Four Question Marks on the Exit Polls

There are essentially four major question marks on the exit polls

  • The Satta bazaar did not change its predictions. It is not that they are perfect with the numbers but it is unusual for them to not to move in consonance with the exit poll. Perhaps these numbers will change today
  • Neta Poll which relies on polls at the seat level suggests a tremendous low of 242 seats for the NDA. Now, it is likely that the Opposition have figure out this poll and planted folks in every seat but frankly that is not easy. This may not end up being accurate at all but who knows it could end up being like 2014’s Today’s chanakya – Black Swan Prediction
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  • State level predictions have huge variations
Image result for UP variations exit poll
Source: Newsclick