Roy Morgan Polls: Differences between 2022 and 2019 Australian Election Polls

Roy Morgan Polls: Differences between 2022 and 2019 Australian Election Polls

Roy Morgan Polls: Trend Analysis

The Coalition was trailing the ALP for most of March and early April on the Primary Vote. However, after the initial errors by Anthony Albanese, the two parties were on par until interest rates were increased. Labor is ahead now by a thin margin. As far as the TPP vote is concerned (Dotted Lines), the coalition has had no impact so far on the numbers.

Roy Morgan Polls How does it compare with 2019?

There are two major differences

  1. The dotted lines (TPP Vote) were much closer in 2019
  2. The Coalition was ahead in all the polls in April and early May

Roy Morgan missed the TPP results by 3% points. That error will not cover the gap between Labor and the Coalition and probably give ALP a narrow win.

Read our analysis of Newspoll trends here

Full Coverage of the Australian Elections 2022

Roy Morgan Polls: Differences between 2022 and 2019 Australian Election Polls

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Subhash

Subhash

Subhash, Founder of Crowdwisdom360 is an MBA and a Trained Financial Advisor with an extensive background in Forecasting in Financial Services and Politics. He has appeared many times on National TV and has written for a variety of magazines on Wealth Management and Election Strategy.