Roy Morgan Polls: Differences between 2022 and 2019 Australian Election Polls
Roy Morgan Polls: Trend Analysis
The Coalition was trailing the ALP for most of March and early April on the Primary Vote. However, after the initial errors by Anthony Albanese, the two parties were on par until interest rates were increased. Labor is ahead now by a thin margin. As far as the TPP vote is concerned (Dotted Lines), the coalition has had no impact so far on the numbers.
Roy Morgan Polls How does it compare with 2019?
There are two major differences
- The dotted lines (TPP Vote) were much closer in 2019
- The Coalition was ahead in all the polls in April and early May
Roy Morgan missed the TPP results by 3% points. That error will not cover the gap between Labor and the Coalition and probably give ALP a narrow win.