Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction

When is Poland most likely to score a goal? Based on our analysis, Poland is likely to score in the second half.

When is Saudi Arabia likely to score a goal? Saudi Arabia is more likely to score in the second half.

Who is likely to score a goal for Poland? Lewandowski is likely to score for Poland.

Who is most likely to score for Saudi Arabia? Saleh al shehri is likely to score for Saudi Arabia.

Goal Prediction? Poland: 2, Saudi Arabia: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate the recent performances

Saudi Arabia and Poland will face off at the Education City Stadium on Saturday in Group C of the 2022 FIFA World Cup. In Matchday 1, the results of both teams were contrasting.

In what was considered to be a David vs. Goliath showdown at Lusail Stadium, Saudi Arabia came from behind to defeat Argentina 2-1 and pull off one of the biggest upsets of the World Cup.

After Messi put Argentina ahead with a penalty kick in the first half, Saleh Al-Shehri and an outstaging strike from Dawsari in the second half sealed the victory for Saudi Arabia.

Poland and Mexico played to a scoreless draw in what was thought to be the most important game for both sides. With the exception of Ochoa’s heroic penalty save to prevent Robert Lewandowski from scoring his first World Cup goal of the tournament, the game saw little significant chances produced.

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction and Odds: Goal Analysis (World Cup Qualification: Last four matches)

  • Poland in its last four matches has won three and lost four. Poland’s one loss came against Hungary 2-1
  • The total goal aggregate for the last four matches is 8:4 Poland averaged two goals per match and conceded 0.75 goals per match.
  • Two of Poland’s matches have resulted in two or more goals. Against Andorra, he scored 4 points and against Sweden, he scored 2.
  • Approximately 55% of Poland’s goals in the World Cup qualification came in the second half.

Saudi Arabia Goal Analysis (World Cup Qualification: Last four matches)

  • Saudi Arabia has won 2 lost one and drew one in its last four games.
  • Saudi Arabia has been inconsistent in goal scoring with only three goals in its last four games. Saudi Arabia did not score more than one goal in any of its matches.
  • Saudi Arabia lost one of its game against Japan where they lost 2-0.
  • The total number of goals scored in their last four games stands at 3-3.

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction: Last game attack analysis

Poland and Mexico overall played a defensive game with less big chances created. With an overall xG of 0.94 goals, Poland’s attack was weaker than Mexico’s. excluding Penalty, Mexico played more threatening football to Poland. Poland shot 6 shots with only two shots on target and with an accuracy of 33%, which is 10% lesser than its average. Poland like World cup qualification was the most threatening in the second half with an xG of 0.90 goals.

Insights: Poland’s 75% of chances in scoring in the second half.

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia can consider itself extremely lucky to score two goals against Argentina. The Arab team played with a total xG OF 0.15 goals which is 1.85 goals lower to the actual goal scored. Saudi Arabia shot 3 shots in total with two on targets with a shooting accuracy of 66%, the highest in all World cup games. all three shots came in the second half.

Insights: Saudi Arabia’s best chance of scoring can come in the second half.

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Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction: Forward Statistics


  • Poland’s offensive will be led by Robert Lewandowski. Lewandowski averaged 1.14 goals every 90 minutes while playing for Poland in the World Cup Qualifying. In addition, he contributed 4 assists, or 0.51 assists per game.
  • Along with Adam Buksa, Karol Swiderski was Poland’s second-highest goal scorer throughout the World Cup qualifying process. Swiderski averaged 1.14 goals every 90 minutes while scoring 5 goals in the nine games.
  • Adam Buksa did not have an assist while scoring 5 goals in 6 games at 1.62 goals per 90 minutes.

World Cup Goals: Poland (2022)

  • 0

Saudi Arabia:

  • For Saudi Arabia in the World Cup Qualifications, Salem al Dawsari has scored 7 goals in 13 games at a goal average of 0.54 and a shooting efficiency of 40%.
  • Saleh al Shehri, who scored seven goals for Arabia in 13 games, is a significant forward for Saudi Arabia.

World Cup Goals: Saudi Arabia (2022)

Salem al Dawsari: 1 goal (Non-Penalty)

Saleh al Shehri: 1 goal (Non- Penalty)

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction: Defensive Analysis

The xG Poland conceded against Mexico was a mere 0.75. The team put up a strong defensive performance, with outstanding interceptions, clearances, Blocks and Keeper Saves.

  • In total, Poland made 8 interceptions, 3 blocks, 23 clearances, and 4 keepers saves.

Saudi Arabia might find itself lucky, as Argentina scored less goals despite 2.26 xG. Saudi Arabia conceded 15 shots, 6 of which were on target. Out of those 15 shots, 11 were conceded inside the box. The Goalkeeper for Saudi Arabia was the only one who stood out and made a real difference. He made 5 saves in total with a saving rate of more than 80%.

  • Saudi Arabia made 14 interceptions, 2 blocks, and 27 clearances against Argentina.

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Head-to-Head Statistics

Poland and Saudi Arabia have played four games against each other. Poland has defeated Saudi Arabia each time with the last meeting being 2-1 in the favour for the Polish team.

  • Both teams are yet to face each other in the World Cup.

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Head-to-Head: Some Statistics

Total Goals per game: 2.25

Poland’s Goals per game: 1.75

Saudi Arabia’s Goals per game: 0.50

Poland vs Saudi Arabia Prediction and Odds

PolandSaudi Arabia

Poland World Cup Squad

Goalkeepers: Kamil Grabara, Łukasz Skorupski, Wojciech Szczęsny

Defenders: Jan Bednarek, Bartosz Bereszynski, Matty Cash, Kamil Glik, Robert Gumny, Artur Jędrzejczyk, Jakub Kiwior, Mateusz Wieteska, Nicola Zalewski

Midfielders: Krystian Bielik, Przemysław Frankowski, Kamil Grosicki, Jakub Kaminski, Grzegorz Krychowiak, Michal Skoras, Damian Szymański, Sebastian Szymański, Piotr Zielinski, Szymon Żurkowski

Forwards: Robert Lewandowski, Arkadiusz Milik, Krzysztof Piątek, Karol Świderski

Saudi Arabia’s World Cup Squad

Goalkeepers Muhammad Al Owais Mohammed Al Rubaie Nawaf Alaqidi

Defenders Sultan Al-Ghannam Abdulelah Al-Amri Ali Al-Bulaihi Abdullah Mado Saud Abdul Hamid Hassan Tumbukti Yasser Al Shahrani Muhammad Al-Buraik

Midfielders Abdullah Otaif Abdulelah Al Malki Riad Shrahili Ali Al Hassan Salman Al-Faraj Muhammad Kanoo Nasser Al Dawari Sami Al-Najei Hattan Bahbari Salem Al Dawsari Fahad Al-Muwallad Abdulrahman Al-Aboud

Attackers Haitham Asiri Firas Al-Buraikan Saleh Al Shehri

Final Analysis

Poland might have a say after Saudi Arabia’s fairy-tale finish against Argentina. Poland was pretty compact against high-pressing Mexico and that was clearly evident in the xG which was clearly in line with its performance in the last few matches in the World cup qualification. Saudi Arabia’s defied all odds and Statistics to register a win against Argentina as they scored more than one goal for the first time in 18 matches.

Despite its strange defying finish against Argentina, we suspect Numbers will prevail in the game. Poland with its consistency in its last few games are favourite to finish this game. Poland to win: 2-1



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