Arizona Governor Race 2022 Polls: Katie Hobbs To Be The Next Governor?
- July 5th: Arizona Governor Race 2022 Polls: General Election: Hobbs 45%, Lake 44%
- Republican Primary Election Polls: Kari Lake: 33%, Karrin Robson: 25%.
- Democratic Party Primary Election Polls: Katie Hobbs 49%, Marco Lopez 20%
- Google Search (GOP): While Kari Lake has gained 4 points over the last 6 weeks, social media sentiments against her are worsening
- Net Sentiment: The net sentiment of Katie Hobbs is better than her Democratic Party’s rivals. In the GOP field, Katie Robsons’ sentiments have worsened.
The Arizona Governor Race 2022 will be held on November 8th. The Primary polls will be held on August 2, 2022. Incumbent GOP Governor Ducey is termed out after serving 2 terms.
Table of Contents
Arizona Governor Polls: Republican Party
Trump-endorsed Kari Lake is the favorite to win the upcoming GOP Primary race. The latest polls give her a 12-points lead over her nearest rival Karrin Robson. Taking the average of 2 latest polls, Kari Lake has an 8-point lead over Karrin Robson.
The Kari Lake Polls favor her to be the next Governor of Arizona. However, the average of Polls for the November 8th General election has the Democratic Candidate, Katie Hobbs leading by 1-point.
| Date | |
| Average | July 5th |
| Kari Lake | 33% |
| Karrin Robson | 25% |
| Matt Salmon | 15% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | June 14–16, 2022 |
| Kari Lake | 39% |
| Karrin Robson | 27% |
| Matt Salmon | 15% |
| Republican-leaning Data Orbital | June 1st |
| Kari Lake | 27% |
| Karrin Robson | 23% |
| Matt Salmon | 12% |
Republican Party Primary: Latest Google Trends For Last 7 days
Kari Lake has been gaining over Ms. Robson over the last 6 weeks
| July 5th | |
| Kari Lake | 80% |
| Karrin Robson | 20% |
| June 30th | |
| Kari Lake | 83% |
| Karrin Robson | 17% |
| June 15th | |
| Kari Lake | 79% |
| Karrin Robson | 21% |
| June 1st | |
| Kari Lake | 78% |
| Karrin Robson | 22% |
Republican Party Primary Social Media sentiments
| July 5th | |
| Kari Lake | -11.4% |
| Karrin Robson | -32.3% |
| June 30th | |
| #Kari Lake | -17.6% |
| #Karrin Robson | 32.9% |
Read: Mandela Barnes Polls
Arizona Governor Candidate 2022 Polls: Democratic Party
| Date | |
| OH Predictive Insights | May 31st |
| Katie Hobbs | 43% |
| Marco Lopez | 9% |
| GQR (Katie Hobbs Internal) | May 15th |
| Katie Hobbs | 49% |
| Marco Lopez | 20% |
Democratic Party Primary: Latest Google Trends For Last 7 days
| July 5th | |
| Katie Hobbs | 81% |
| Marco Lopez | 19% |
| June 30th | |
| Katie Hobbs | 79% |
| Marco Lopez | 21% |
Democratic Party Primary: Social Media Sentiments
| July 5th | |
| Katie Hobbs | +1.1% |
| Marco Lopez | +6.6% |
| June 30th | |
| Katie Hobbs | -2.2% |
| Marco Lopez | – |
Arizona Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos
Arizona Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets
Originally tweeted by Dan Farley (@realDanFarley) on July 5, 2022.
I was in the area so I figured I’d stop in and say hello to our next Governor. @KariLake was very on message today and is campaigning hard. I plan to help her get into office by supporting phone banking efforts all this month. She will be our next Governor. Watch it happen!! 🇺🇸
Originally tweeted by Katie Hobbs (@katiehobbs) on July 4, 2022.
What a great way to celebrate Independence Day — at the Flagstaff 4th of July parade, hearing from voters who care about the future of our state! I look forward to working for you on affordability, education, water and much more.
Who is leading the Arizona Governor Race?
Kari Lake, the Republican is leading the Arizona Governor Race as per the latest poll.
Arizona Governor Poll Numbers: General Election
Lake vs Hobbs
| GQR Research (D) | May 9–15, 2022 |
| Kari Lake (R) | 45% |
| Katie Hobbs (D) | 50% |
Considering Lake to win the upcoming Arizona Governor GOP Primary race and Katie Hobbs as a probable candidate for Democratic Party, the average poll (3 polls) for the upcoming Arizona Governor Race is in favor of Katie Hobbs is ahead of Kari Lake. The last two polls have given Hobbs lead over Kari Lake.
Arizona Governor Polls 2022: Robson vs Hobbs
| GQR Research (D) | May 9–15, 2022 |
| Karrin Robson (R) | 46% |
| Katie Hobbs (D) | 47% |
| Data Orbital (R) | Feb 11–13, 2022 |
| Karrin Robson (R) | 42% |
| Katie Hobbs (D) | 47% |
Taking Karrin Robson as GOP candidate against Katie Hobbs, the polls give a minor lead to Hobbs over Robson.
Who is running for governor in Arizona?
Republican Primary – Key Contestants
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor
- Matt Salmon, vice president of government affairs at Arizona State University,
- Karrin Taylor Robson, Land Developer
- Scott Neely, Businessman
- Paolo Tulliani Zen, Businesswoman
Democratic Primary – Key Contestants
- Katie Hobbs, Arizona Secretary of State (2019–present)
- Marco López Jr., former chief of staff for the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (2009–2011) and former mayor of Nogales (2001–2004)
| How Trump’s Endorsement Has Helped Kari Lake In Arizona? Kari Lake has been a frontrunner in the upcoming GOP Primary Race as per the polls. However, for Lake, things started to improve only after the endorsement by Donald Trump. After Trump’s endorsement, the very first poll released showed the surge in acceptance of Kari Lake among the Republicans of Arizona. Lake’s numbers increased 7 percentage points to 34.5% while Robson’s dipped down to 21.3%. One of the main reasons for Trump’s endorsement being crucial in Arizona is that the popularity of Donald Trump in Arizona is very high. He enjoys a 76.5% favorability rating among the Republicans. Among the remaining around 9% have a neutral feeling towards Trump. |
Arizona Governor Election 2022 Polls: Demographics
Arizona is a white majority state with a large Hispanic population. Latinos make up the majority in Phoenix and Tucson as well as along the border. 63% of the population lives in Maricopa County which is home to Phoenix and other cities like Scottsdale, Mesa, and Tempe. It is the 4th most populous county in the USA. Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win the county since 1948, helping him win the state. This is the most important county in the state, and maybe the country.
As per the latest 2020 Census figures
| Demographic | Proportion | |
| White American | 53.4% | |
| Hispanic American | 30.7% | |
| Black American | 4.4% | |
| Asian American | 3.5% | |
| Native Americans | 3.7% | |
| Multiracial | 3.7% | |
| Others | 0.6% |
Arizona Politics: Voter Registration
From the latest figures released by the Arizona Secretary of State.
As of July 2021, the state has 4.32 Million Registered Voters.
34.72% are registered, Republicans
31.78% are registered, Democrats
32.60% are Independents
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