Japan vs Spain Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Japan vs Spain Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Japan vs Spain Prediction

When is Japan most Likely to score a goal? Japan is likely to score a goal in the Second half against Spain.

When is Spain Rica most likely to score a goal? Spain is most likely to score in the first half against Japan.

Who is likely to score a goal for Japan? Japan is most likely to score through Minamino.

Who is likely to score for Spain? Alvaro Morata is most likely to score for the Spanish team.

Japan vs Spain Score Prediction: Japan: 1 Spain: 2

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate the recent performances

Japan and Spain will face off at the Khalifa International Stadium on Thursday in Group E of the 2022 FIFA World Cup. The previous matchday saw contrasting results for both teams. Japan’s chances of qualifying were significantly increased by their victory over Germany and Spain’s hammering of Costa Rica. Spain, who scored seven goals against Costa Rica in their opening victory, appeared dangerous right away in the 1-1 draw against Germany. Despite the unfavorable results, Spain was the better team on the field.

Qualification to Round of 16: Japan will have to beat or hold Spain to a draw to make it to the next round. Spain will need just a draw to make it to the next round.

Japan vs Spain World Cup 2022 Prediction: Goal Analysis

Japan: Last 5 Matches

  • Japan has won 3 out of the last 5 tournament games, losing surprisingly to Costa Rica in the last game. The total goal aggregate for the last five matches is 11:2. Average first goal: 56 minutes. Japan has scored 80% of the goals in the second half in the last five matches.
  • In the last 10 matches (Including Friendlies), Japan has won 5 and lost 3. Against Non-Asian Teams, Japan has won 5 out of the last 10 games
  • Japan has played just 1 match against a European team giving us limited prediction capability

Star Japanese Players: Takumi Minamino (Monaco), Takehiro Tomiyasu (Arsenal), Wataru Endo (VFB Stuttgart)

Spain: Last 5 Matches (Only Tournament games)

  • Spain has won 3 out of the last 5 tournament matches, drawing against Germany in the World cup and losing to Switzerland in the Nations League clash. The total goal aggregate for the last five matches is 12:3.
  • Average First Goal: 40 minutes. Spain is dominating in the first half with the Spaniards scoring more than 55% of its goals in the first half.
  • Spain hasn’t played too many Asian teams recently

Star Spanish Players: Pedri (Barcelona), Busquets (Barcelona), Ferran Torres (Barcelona), Carvajal (Real Madrid), Rodri (Manchester City), Laporte (Manchester City), Jordi Alba (Barcelona), Olbo (Leipzig)

Japan vs Spain Prediction: Last game attack analysis

Japan is averaging 1.48 expected goals per match in the World Cup. Nippon has taken 12 shots and is averaging a 33% accuracy rate in the World Cup with its most threat coming in the second half and Japan has scored two of its goals in the latter half too. Two of Japan’s goal has come from open play. Japanese shots have been taken inside the box 60% of the time, which makes them likely to score against any team.

Spain’s performance has been quite contrasting in the last two matches. Spain’s expected goals against Costa Rica were 4x those against Germany. Spain struggled to make chances against a compact German side. Spain’s average shot 8 shots inside the box which renders them more likely than Japan to score.

xG: Expected goals take many Statistics into account like Shots on targets, Shots inside the box to arrive at the formula.

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Japan vs Spain Prediction: Forward Statistics


World Cup Qualification

Minamino had a shooting accuracy of 51% and scored 10 goals in 15 games, averaging 0.84 goals and 1.6 shots per game.

Yuya Osaka was Japan’s second-leading scorer in World Cup qualification. Osaka scored 10 goals in 11 games, averaging 1.01 goals per contest.

Japan: World Cup Goals (2022)

  • Ritsu Doan: 1
  • Takuma Asano: 1


The majority of Spain’s goals during the World Cup qualification stage were scored by Ferran Torres. Torres averaged 1.4 shots per game, a shooting efficiency of 38%, and 0.73 goals per 90 minutes.

Morata played in 7 games and scored twice altogether (0.37 goals per 90 minutes). Morata had a qualification score of 6.34 and averaged 2.1 shots per game.

Spain: World Cup Goals (2022)

  • Ferran Torres: 2
  • Danny Almo: 1
  • Marco Asensio 1
  • Gavi: 1
  • Soler: 1
  • Morata: 2

Japan Spain Prediction: Defensive Analysis

Japan has been pretty reliable defensively in all competitions in the last five games with two clean sheets and has conceded fewer shots than the average of the World Cup sides. But Japan has struggled in the World Cup in the last five matches with Nippon conceding more goals than Goal Forward. Japan has conceded 1.25 goals per match in its last five World Cup matches.

*3 goals were conceded against Belgium in the last World cup match.

Spain has been defensively strong in the last five games and has kept three clean sheets. Spain has conceded an average of 5 shots per game in the World Cup so far, lowest in the Group E. Talking about the last 5 World cup matches, Spain has conceded 0.8 goals per game and has kept two clean sheets.

Spain vs Japan Head-to-Head Statistics

Spain and Japan have only met once in the history of football. Spain defeated Japan 1-0 in the International Friendly held at Cardoba in 2001.

Spain vs Japan Prediction and Odds


Japan vs Spain Team News

  • The day after Spain’s World Cup match draw with Germany, Gavi was absent from the team’s Monday morning workout.
  • During the draw against Germany, Gavi suffered a slight injury. Spanish Midfielder was replaced in the second half after Spain took a 1-0 lead in the second half.
  • Hiroki Sakai and Takehiro Tomiyasu, two defenders who both missed Japan’s 1-0 loss to Costa Rica due to hamstring problems, are most likely to miss the game against Spain.

Japan vs Spain Predicted Lineup

Japan Predicted Line up (3-4-3): Gonda; Itakura, Yoshida, H Ito; Yamane, Endo, Tanaka, Nagatomo; J Ito, Asano, Kamada.

Spain Predicted Line up (4-3-3): Simon; Carvajal, Rodri, Laporte, Alba; Pedri, Busquets, Koke; F Torres, Morata, Olmo.

Spain vs Japan Prediction and Final Analysis

It would be a little bit more closer contest what people might think. As Japan demonstrated in the match against Germany, they are not pushovers and play with a lot of heart. Statistically too, they have been in reasonable shape with 3 wins in the last five matches in the tournament. However, they are yet to face quality pressing sides like Spain who can hurt them and make more chances from open play and score a lot more goals.

Prediction: Spain: 2, Japan: 1



Ajay has a deep and Profound interest in sports with a love for Statistics and is constantly looking to cater to and assist the Audience to Predict Sports events more accurately.