions favor the Denver Nuggets for this fixture.



Sujoy has substantial experience in producing sports articles with a deep insight into data and metrics of the games to help the readers get a better idea of the statistics and predict the outcomes.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.