Alberta Provincial Election Polls 2023

Alberta Provincial Election Polls 2023

Alberta Elections Polls: The latest Alberta polls are in favor of the opposition, New Democratic Party.

  • Latest Danielle Smith polls 2023: NDP: 47% UCP: 38%, Alberta Party: 3%
  • Google Search Volume: NDP: 50% UCP: 38%, Alberta Party: 12%
  • Net Sentiment: NDP: -27% UCP: -57.4%, Alberta Party: -17.7%

In 2015, the New Democratic Party under the leadership of Rachel Notley formed the government for the first time in Alberta and the same year saw the Wildrose Party and the Alberta Progressive Conservative Party contesting for the last time separately. In 2017, the two parties merged to form United Conservative Party.

The merger of the two parties turned out to be advantageous as the United Conservative Party unseated the ruling Alberta New Democratic Party and formed their government. Jason Kenny went on to become the Premier of Alberta in 2019. Jason Kenny resigned as Premier in October this year paving the way for Danielle Smith as Premier.

In 2023, Alberta will once again vote to elect the new government. Danielle Smith, the current Premier of Alberta will be leading the United Conservative Party while the New Democratic Party will be led by Rachel Notley. Notley has been the leader of Alberta NDP since 2014. The Alberta Party will run under the leadership of Barry Morishita.

The Alberta Election is scheduled to be held on May 29th, 2023 to elect the new members of the Legislative assembly of Alberta unless the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta specifies a different date.

Alberta Provincial Election Polls 2023: Observations and Insights

  • The NDP is ahead in most Polls with Huge swings across most demographic segments
    • Men: +19%
    • Women: +21%
    • Under 25: +19%
    • Calgary: +14%
    • Edmonton: +11%
  • The Conservatives continue to outperform or match the NDP among less-educated voters, among those who are unemployed, and among retired citizens
  • On what issues are the Conservatives struggling? (Beginning with the Worst)
    • Managing Healthcare
    • Managing K-12 education
    • Post-secondary education
    • Reducing Crime
    • Getting Pipelines Built
  • In terms of social media sentiment, Alberta Party has the best sentiment among the top three parties but the sentiment for all three parties is negative.
YouTube video

Latest Danielle Smith polls

Average of PollsNov 22nd
Alberta Party3.3%
Janet Brown OpinionOct 30th
Alberta Party3%
Navigator LTDOct 11th
Alberta Party4%
LegerOct 10th
Alberta Party3%
  • UCP: 38%
  • NDP: 50%
  • Alberta: 12%


  • Rachel Notley: 4%
  • Danielle Smith: 93%
  • Barry Morishita: 3%

Alberta Elections Poll 2023: Social Media Sentiments

  • UCP: -57.4%
  • NDP: -27%
  • Alberta Party: -17.7%

Alberta Opinion Poll: What Happened in the Last Election?

The Alberta election was the election for the 30th Alberta Legislature. It was held on April 16, 2019. The election was the first election for the United Conservative Party which was formed by the unification of Wildrose and the Alberta Progressive Conservative Party.

Jason Kennedy was the leader of the party and the UCP was able to form its government in its very first election. The party secured a 54.88% vote share. The ruling Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) was reduced to 40.62% vote share. UCP won 63 seats while NDP won 24 seats down from 52 seats that it had won in the last election.

The Alberta Party failed to win any seats. They polled less than 3% of the total votes.

Jason Kennedy went on to become the Premier of Alberta after the election.

Alberta General Elections Polls 2023: Demography

As of July 1, 2022, Alberta’s population was 4,543,111. As per the latest data, Alberta added 40,253 residents in the second quarter of 2022.

-The maximum population lives in urban areas. Around 81% of the population lives in urban areas and 19% lives in rural areas. Calgary is the largest city with an estimated population of 1.1 million and a metropolitan population of 1.21 million.

Edmonton is the capital of Alberta. Racially Alberta has 80.3% white, 13.9% belonging to a visible minority group and 5.8% Aboriginal. English is the native language spoken in Alberta.

Alberta is very ethnically diverse, with many immigrants from England, Scotland, Ireland, Wales, Germany, France, Ukraine and Scandinavia. Alberta has the second-highest percentage of Francophones (French speakers) in western Canada.

How is the election in Alberta Conducted?

The Legislative Assembly of Alberta is a unicameral assembly with 87 members. The members are elected by first past the post method from single-member electoral districts. To be a candidate for election to the assembly, a person must be a Canadian citizen. The person must be older than 18 and must have lived in Alberta for at least six months before the election.

Alberta Election Polls
Alberta Election Polls
Nitesh Singh

Nitesh Singh

Nitesh is primarily focused on political analysis and creates political opinions based on data. He also takes interest in writing Crypto articles mostly related to price predictions.

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