Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: DeSantis Favorite to be Re-Elected

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: DeSantis Favorite to be Re-Elected
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Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Governor Ron DeSantis is in the driving seat to be re-elected to another term as Florida Governor.

Google Trend Data shows the fight for Democrat Primary Race to be an intese one with Nikki Fred having a slight edge over Charlie Crist as of now.Polls, gOOGLE Search

After winning by less than a point in 2018 against Andrew Gillum, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is expected to win re-election, as he leads most polls. His Democratic opponent will be chosen in a primary on August 23, 2022.
This would be a turnaround from last decade where every single gubernatorial race was decided by under 1.2 points. In fact, the last time any candidate got a majority of the vote in the election was 2006, when then-Republican Charlie Crist defeated Democrat Jim Davis 52.2% to 45.1%.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Candidates

A. Democratic Primary

  • Charlie Crist, U.S. representative and former Republican governor of Florida
  • Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture
  • Annette Taddeo, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014

B. Republican Primary

  • Ron DeSantis, incumbent governor
  • John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official and candidate for governor in 2018

The Democratic primary is expected to be competitive with former Republican-turned-Democrat Charlie Crist the favorite according to polls. The Republican primary should be a cakewalk for the incumbent as he remains deeply popular with the Republican base and has received Trump’s endorsement. Hence, no primary polls could be conducted on the Republican side. DeSantis is seen as a potential 2024 presidential nominee in the event Trump does not run again.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Democratic Party Primary polls

Polling Company
Fieldwork
Charlie Crist
Nikki Fried
Annette Taddeo
Undecided
Aug 10-11
33%
36%
N/A
31%
Aug 4-10
38%
27%
N/A
30%
June 9-11
41%
31%
N/A
29%
May 24-26
55%
22%
N/A
12%
May 4
53%
30%
N/A
April 15-20
28%
26%
13%
34%
Average
April 15- Aug 11
41.3%
28.7%
13%

Polls show Charlie Crist with a decent lead, averaging 41% in the polls, while Fried polls at 29%. The two most recent polls, both conducted in August show a much closer race. Public Policy Polling is the only poll conducted so far that shows Fried with a lead, however, it is within the Margin of Error (+/- 6%).

image 136

However, the Google Trends Data has been in favor of Nikki Fried as compared to Charlie Crist, despite her being favored by most of the polls. Therefore, before the big Florida Governor Race, the fight for the Democratic ticket is going to be intense. New polls with respect to Democratic Primary are yet to be published therefore it will be highly unwise to consider the old polls.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest General Election Polls

Polls have been conducted asking head-to-heads between the incumbent and Crist as well as Fried.
His lead against Fried is over double digits while he leads by 8 points against the former Governor.

A. Ron DeSantis v Charlie Crist

Polling Company
Fieldwork
Ron DeSantis
Charlie Crist
Nov 18-19
51%
45%
Nov 9
46%
40%
Oct 17-23
47%
35%
Sept 23-27
47%
39%
Average
Sept 23-Nov 19
47.8%
39.8%

A. Ron DeSantis v Nikki Fried

Polling Company
Fieldwork
Ron DeSantis
Nikki Fried
Nov 18-19
51%
42%
Nov 9
50%
37%
Oct 17-23
46%
33%
Sept 23-27
48%
38%
Average
Sept 23-Nov 19
48.8%
37.5%

Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)‘s poll has some interesting bits of information. It shows why DeSantis is favoured to win another term.

  • Ron DeSantis has an approval rating of 52%, with 43% disapproving. 42% of Floridians strongly approve of his job as Governor.
  • It shows DeSantis in a close race against Crist, leading 46% to 43%. 7% remain undecided and 3% would vote for someone else
  • It however shows him with a commanding lead against Nikki Fried as he leads her by 10 points, 50% to 40%.
  • According to the recall vote, it shows a polled electorate that voted for Biden for 3 points, 50% to 47%, when Biden lost by 3 points in 2020.

    Read: Florida Senate Race 2022 Polls

Last 7 Days
Ron DeSantis: 88%
Nikki Fried: 9%
Charlie Crist: 2%

image 151

DeSantis is ahead of both his Democrats challengers in terms of Google Trends. In the last 7 Days, DeSantis has occupied over 91% of the space in Google Trends while Nikki Fred has 7% of the total search. Charlie Crist has been struggling.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Campaign News

1. Florida bill backed by governor would shield white people from ‘discomfort’ of past discrimination
2. Gov. Ron DeSantis’ Proposed Election Police Force Alarms Voting Rights Advocates

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis wants special police unit to oversee state’s elections

Voting bills and bid to change Senate rules fail

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Originally tweeted by Ron DeSantis (@GovRonDeSantis) on January 20, 2022.

While our country struggles with supply chain problems and inflation caused by the Biden Administration, in Florida, we are expanding programs to produce more truckers and, in the process, bolster Florida’s supply chain resiliency.

FJkFn8MXoAEMLBL

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Racial Demographics of Florida

As per the 2020 Census figures

Demographic
Proportion
White American
51.5%
Hispanic American
26.5%
African American
14.5%
Asian Americans
2.9%
Multiracial
3.7%
Others
0.9%

Most of Florida’s Hispanics are Cubans. In fact, Florida as a state due to its close proximity to Cuba has the highest proportion of Cuban Americans in the country. Most of the community is well known for its antipathy to Communism or Socialism due to most of the community being forced to migrate due to the actions of the Communist government of Cuba.

There’s a large chunk of Puerto-Ricans in Florida, especially in the Orlando Metro area. They moved to Florida due to its cultural similarities, due to the poor economic conditions in Puerto Rico and after Hurricane Maria devastated the island in 2018. The remaining Latino population is very diverse, hailing from various countries from South America including Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela etc.

Florida has been crowned as one of the best places to retire due to its weather and beaches. Thus the state also has a large retiree population. 20% of the population is over 65 years of age.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Party Registration

Florida has been a reliable swing state since 1992 fiercely contested between the 2 major parties.

In the last 20 years, the Republican party has grown more powerful in Florida and has been able to win over most state-level elected offices. Currently, except the Agriculture Commissioner, it holds nearly each and every single office in the state including the 2 Senate seats and 16/27 US House Representative Seats.

As per the latest figures released by the Florida Secretary of State:-

Registered Republicans are 35.77% of total voters
Registered Democrats are 35.93% of total voters

Registered Independents are 26.54% of total voters

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