2021 NJ Governor Race Polls: Phil Murphy ahead of Jack Ciattarelli in latest polls

2021 NJ Governor Race Polls: Phil Murphy ahead of Jack Ciattarelli in latest polls
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As per the latest 2021 NJ Governor Race Polls, Democrat Phil Murphy is facing a close fight from Jack Ciattarelli.

Fabrizio,lee and Associates poll

The 2021 NJ Governor Race will see Incumbent governor Phil Murphy face off against Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli. The New Jersey Gubernatorial election has been scheduled for 2nd November this year.

In October 2020, Governor Phil Murphy formally announced his intention to run for re-election for a second term and won his Democratic Primary uncontested. His opponent Jack Ciattarelli prevailed in a primary over 3 other candidates and became the Republican nominee to take on the Governor

Phil Murphy has been leading in every opinion poll till now and is favored to easily win this election. His approval ratings too are far from dire and are good enough to give him a comfortable win. Jack Ciattarelli on the other hand struggles with the negative image of Trump in the state and his low name recognition

The New Jersey Governor Race this year shouldn’t be seen as a referendum of any sort on anyone whether it be Trump or Biden or any issue as no Republican candidate can play the same cards here that would matter in a generic Presidential Race. But it will be worth watching if the final results are in line with the 2020 Presidential Election or not.

NJ Gubernatorial First Debate : September 28th

NJ Gubernatorial race second debate: October 12th


2021 NJ Governor Race Polls : Latest Polls and poll analysis, 20th Sept

The only NJ Governor Race polls 2021 are as below:-

Polling Company
Date
Phil Murphy(D)
Jack Ciattarelli(R)
Average
May-Aug 2021
48%
35.6%
13th -1th Sept
45%
42%
24 -29th Aug
43%
41%
11-16th Aug
52%
36%
9th -16th June
48%
33%
May 21st to 29th
52%
26%

Voter Registration by Congressional Voting District

As per the latest National Research Inc. poll (this can be considered as a Partisan Republican Poll)

  • Phil Murphy is ahead at 45% while Jack Ciattarelli is behind him at 42%
  • About 10% of all voters are undecided
  • Jack may trail governor Murphy by 3 points today, but he was trailing Murphy by 12 points in June and 17 points in April! The gap is reducing
  • Jack is winning the support of 80% of Republicans and 45% of Independents
  • Murphy is winning the support of only 69% of Democrats and 40% of Independents

Some other findings of the poll are

  • Only 33% approve of the job that Governor Murphy has done to reduce taxes.
  • Only 42% approve of the job that Governor Murphy has done on job creation.
  • President Biden’s job approval has slipped from 60-34% in February, to 47-44% today.


2021 NJ Governor Race Polls : Racial and Demographic makeup

Racial Group
Percentage of Population
White American(Non-Hispanic)
51.9%
Hispanic American
21.6%
African American
12.4%
Asian American
10.2%
Others+Multi-racial
3.9%

As per the US 2020 Census results, the population of New Jersey is 9,288,994

The 2020 census also found New Jerseyans to be increasingly older. From counting 6.7 million over-18 residents in 2010, the Census Bureau now defines nearly 7.3 million residents as adults. The percentage rose from 76.5% to 78.4%.

.The state also has a burgeoning Hispanic/Latino population fuelled by both Migration and a high birth rate at home.

About half of all Asian Americans are estimated to be Indian Americans.

2021 NJ Governor Race Polls: Google Trends, 20th Sep

Right now, Phil Murphy is ahead of Jack Ciattarelli in Google Trends and searches.

THis is not good for Jack Ciattarelli at all, his biggest problem is the lack of name/issue awareness around him, the lesser people are searching about him the more they don’t know about him. It is also indicative of a lack of enthusiasm around him.

Compare these figures to the US presidential Election (1st October to 2nd November) where despite being ahead of Joe Biden in google trends, Joe was 16 points ahead of Trump after the counting was finished.

Jack really needs to up his game and strategize to get ahead.

In the last 7 days
Phil Murphy:75%, Jack Ciatterelli: 25%



2021 NJ Governor Race Polls: Latest News coverage, 20th Sep

20th Sep
N.J. Gov. Phil Murphy provides COVID update. How to watch live today. (Sept. 20, 2021)

‘Stop the Steal’ rally in Bedminster shadows Ciattarelli

Former gov candidate looks to take NJ GOP further right

19th Sep
Gov. Phil Murphy to Speak at Meet the Candidate event of Morris County Chamber Sept. 30

Podcast: David Wilsten interviews Republican gubernatorial candidate Jack Ciattarelli and Democratic Governors Association political director Marshall Cohen
Jack Ciattarelli starts speaking at the 13th minute

NJ HAS STARTED MAILING OUT BALLOTS IN THE ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR

With democracy under attack, Ciattarelli joined the Trump crazies. His excuse is implausible. | Moran

18th Sep
Gubernatorial Candidate Ciattarelli Holds Town Hall Meeting in Hasbrouck Heights

Jack Ciattarelli, Marshall Cohen join Wildstein on NJ Globe Power Hour on 77 WABC

Latino Action Network Endorses New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy for Re-Election

Mail-in ballots going out in campaign for NJ governor



3 things to watch as the New Jersey governor’s race enters the homestretch

2021 NJ Governor Race Polls : Latest tweets ,20th Sep

jack
murphy
phil

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2021 NJ Governor Race Polls : Latest Videos and Ads,20th Sep

Phil Murphy Live Covid briefing


Ad showcasing Union support for Phil Murphy

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No Description


Fred Guttenberg, Gun Safety and Control Advocate endorses Phil Murphy

This Election Day, you make the call.



2021 NJ Governor Race Polls :How has the state voted in previous elections?

The last time New Jersey voted for a Republican as President was in 1988, the last time a Republican was elected to the US Senate from the State was in 1972. Both Houses of the States have been held by Democratic Majorities since 2002. As of July 1, 2020, there are more registered Democrats than independent voters for the first time in the state’s history.

But a Republican, Chris Christie did win the gubernatorial election twice in 2009 and 2013. So this state is not a lost cause for the Republicans as long as they get their act right and contest while being Fiscally conservative and socially liberal if not moderate.

As per the latest figures, New Jersey is a solid blue state with 39.1% of voters registered as Democrats and 22.4% registered as Republicans. In any New Jersey Governor Race, the republicans will start at a disadvantage

A)Presidential Elections

In the 2020 US Presidential Election, Joe Biden won 57.33% of the vote share while Republicans won 41.40% vote share in New Jersey. Biden won huge margins in the state’s major cities such as Newark, Jersey City, Paterson, Trenton, Atlantic City, Camden, and several others.
He even flipped Gloucester County which Trump had won in the 2016 election. Biden also won Morris County, which had never voted Democratic in any presidential race since 1964. Of 565 municipalities, Democrats won 310 municipalities while Republicans were ahead in 255 municipalities. In 2016 they were ahead in 307 municipalities.

Year
Democratic Candidate
Democratic Voteshare
Republican Candidate
Republican Voteshare
2020
Joe Biden
57.14%
Donald J Trump
41.26%
2016
Hillary Clinton
54.77%
Donald J Trump
41.00%
2012
Barack Obama
58.38%
Mitt Romney
40.59%
2008
Barack Obama
57.27%
John Mccain
41.70%
2004
John Kerry
52.92%
George Bush
46.24%

The last Republican to win the state was George H.W. Bush in 1988.

B)Gubernatorial Election

Year
Winning Candidate
Winner’s Voteshare
Runner-up
Runner-up’s Voteshare
2017
Phil Murphy(D)
56.0%
Kim Guadagno(R)
41.9%
2013
Chris Christie(R)
60.3%
Barbara Buono(D)
38.2%
2009
Chris Christie(R)
48.5%
Jon Corzine(D)
44.9%
2005
Jon Corzine(D)
53.5%
Doug Forester((R)
43.0%

C)House of Representatives Elections

Year
Democrat Party Seats
Democratic Voteshare
Republican Party Seats
Republican Voteshare
2020
10
57.28%
2
41.58%
2018
11*
59.92%
1
38.68%
2016
7
54.16%
5
45.84%
2014
6
50.19%
6
48.17%
2012
6
54.67%
6
43.58%
* includes Jeff Van Drew who would later defect to the Republican Party

2021 NJ Governor Race Polls : What Happened in the Primary Election?

For Democratic candidature for the upcoming New Jersey Governor election, the incumbent governor Phil Murphy had formally announced in October 2020 that he was running for election. The primary election was held however his two primary challengers were disqualified. As a result, Phil Murphy was declared the Democratic candidate unopposed.

For the Republican candidature, five candidates including the Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli were in race. Doug Steinhardt withdrew his nomination before the Primary election leaving the fight between four candidates. Jack Ciattarelli got almost 50% of Republican votes while Phil Rizzo got 26% of votes. Hirsh Singh was 3rd in the race with 21.5% votes.

After the Republican Primary election, Jack Ciattarelli was declared as Republican candidate for the upcoming New Jersey Governor election.

New Jersey Governor race 2021 Polls and News: Diane Allen to be Republican running mate
Murphy is 'not New Jersey,' Republican Ciattarelli says in announcing run  for governor - nj.com

Read: 2021 Virginia Governor Election Opinion Polls: McAuliffe holds 2 Points Lead

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Jason Miles
Jason Miles
1 month ago

Not so sure how much of an effect it will have considering Citarelli is also on vacation.

kriisto
kriisto
22 days ago

If Jack can’t beat King NEW WORLD ORDER Phil who forced businesses to shut down and forced infected seniors to go into “clean ” nursing homes sending thousands of healthy seniors to unspeakable early graves AND said on National TV: THE BILL of Rights is “above my pay grade” then Jack, never Trump should open a hot dog stand in Asbury park and call it Jack’s RINO DOGS.

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