Heat vs Hornets Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Heat vs Hornets Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Heat vs Hornets Prediction: The Miami Heat will start as the home favorites in the upcoming game against the Charlotte Hornets.

The Miami Heat will be eager to return back to winning ways when they host the Charlotte Hornets in the upcoming NBA fixture on Thursday night. Two back-to-back defeats have put Spoelstra’s men on the back foot. They are coming off a home defeat to the Trail Blazers in the last game.

The Charlotte Hornets have no margin of error if they want to avoid their 6th consecutive defeat when they meet the Heat at the FTX Arena in the upcoming clash. The Hornets faced their 4th home defeat in the last game against the Wizards.

Key Insights

Miami Heat

The Heat seemed to struggle against a good execution in shooting by the Trail Blazers in the last game, especially in the fourth quarter. A late 3-pointer from Max Strus gave some hope for Miami. However, Hart’s final shot in the dying seconds sealed the game for the Trail Blazers.

Jimmy Butler turned out to be the shining star for the Heat with his performance of 16 points, 4 rebounds, and 7 assists. Bam Adebayo continued his good form and finished with 16 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists.

Charlotte Hornets

It was a highly competitive game for the Hornets in the last matchup against the Wizards. There were as many as 14 lead changes before Hachimura’s 18-foot step-back jumper that helped the Wizards retain the lead till the end of the game. The Hornets managed to keep the trail under double-digits but a win was out of reach after a dominating play from Washington in the last quarter.

P.J Washington and Kelly Oubre Jr. tried their best for the Hornets. Both players secured 45 points and 5 rebounds together. Terry Rozier also gave a good contribution of 19 points, 3 rebounds, and 5 assists.

Heat vs Hornets Prediction: Recent Form

Miami Heat

The Miami Heat have failed to repeat the dominance of the last season till now. They are currently at 4-7 in the 12th position of the Eastern Conference. If we talk about the last 5 fixtures, Miami got 2 wins and 3 losses. They won 3 of the 7 home games as of now. In the away games, their current record stands at 1-3. The Miami Heat faced a 107-110 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers in the last fixture.

Charlotte Hornets

The Charlotte Hornets’ campaign is looking off track after 5 consecutive defeats. They are currently at 3-8 in the 13th position of the Eastern Conference. At home, the Hornets could win just 1 of the 5 fixtures. On the road trips, they have a record of 2-4 till now. The Charlotte Hornets lost the last game to the Washington Wizards with a score of 100-108.

Heat vs Hornets Winning Odds

The Miami Heat got enough time to formulate some plans after a disappointing start to the tournament. They got two days of rest after the last game. The status of Tyler Herro is still questionable. His presence can make a big difference. There will be high expectations from Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo once again.

It will be challenging for the Charlotte Hornets to remain 100% fit as it would be their third game in four nights. The injury of Gordon Hayward has been a big disadvantage for the Hornets over the last few games. A complete team effort would be required to trouble the Heat in their own backyard

As per FiveThirtyEight, the Miami Heat have a chance of winning this fixture.

  • Miami Heat: 77%
  • Charlotte Hornets: 23%

Heat vs Hornets Prediction: Team Stats

Miami Heat

  • The Miami Heat have played with a low scoring average of 108.0 points along with 27.7 assists per game. They got a success rate of 34.4% in the 3-pointer field goals.
  • The defense stats look even more discouraging. The Heat maintained an average of 40.2 rebounds per game. They have played with the averages of steals and blocks per game as 8.2 and 2.9 respectively.

Charlotte Hornets

  • The Charlotte Hornets have a scoring average of 109.1 per game so far. The average number of assists per game stands at 26.5. They converted 33.9% of the 3-pointers into goals.
  • In the defense, the Hornets played with an average of 45.9 rebounds per game along with 7.5 assists and 6.3 blocks per game.

Heat vs Hornets Head-to-Head Stats

Both these teams have played a total of 117 regular season games against each other in NBA history. The Miami Heat are ahead with  71 wins, while the Charlotte Hornets managed to win 46 fixtures.

If we check out the stats of the last 5 meetings, there is nothing for the Hornets as all those 5 games were won by the Heat. The previous meeting took place in the last season on 5 April 2022. The Miami Heat won that matchup with a score of 144-115.

Heat vs Hornets Prediction: Players to Watch Out

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler (Small Forward)

Points Per Game: 20.9 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.1 | Assists Per Game: 5.7

Tyler Herro (Point Guard)

Points Per Game: 19.6 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.4 | Assists Per Game: 2.6

Participation in the next game is subject to fitness

Bam Adebayo (Center)

Points Per Game: 17.7 | Rebounds Per Game: 8.1 | Steals Per Game: 1.2

Charlotte Hornets

Terry Rozier (Shooting Guard)

Points Per Game: 22.8 | Assists Per Game: 6.3 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.0

Kelly Oubre Jr. (Shooting Guard)

Points Per Game: 17.6 | Rebounds Per Game: 4.0 | Steals Per Game: 1.3

P.J. Washington (Power Forward)

Points Per Game: 16.5 | Rebounds Per Game: 4.5 | Blocks Per Game: 1.4

Heat vs Hornets Injuries

Miami Heat

  • Tyler Herro (Point Guard)
  • Udonis Haslem (Power Forward)
  • Omer Yurtseven (Center)
  • Victor Oladipo (Shooting Guard)

Charlotte Hornets

  • Cody Martin (Small Forward)
  • Gordon Hayward (Small Forward)
  • LaMelo Ball (Point Guard)

Heat vs Hornets Prediction: Final Insight and Predicted Winner

The Miami Heat will look to bring their top form back and dominate the Hornets in front of the home fans. They need to consistently play well and aim for a good winning streak over the next few weeks to improve their position in the Eastern Conference. The Charlotte Hornets, on the other hand, will be under immense pressure to avoid another defeat. They need to take advantage of the defense of the hosts as it did not look too good this season. All the predictions and betting platforms are favoring the Heat for this matchup.

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