California Governor Election 2022 Polls: California Election Result To Be In Line With Polls?

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: California Election Result To Be In Line With Polls?
June 6th, 2022: California Governor Election 2022 Polls: Latest Poll shows Gavin Newsom is well placed to win the upcoming California election.

GOP Candidate, Brain Dahle is set to win the GOP Primary race. Amongst the Republicans, Brian Dahle and Anthony Trimino are frontrunners to winning the upcoming GOP Primary Race (Google Search Data)

After choosing not to recall the incumbent Governor, Gavin Newsom in 2021, California is set to vote once again to elect a new Governor of the state on November 8th, 2022. However, before the General election, the state undergoes a primary election which is scheduled for June 7, 2022.

SFGate Survey for California Governor Election

The SFGate survey shows that Gavin Newsom is making his way to one of the biggest wins. As per the survey, 50% of the respondents favor Gavin Newsom as a Governor while for his nearest challenger, Brain Dhale only 10% of the respondents want to see him as Governor of California. The independent Micheal Shellenberger has the support of 5% of the respondents.

The survey found that Newsom has support from 83% of California Democrats and 46% of independents.

California Gubernatorial Election 2022 polls: Observations and Insight

The incumbent Governor Gavin Newson survived the recall election despite the California Republicans putting in their all effort to make the referendum to recall Gavin Newson pass.

Since then the Republicans have almost lost hope of defeating Gavin Newson and that may be the reason that GOP candidate for recall election Larry Elder declined to contest the upcoming California election. Currently, there are 12 candidates who are running in the upcoming GOP Primary race and almost none have the chance of defeating Gavin Newson. Brian Dahle is the favourite to win the upcoming GOP election. However, when it comes to the General election he may not have much of a chance of defeating Gavin Newsom.

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: Latest Polls

DateBrian DahleGavin NewsomMichael ShellenbergerAnthony Trimino
BerkeleyIGSMay 3110%50%5%3%
SurveyUSAMay 157%40%2%1%

California Governor Polls 2022: GOP Google Trends

The GOP field is quite crowded but after analyzing every candidate, two candidates have a good chance of winning the upcoming GOP Primary election. The candidates are:

  1. Anthony Trimino
  2. Brain Dahle

The Google search volume for Brain Dahle has shot up on the night before the California votes in the Primary election. The trends clearly indicate Brain Dahle heading for a win in the GOP Primary race.

Brian DahleAnthony Trimino
Last 4 Hours71%29%
Last 7 Days62%38%
June 2nd55%45%

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: Democratic Party Google Trends

Gavin NewsomAnthony FanaraArmando Perez-SerratoJoel Ventresca
Last 4 Hours65%8.7%8.7%8.7%
Last 7 Days81%5%7%7%
May 31st91%3%3%3%
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California Governor Election 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Senator Brian Dahle on Twitter: “Another great evening on the campaign trail with Jack Armstrong and Joe Getty @AandGShow. #GOTV #CA #Fairfield / Twitter”

Another great evening on the campaign trail with Jack Armstrong and Joe Getty @AandGShow. #GOTV #CA #Fairfield

Gavin Newsom on Twitter: “Red flag laws save lives.CA will be investing millions to increase awareness on gun-violence restraining orders — which allow individuals to report threats and temporarily ban people from possessing a gun if they are deemed a threat. / Twitter”

Red flag laws save lives.CA will be investing millions to increase awareness on gun-violence restraining orders — which allow individuals to report threats and temporarily ban people from possessing a gun if they are deemed a threat.

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: Latest Videos

YouTube video

California Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest News

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: The Candidates

However, the GOP is pretty crowded with over 10 candidates running for the June 7 Primary election.

  • Ronald A. Anderson
  • Shawn Collins
  • Brian Dahle
  • Ron Jones
  • Jenny Rae Le Roux
  • David Lozano
  • Daniel R. Mercuri
  • Robert C. Newman
  • Lonnie Sortor
  • Anthony Trimino
  • Major Williams
  • Leo S. Zacky

Democratic Party

  • Anthony Fanara
  • Gavin Newsom, the incumbent governor
  • Armando Perez-Serrato
  • Joel Ventresca

Republican Party

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: Other Non-Party Candidates

  • Michael Shellenberger

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: Rules for Voting

Since the 2020 Presidential election, California has made universal mail-in ballots and in-person voting on election day permanent. The registered voter in California will receive a ballot in the mail. After being marked by the voters, the ballot should be returned by mail before June 7. The voters can also vote by walking to their nearest polling booth.

The last day to register to vote n California is May 23. However, one can still conditionally register and vote up through June 7.

Voter Registration

The last date for the voter registration for upcoming California was May 23rd. However, the ones who have missed the May 23rd registration deadline can register themselves by accessing the conditional voter registration platform. The conditional voter registration began on May 24th.

From May 28 and June 6, vote centres start at 10 a.m. and end at 7 p.m. On the primary election day, which is June 7, the voting starts at 7 a.m. and ends at 8 p.m.

California Governor Election 2022 Polls: General Election Prediction

California has been a den of Democrats and since 1992 California has voted for the Democratic Party in every Presidential election. If we talk about the upcoming California Governor election, even before the conclusion of the Primary election, almost all the Predictions by the well-known procrastinators have been in favor of the Democrats.

The latest prediction for the upcoming California Governor election has been The Cook Political Report and Inside Election. Both the platforms have predicted a win for the Democratic Party irrespective of the candidates.

California Governor Polls 2022: How California has voted in previous electoral races?

It is no understatement to say that the Democratic Party dominates California lock, stock and barrel. Since the year 1994 the Republican Party has been on a downswing in the state with the only time it could put up a fight being in 2003 and 2006 in the Gubernatorial Race. But since then no Republican has won any elected office statewide.

For perhaps the first time, no Republican could qualify and appear on the ballot in the Election to the US Senate in the 2016 Senate Election As per California voter registration statistics of February 2021, 46% of the state identifies as Democrat and 24% as Republican.

To think that Presidents Ronald Reagan (a Republican Hero) and Richard Nixon were denizens of this state and won it decisively just a few decades back boggles the minds of most people.

A) Presidential Races

YearDemocratic CandidateDemocrat VoteshareRepublican CandidateRepublican Voteshare
2004John Kerry54.31%George Bush44.36%
2008Barack Obama61.01%John Mccain36.95%
2012Barack Obama60.24%Mitt Romney37.12%
2016Hillary Clinton61.73%Donald Trump31.62%
2020Joe Biden63.48%Donald Trump34.32%

The last time a Republican Presidential Candidate won California was in 1992 and no Democrat has gone below a Voteshare of 50% since 1996.

B) Gubernatorial Races

YearWinning CandidateWinner’s VoteshareRunner-UpRunner-Up’s Vote share
2003-RecallArnold Schwarzenegger(R)48.6%Cruz Bustamente(D)31.5%
2006Arnold Schwarzenegger(R)55.9%Phil Angelides(D)38.9%
2010Jerry Brown(D)53.8%Meg Whitman(R)40.9%
2014Jerry Brown(D)60%Neel Kashkari(R)40.%
2018Gavin Newsom(D)61.9%John Cox(R)38.1%

The last a Republican won the Gubernatorial Election was in 2003 when Arnold Schwarzenegger won the election in the 2003 Recall. Since then no Republican has come close to ousting a Democrat.

The last time the Republican Party got more than 40% of all voters in the House of Representatives Races was in 2010, since then it has slowly been losing more and more ground to the Democrats

California Election: FAQ’s

  • How long Has Newson Been the Governor of California?

Gavin Newson has been serving as Governor of California since 2019. He is the 40th Governor of California. Gavin Newsom has been the Governor of California for over 4 years now.

  • Can Gavin Newson Run for Governor Again?

As per the rules, a Governor in California can serve for 2 terms. If Gavin Newsom wins the upcoming election, it will be the last 4 years of him as Governor. However, if he loses, he will be able to run for the office once again.

  • How long was Arnold Schwarzenegger the governor of California?

Arnold Schwarzenegger was one of the rare Republicans who had an opportunity to serve as Governor of California. He was Governor of California for 8 years (2003-2011).

  • Who ran for California Governor in 2014?

In 2014, Jerry Brown was the Democratic Party’s candidate and Neel Kashkari was the GOP candidate. Jerry Brown won the election by a massive 20%. He got a 60% vote share.

  • Who is Governor Newsom Wife?

Governor Newsom is married twice. First to Kimberly Ann Guilfoyle (2001-2006). Kimberly Ann Guilfoyle also served as an advisor to the 45th President of the United States, Donald Trump.

Currently, Newsom is married to Jennifer Siebel Newsom since 2008. She is the first lady of California.

How Polls were Wrong In California Recall Election 2021?

The Polls were wrong and as we mentioned earlier, the polls were underplaying Newsom’s votes. Google search data confirmed our hypothesis and the data showed us that Governor Newsom was in fact performing better than in the 2018 election.

California Governor Election 2022 Polls

Read: 2024 Presidential Election Polls: Trump Leads Biden by 14% In New Poll

Read: LA Mayor Race Polls 2022

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