Liz Cheney Polls: Liz Cheney likely to win 12% of Presidential Election Vote

Liz Cheney Polls: Liz Cheney likely to win 12% of Presidential Election Vote

World Elects on Twitter: “๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ#USA, 2024 presidential election poll:Scenario: Liz Cheney runs as an independent.Trump (R): 41 %Biden (D): 38 %Cheney (I): 12 %Echelon Insights, 22/08/22 pic.twitter.com/olQ1MgH1MD / Twitter”

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ#USA, 2024 presidential election poll:Scenario: Liz Cheney runs as an independent.Trump (R): 41 %Biden (D): 38 %Cheney (I): 12 %Echelon Insights, 22/08/22 pic.twitter.com/olQ1MgH1MD

CALL TO ACTIVISM on Twitter: “BREAKING: Liz Cheney SLAMS Ted Cruz for lacking principle, calling him a “chameleon who will say anything, anytime.”RT if you agree with Liz Cheney! / Twitter”

BREAKING: Liz Cheney SLAMS Ted Cruz for lacking principle, calling him a “chameleon who will say anything, anytime.”RT if you agree with Liz Cheney!

Counting Update

Liz Cheney: 28.7%

Harriet Hageman: 65.7%

The Recount on Twitter: “Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), conceding defeat:”2 years ago, I won this primary with 73% of the vote. I could easily have done the same… But it would have required that I go along with President Trump’s lie about the 2020 election… That was a path I could not and would not take.” pic.twitter.com/8bPYQDZrxP / Twitter”

Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), conceding defeat:”2 years ago, I won this primary with 73% of the vote. I could easily have done the same… But it would have required that I go along with President Trump’s lie about the 2020 election… That was a path I could not and would not take.”

Observations and Insights: Liz Cheney Polls Wyoming

  • In the campaign’s final days, there is no hope for Liz Cheney. The last Mason Dixon Poll provides more insight into Liz Cheney’s Problems. 63% of likely primary voters disapproved of Liz Cheney’s decision to serve in the Jan 6th committee, and 61% believe that serving in the committee has prevented Cheney from dealing with important Wyoming issues.
    • Only 27% of Wyoming’s Likely GOP Primary voters believe that the Jan 6th committee was carrying out an impartial investigation
  • Her Trump-endorsed counterpart Harriet Hageman has been constantly campaigning on the road and accusing Liz Cheney of being distant to Wyoming and ridiculing her for excessive involvement with the Jan 6th Committee even calling her out as a DC Diva.
  • In the latest Mason Dixon Liz Cheney Poll among likely primary voters in Wyoming, only 27% approved of Liz Cheney’s performance. 32% of those who intend to vote for Harriet Hageman are doing so because they support Hageman (University of Wyoming Survey) while 40% vote for Hageman because they oppose Liz Cheney
  • While Cheney appears to be outperforming amongst women, there is an overall sense of betrayal amongst Wyoming GOP voters that has become very difficult for Cheney to overcome
  • Liz Cheney’s strategy to try winning Moderate Republican and Democratic party crossovers also appears to be stalling
    • Only about 70k of 260k Wyoming voters voted for Joe Biden in 2020. The latest University of Wyoming survey has reported that only 8% of Likely GOP Primary voters are Democrats
    • While Liz Cheney leads Harriet Hageman by a wide margin on Google, much of those search requests are negative in intent (as evidenced by social media sentiment), and many of them also appear to be by Democrats. For example, Cheney leads the most in the Jackson Hole region, a county that Joe Biden won in 2020 by a huge margin. She also outperforms Hageman by a huge margin in Laramie another stronghold of the Democrats.
  • Lastly, ever since Trump endorsed early, clearing the field and reducing the chance that the “anti-Cheney” vote gets divided.

Check out Trump vs Biden Polls 2024

YouTube video

Liz Cheney Polls Wyoming

Liz Cheney has been polling around the 30% level over multiple polls suggesting that she is likely to lose BIG in Wyoming.

Polling AverageAugust 16th, 2022
Liz Cheney30%
Harriet Hageman58%
Wyoming Survey & Analysis CenterAugust 6th, 2022
Liz Cheney28%
Harriet Hageman56%
WPA Intel (Hageman)July 18th, 2022
Liz Cheney31%
Harriet Hageman59%

Check out the latest Alaska Senate Race Lisa Murkowski Poll here

Liz Cheney Polls: Cheney vs Trump Timeline

Liz Cheney as an Independent in November?

Cheney has a better chance of winning the election in November than in the Primary election two weeks from now.

  • Liz Cheney is certain to lose the primary and is unlikely to win more than 35% of the vote.
  • 70% of registered voters in Wyoming are Republicans
  • If Democrats and Independents back Cheney in November, Cheney will need to win about 30% of the Republican vote to win the General election which is not impossible.
  • Therefore, the probability of Cheney winning 30% of the Republican vote and a large proportion of the Democratic party and Independent vote is much higher than her winning more than 35% of the vote in the Primary
  • That said, the scenario is highly speculative and should be read with caution.

Liz Cheney Approval Rating Wyoming

According to the latest poll by the Casper Star Tribune, the main reason for the high disapproval rates of House Rep. Congresswoman Liz Cheney is her involvement with the Jan 6th Committee.

Liz Cheney Approval Rating as the Vice-Chair of Jan 6th Committee

Quinnipiac PollJune 2022
Approve
All Voters39%
Democrats75%
Republicans17%
Disapprove
All Voters37%
Democrats7%
Republicans61%

Liz Cheney Polls: Favorability

YouGov PollJune 2022
Favorability36%
Unfavorability38%
Cygnal Internal PollMay 2022
Favorability27%
Unfavorability71%

Liz Cheney Polls Wyoming: Latest Google Search Update

Past 24 hours
Liz Cheney60%
Harriet Hageman40%
Past 7 days
Liz Cheney68%
Harriet Hageman32%

Wyoming Primary Polls 2022: Social Media Net Sentiment (Last 7 days)

August 16th
Cheney-46.9%
Trump-56.6%
Hageman-9.7%
August 3rd
Cheney-47%
Trump-64%
Hageman-33%
July 15th
Cheney-40%
Trump-52%
Hageman-57%

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Campaign News

Cheney Polls Wyoming: Latest Videos

Liz Cheney: Right-Wing Icon, Trump Criticโ€ฆ Private Citizen?

YouTube video

Cheney Polls Wyoming 2022: Latest Tweets

Ron Filipkowski ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ on Twitter: “I have absolutely no doubt in my mind that if you told Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger 20 months ago that serving on the J6 Committee and voting to impeach Trump would cost them their seats in Congress, they would do it again without hesitation or regret. / Twitter”

I have absolutely no doubt in my mind that if you told Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger 20 months ago that serving on the J6 Committee and voting to impeach Trump would cost them their seats in Congress, they would do it again without hesitation or regret.

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Candidates in the Republican Primaries

The major candidates running in this Primary are:-

  • Liz Cheney, incumbent US House Representative
  • Harriet Hageman, lawyer, a former member of the RNC and Trump’s chosen candidate to defeat Liz Cheney
  • The last time the state elected a Democrat to this seat was in 1976. And the last time the seat witnessed a competitive election was in 2006.
YearRepublican
Candidate
Republican
Voteshare
Democratic
Candidate
Democratic
Voteshare
2020Liz Cheney68.56%Lynette
Grey Bull
24.58%
2018Liz Cheney63.59%Greg
Hunter
29.77%
2016Liz Cheney62.03%Ryan
Greene
29.97%
2014Cynthia
Lummis
68.47%Richard
Grayson
22.90%
2012Cynthia
Lummis
68.89%Chris
Henricksen
23.83%
2010Cynthia
Lummis
70.42%Dave
Wendt
24.58%

Liz Cheney Polls: Racial Demographics of the State

As per the 2020 Census

DemographicProportion
White American81.4%
Hispanic American10.2%
Multi-racial4.1%
Others4.2%

An overwhelming majority of voters in the state are White, the same is the case in the Republican Primary

Wyoming Primary Polls 2022: Endorsements

  1. Liz Cheney
  • George W Bush, 43rd President (2001 – 2008)
  • Bill Cassidy, U.S. Senator from Louisiana (2015 – Present)
  • Jeff Flake, former U.S. Senator from Arizona (2013 – 2018)
  • Susan Collins, U.S. Senator from Maine (1999 – present)
  • Charlie Baker, Governor of Massachusetts (2015 – present)
  • Jeb Bush, Governor of Florida (1999 – 2007)
  • Paul Ryan, US House Speaker (2015 – 2019)
  • John Boehner, US House Speaker (2011 – 2015)

Many of Liz Cheney’s supporters and donors can be considered to belong to the Republican ‘Establishment’, ‘Never-Trumper’, and moderate wings of the party. Both incumbent senators who have endorsed Cheney voted to impeach Trump.

2. Harriet Hageman

There are no 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls on the Democratic Primary simply because there is no activity on the Democratic Side regarding this house seat. Statistics posted below may tell us why they aren’t enthusiastic about this election regardless of who wins this Republican Primary

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Voter Registration as of October 31, 2021.

As per figures released by the Wyoming Secretary of State.
Wyoming has about 281,000 registered voters

  • Registered Republicans are 70.4% of all registered voters
  • Registered Democrats are 15.9% of all registered voters
  • 12.5% of voters are unaffiliated while 0.9% of voters belong to the Libertarian Party

Republicans are a majority of all voters in all but 2 counties in the state. In 2020 Donald Trump won Wyoming by 43 points, his best state in the nation.

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: How Wyoming has voted in the past

The last time the Democrats won a statewide race was in 2010; the last time they won a senate seat was in 1976.

A) Presidential Elections

The last time Wyoming voted for a Democratic President was in 1964.

Since 1968, no Democrat has crossed 40% of the total vote share

Year Republican
Voteshare
Democratic
Voteshare
202069.9%26.6%
201668.2%21.9%
201268.6%27.8%
200864.8%32.5%
200468.9%29.1%
200067.8%27.7%

C) Liz Cheney’s Primary Performance

YearLiz Cheney’s Voteshare
201638.78%
201863.7%
202073.46%

Crowdwisdom compiles polls from all sources but unlike RCP or 538 retains only recent polls. This gives the reader a better idea of the latest situation.

Wyoming Primary Polls:

Read: Wisconsin Governor Polls 2022

Read: Bitcoin Price Prediction

Read: Ethereum Price Prediction

Subhash

Subhash

Subhash, Founder of Crowdwisdom360 is an MBA and a Trained Financial Advisor with an extensive background in Forecasting in Financial Services and Politics. He has appeared many times on National TV and has written for a variety of magazines on Wealth Management and Election Strategy.