Israel Election Polls 2022: Netanyahu Block at 62 Seats, Joint List Split Gives Bibi an Edge

Israel Election Polls 2022: Netanyahu Block at 62 Seats, Joint List Split Gives Bibi an Edge

Israel Election Polls 2022: The latest Israel Election Opinion Polls predict Likud+ forming a government with a simple majority. As per the poll, Netanyahu Block may win 61 seats, the anti-Netanyahu block may win 55 seats and Joint List may win 4 seats.

Israel Opinion Poll (Average of last 3 Polls): Netanyahu+: 61, Lapid+: 55, Hadash and Ta’al: 4
Latest Israel Election Polls 2022: Netanyahu+: 62, Lapid+: 54, Hadash and Ta’al: 4

Google Search Share (7 Days Average): Netanyahu: 31%, Lapid: 69%

Social Media Sentiment: Lapid: -7.9%, Netanyahu: -32.9%

Crowdwisdom360 Prediction: The Israel election 2022 is heading for a close finish. We predict the election be a tossup.

When Is the Israel Election 2022?

Within 3 years, Israel is set to vote for the 5th time to elect the new members of the Knesset. On March 23rd, 2021, Israel voted to elect the members of the 24th Knesset. It was after this election, that the 15 years of Netanyahu’s reign came to end. However, the election result was once again a fragmented one with none of the blocks having a majority number of 61 in the 120-member Knesset.

Neftali Bennet along with Yair Lapid came to an agreement and formed a 7 party coalition government with Neftali Bennet as Prime Minister for the first 1.5 years. The coalition itself was on a shaky good as it stood at the mercy of Islamist Party Ra’am leader Mansour Abbas. On June 20th Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Foreign Minister Yair Lapid agreed to dissolve the parliament next week and go for the election later this year.

Israel election 2022 is scheduled for November 1st and the deadline for the submission of the Party list is 15th September.

Israel Election Polls: Parties and Alliances

Anti-Netanyahu Alliance or Current Government Parties: Yesh Atid, Blue & White, New Hope, Yamina, Labor, Yisrael Beiteinu, Meretz, and Ra’am.

Note: Blue & White and New Hope are now running jointly as National Unity while Yamina is now running jointly with The Jewish Home under the Jewish Home name.

Netanyahu Block: Likud, Shas, Religious Zionist Party, Otzma Yehudit, and United Torah Judaism (UTJ).

Note: Religious Zionist Party and Otzma Yehudit previously ran as Religious Zionist Party. However, they split and again came together.

Joint List: Previously Union of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad.

Now Hadash and Ta’al are together while Balad is running solo.

Israel Election Polls 2022: Prediction Table

Who is Winning?Trending Towards
PollsLikud+ Likud+
Google SearchLapidNetanyahu
Social Media SentimentLapidLapid

Lapid calls for two-state solution with Palestinians in UN speech 

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Israel Election Opinion Poll 2022 (Last Updated September 24th)

Latest Polls (Last 3 Polls) For Netanyahu Block

Direct PollsCamil FuchsMidgam
Likud343234
Religious Zionist Party + Otzma Yehudit121411
Shas988
UTJ777
Netanyahu Block626160

Latest Polls (Last 3 Polls) For Anti-Netanyahu Block

Direct PollsCamil FuchsMidgam
Yesh Atid232523
National Unity131112
Labor455
Yisrael Beiteune656
Ra’am445
Meretz455
Jewish Home
Current Gov545556
Hadash+Ta’al444

Israel Election News: Latest

Joint List Splits Again

Joint List or Coalition of Arab Parties has once again split. After the last election, Ra’am left Joint Split and shook hands with Yair Lapid’s group, and this time just before the September 15th deadline for the submission of the party list, Joint List, the coalition of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad split again.
Hadash and Ta’al have decided to run together while Balad will go solo.

A few days back, Balad and Hadash announced that they will run together but there was no word from Ta’al. But now with Ta’al in, Balad has decided to run solo.

Polls predict, that the combined Arab Party excluding Ra’am may win 5-6 seats.

Israel Election News (סקרי בחירות בישראל): Sequence Of Events

September 15th: Joint List splits again. Hadash will run solo while Ta’al and Balad to run together.

September 13th: Yamina and Jewish Home have decided to run on a Joint ticket. Yamina recently parted ways with Derekh Eretz and Zionist Spirit.

September 11th: The two parties forming Zionist Spirit, Yamina and Derekh Eretz decided to split up. They came together to form Zionist Spirit on July 27th.

September 4th: Former Yamina MK Abir Kara forms a new political party called Economic Freedom.

August 28th: MK Avi Maoz’s Noam Party decided to run solo in the November 1st election.

August 26th: Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party agree to the terms and reunite.

August 23rd: Zehava Gal-On became the leader of the Meretz. She defeated Yair Golan in the election.

August 15th: The Religious Zionist Party officially Splits. Otzma Yehudit declares a solo run in the upcoming General election.

August 14th: Former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot and former Yamina MK Matan Kahana join Blue and White–New Hope to form the National Unity Party.

August 2nd: Former Yisrael Beiteinu MK Eli Avidar forms a new political party called Free Israel.

July 27th: Yamina and Derekh Eretz announced to contest the upcoming election in a joint alliance. The alliance will be called Zionist Spirit

July 10th: Benny Gantz and Gideon Sa’ar have decided to come together to contest the upcoming election together. Benny Gantz’s Blue and White Party and Gideon Sa’ar’s New Hope have inked a pact to run as together in the upcoming election.

July 3rd: Otzma Yehudit splits from the Religious Zionist Party.

July 1st: Yesh Atid’s leader, Yair Lapid took over the charge as Care Taker Prime Minister of Israel.

June 30th: The Knesset (24th Knesset) gets dissolved and the next election has been called for November 1st.

June 29th: Interior Minister Ayelet Shaked was appointed to lead Yamina in the next election after former Prime Minister and leader of Yamina, Naftali Bennett announced that he will not seek re-election and also stepped down as leader of Yamina.

June 20th: Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Lapid, Alternate PM agreed to dissolve the Knesset.

June 13th: MK Nir Orbach of Yamina left the coalition pushing the coalition to the minority.

Israel Election Polls 2022 (סקרי בחירות בישראל): Google Search Volume

Google Search Volume: The Google search volume indicates that despite being the opposition leader, Benjamin Netanyahu is more popular than the current PM Yair Lapid.

Search Keywords: Netanyahu and Lapid

Google Search VolumeLast 7 Days Average
Benjamin Netanyahu29%
Yair Lapid71%

Israel Election Polls 2022 (סקרי בחירות בישראל): Net Sentiment

Social Media Sentiment: Social media sentiment toward Benjamin Netanyahu has improved while for Yair Lapid it has turned from positive to negative.

Keywords: Benjamin Netanyahu and Yair Lapid

Social Media SentimentLast 7 Days
Benjamin Netanyahu-36.4%
Yair Lapid-7.3%

Israel Election Polls 2022 (סקרי בחירות בישראל): Latest Tweets

Israel Election Opinion Poll 2022: Latest Videos

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Israel Election Opinion Poll: What Happened in the Last Election?

The last General election in Isreal was held on March 23rd, 2021. It was the 4th election in a span of 2 years after the first three elections failed to provide a majority to any of the blocks.

A total of 39 parties were registered to contest the election and after the election, a total of 13 parties had their representation in the 24th Knesset. Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud was able to send the maximum MKs to the parliament. Likud won 30 seats which were 7 seats less than the seats won by his party in 3rd General election.

Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid was the biggest gainer as the party won 17 seats, that is 4 seats more than the last election, and received a vote share of around 14%. However, none of the parties or coalition came close to the majority, and in the end, anti-Netanyahu block support by the Arab party was formed under the leadership of Neftali Bennet and Yair Lapid.

Neftali Bennet, the leader of the Yamina Party went on to become the Prime Minister of Isreal putting an end to the 15-year rule of Benjamin Netanyahu. Here is a complete list of MKs from all the parties:

Israel Election Opinion Poll 2022: Last Election Result

Israel Election Opinion Poll: How is the Isreal Election Conducted?

The members of the Knessets are elected by closed-list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The threshold for the election is set around 3.25%, that is a party to qualify for having representation in the Parliament must have a minimum 3.25% vote share.

Added to it, two parties can sign a surplus vote agreement if they run together on the same list. In the last Israeli election, these parties signed a surplus vote agreement:

  1. Yamina and New Hope
  2. Yesh Atid and Yisrael Beiteinu
  3. Blue and White and New Economic Party
  4. Likud and Religious Zionist Party
  5. Israeli Labor Party and Meretz
  6. Shas and United Torah Judaism

Since the announcement of dissolving the Parliament by Prime Minister Neftali Bennett, several polls have been released for the upcoming 5th General election. None of the polls have shown any of the blocks having a clear majority. However, one thing is certain as per the polls, Likud is set to gain around 5-6 MKs in the upcoming election.

If this time, Likud manages to stitch an alliance with its former partners, like Yisrael Beiteinu or get Neftali’s Yamina and New Hope to their side, Benjamin Netanyahu could once again become the Prime Minister of Israel.

Israel Election Opinion Poll 2022: Conclusion

The next Israeli election may be held in the last week of October. The current coalition minus the Ra’am is in no place to win the majority mark. Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud and his RW block may fall short of the majority by 2 seats as per the latest poll.

Read: Biden vs Trump 2024 Polls: Who would win a possible Biden-Trump Rematch?

Israel Election Polls 2022

Netanyahu Bloc To Gain Majority As Per the Latest Israel Election Polls 2022

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