Four Question Marks on the Exit Polls

There are essentially four major question marks on the exit polls

The Satta bazaar did not change its predictions. It is not that they are perfect with the numbers but it is unusual for them to not to move in consonance with the exit poll. Perhaps these numbers will change today

Neta Poll which relies on polls at the seat level suggests a tremendous low of 242 seats for the NDA. Now, it is likely that the Opposition have figure out this poll and planted folks in every seat but frankly that is not easy. This may not end up being accurate at all but who knows it could end up being like 2014’s Today’s chanakya – Black Swan Prediction

Image result for neta app exit poll

State level predictions have huge variations

Image result for UP variations exit poll — Source: Newsclick

In Odisha, the local Exit polls have shown BJD performing well in both the elections while National Exit polls show BJD performing well in just the assembly election. This is one State where both the ruling party and opposition disagree with the exit polls (for opposite reasons of course)