Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction: Statistical Analysis

Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction

When is Portugal most likely to score a goal? Based on our analysis, Portugal is likely to score in the second half.

When is Uruguay likely to score a goal? Uruguay is more likely to score in the second half.

Who is likely to score a goal for Portugal? Ronaldo is likely to score for Portugal.

Who is most likely to score for Uruguay? Luis Suarez is most likely to score for Uruguay.

Goal Prediction? Portugal: 2, Uruguay: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate the recent performances

On Monday, Portugal and Uruguay will square off at the Lusail Stadium in Group H of the 2022 FIFA World Cup. Both teams had contrasting results on Matchday 1.

Portugal opened their World Cup campaign with a 3-2 victory over Ghana at Stadium 974, thanks to two quick goals from Joao Felix and Rafael Leao after Cristiano Ronaldo had put his team ahead.

Diego Godin and Fede Valverde both missed the goal post during Uruguay and South Korea’s opening Group H match at the Education City Stadium. During the game, neither team managed to get a shot on goal.

Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction and Odds: Goal Analysis (World Cup Qualification: Last five matches)

  • Portugal has won three, drawn one, and lost one of its most recent five World Cup Qualifiers games.
  • Portugal had to contend with North Macedonia, Serbia, Luxembourg, Ireland, and Ireland.
  • Portugal defeated Turkey, Macedonia, and Luxembourg while scoring two goals or more in each victory.
  • Portugal’s final five World Cup contests had an overall score of 9:3, averaging 1.8 goals per game and allowing 0.6 goals each contest.

*Some More Shots to add to your Prediction

  • Portugal took 13 shots per goal to score a goal in the World Cup Qualification and averages 21 shots per game.
  • Portugal’s overall shooting accuracy in World Cup qualifying was 40%.

Uruguay Goal Analysis (World Cup Qualification: Last five matches)

  • Uruguay has won four of its last five games. Overall Uruguay won four and lost one.
  • Uruguay has scored a goal or two in four of the last five matches and has failed to score once against the Bolivia.
  • Uruguay aggregated 8-2 or averaged 1.6 goals per match and conceded 0.40 goals per match.
  • Uruguay average 1st goal came in the first half .
  • Uruguay took 11 shots per goal to score a goal in the World cup qualification and averages 20 shots per game.
  • Uruguay’s overall shooting accuracy of World cup qualifying was 42%.

Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction: Last game attack analysis

Portugal was dominant against Ghana with 11 shots and played with a shooting accuracy of 45% with a total xG of 2.00. 7 shots came inside the box. With an xG of 1.36, Portugal was more dominant in the second half as in its World Cup qualification and Nations League campaigns.

  • Portugal average shot: 11
  • Shooting accuracy: 45%
  • Most xG came from open play: 1.01

Uruguay: Last attack analysis

Uruguay failed to make any impression against Uruguay and played with a total xG of 0.59. Uruguay shot 10 shots with a target of 10%. Uruguay’s most shots came from open play.

  • Uruguay’s avg shot: 10
  • Shooting accuracy: 10%
  • Most xG came from: Open Play: 0.42
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Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction: Forward Statistics



  • Portugal scored 21 goals in 10 games during the World Cup qualifying phase, averaging 2.10 goals per game.
  • Ronaldo played in nine games, scoring six goals on average (0.67 goals per game) and dishing out one assist (0.11 assists per game). Furthermore, 47% of the shots were successful.
  • Diogo Jota added two assists to his five goals, which he scored at a rate of 0.83 goals per game. Jota averaged 1.16 goals and 1.16 assists per game while maintaining a 41% shooting accuracy.
  • The third-highest goal scorer for Portugal throughout the World Cup qualifying process was Bruno Fernandes. A midfielder scored 0.43 goals on average per game.

World Cup Goals: Portugal (2022)

  • Ronaldo: 1
  • Jaao Felix: 1
  • Rafael Leao: 1


  • Uruguay scored 22 goals in 8 games during the World Cup qualifying phase, averaging 1.22 goals per game.
  • Luis Suarez was prolific for Uruguay scoring 8 goals in 14 matches at 0.65 goals per match at a shooting accuracy of 42%.
  • Arrasceata was the second-highest goal scorer for Uruguay. The Midfielder scored 5 goals in 8 matches at 0.82 goals per match.
  • Edinson Cavani scored 2 goals at 0.39 goals per match.

World Cup Goals: Uruguay (2022)

  • 0

Portugal vs. Uruguay: Defense Analysis

Portugal played excellent defense in the World Cup qualifying matches. The 2016 European Champions recorded five shutouts and had strong numbers on important defensive metrics. Portugal averaged 6 interceptions, 25 clearances, and a 75% success rate in tackles.

Uruguay conceded 22 goals in 22 fixtures with the South American side conceding one goal per match. The defence conceded 76 shot on target. The Uruguay’s clean sheet percentage of 44%.

Portugal vs Uruguay Head-to-Head Statistics

Portugal and Uruguay have played three games against each other. Both teams are level with one win each and one game ended in a draw.

Last Game: Uruguay defeated Portugal 2-1 in the 2018 World Cup.

Portugal vs Uruguay Head-to-Head: Some Statistics

Total Goals per game: 2.66

Portugal’s Goals per game: 1.66

Uruguay’s Goals per game: 1.00

Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction and Odds


Portugal World Cup Squad

Goalkeepers Diogo Costa, Rui Patrício, Jose Sa

Defenders Joao Cancelo, Diogo Dalot, Nuno Mendes, Raphael Guerreiro, Pepe, Ruben ,Dias, Danilo Pereira, Antonio Silva

Midfielders William Carvalho, Ruben Neves, Joao Palhinha, Bernardo Silva, Joao Mario, Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes, Otavio, Matheus Nunes

Attackers Cristiano Ronaldo, Joao Felix, Rafael Leao, Goncalo Ramos, Ricardo Horta, Andre Silva

Uruguay World Cup Squad

Goalkeepers Fernando Muslera, Sebastian Sosa, Sergio Rochet

Defenders Diego Godin, Jose Maria Gimenez, Sebastián Coates, Guillermo Varela, Marten Caceres, Jose Luis Rodreguez, Ronald Araujo, Mathias Olivera ,Matias Vina

Midfielders Matias Vecino, Lucas Torreira ,Manuel Ugarte, Federico Valverde, Rodrigo Bentancur, Nicolas de la Cruz, Agustin Canobbio, Giorgian de Arrascaeta

Forwards Facundo Pellistri, Luis Suarez, Darwin Nunez, Edinson Cavani, Facundo Torres, Maximiliano Gomez

Final Analysis

This match is expected to be a close contest between both sides. Both sides are on par with each other on head-to-head as well as form. However, Portugal’s attack has been performing well with an average of two or more goals in previous matches. Uruguay has had difficulties scoring goals in both qualification for the World Cup as well as in recent matches, scoring one goal on average per game.

The same stats can be concurred by the Previous game with Portugal scoring heaps of goal and Uruguay struggling in their last match.

Prediction: Portugal: 2, Uruguay: 1



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