Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Charlie Crist Marches Ahead In Dems Primary Polls

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Charlie Crist Marches Ahead In Dems Primary Polls
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Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Charlie Crist is ahead in Polls. In Google Trendss for the first time Charlie Crist has overtaken Nikki Fried

Governor Ron DeSantis is in the driving seat to be re-elected to another term as Florida Governor.

Polls, Google Search, May 16th

After winning by less than a point in 2018 against Andrew Gillum, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is expected to win re-election, as he leads most polls. His Democratic opponent will be chosen in a primary on August 23, 2022.

Observation and Insights

Florida Governor Primary election has very less importance when it comes to the GOP field as the current Governor Ron DeSantis is very much popular among the Republicans and he is expected to have no challenge in the Primary.

The Democratic field, though less crowded is expected to be a close one. The latest poll numbers show Charlie Crist is way ahead of his rival Democratic Party’s candidate, Nikki Fried.

Why we are calling the election to be close?

Since Donald Trump became the President of the United States in 2016, the Democrats have created a sense of hatred for Trump and anything related to Trump is equally disliked by the Democrats. The Democratic Party voters may have some sort of soft corner for the Republican Party but the same is not true for Donald Trump.

Recently a picture of Charlie Crist and Volodymyr Shcherban surfaced dating back to 2006. Volodymyr Shcherban is a pro-Russian politician who has been in news recently. Added to it Charlie Crist was a close ally of Trump back in 2005-06 when Crist himself was a Republican. Now the reason we call the election to be a close one is not just based on this one fact but on our observation of certain parameters that have played an important role in determining the result of the election.

Nikki Fried has been behind Charlie Crist in the majority of polls. But our data based on Google search and net sentiment shows that Fried is more popular than Charlie Crist. However, it would be too early to predict the outcome of the election based on our observations. We would wait for a few more days before giving a firm outlook of the Democratic Party’s Primary election.

Read: Best Pollsters Biden Approval Rating: Biden Improving a little but Risks remain

Who is Running for Florida Governor 2022?

A. Democratic Primary

  • Charlie Crist, U.S. representative and the former Republican governor of Florida
  • Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture
  • Annette Taddeo, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014

Florida Governor Polls: Latest Democratic Party Primary polls

Poll source
Date(s)
Charlie
Crist
Nikki
Fried
Undecided
May 2-3rd
52%
19%
24%
April 8-10th
35%
20%
41%
Feb 7th-20th, 2022
55%
32%
12%
Average of Polls
May 2022
47%
24%
26%

Democratic Party Primary, Google Search Comparison Last 7 Days

Charlie Crist
Nikki Fried
May 16th
44%
56%
May 10th
51%
49%
May 2nd
57%
43%

Democratic Party Primary, Social Media Sentiment Comparison

Charlie Crist
Nikki Fried
May 16th
-16%
+10%
May 10th
-16.1%
-17.4%
May 2nd
-26.8%
-27.6%

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Latest Campaign News

2022 Florida Governor Race Polls: Latest General Election Polls

Polls have been conducted asking head-to-heads between the incumbent and Crist as well as Fried. Ron DeSantis is ahead of both the major Democrats.

A. Ron DeSantis v Charlie Crist

Polling Company
Fieldwork
Ron DeSantis
Charlie Crist
Average
May 16th
43%
41%
May 9th
36%
35%
March 29
49%
33%
Feb 23
44%
56%

A. Ron DeSantis v Nikki Fried

Polling Company
Fieldwork
Ron DeSantis
Nikki Fried
Average
March
52%
36%
March 29
51%
27%
Feb 23
50%
50%
Feb 7-20
55%
32%

The latest Florida Governor poll by Interactive Polls gives Ron DeSantis the lead over his opposition. DeSantis maintains a comfortable 8% point lead over Charlie Crist while against Nikki Fried he has a lead of 11%.

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Social Media Sentiment Comparison


Ron DeSantis
Charlie Crist
Nikki Fried

May 16th
-16%
-38%
+10%
May 10th
-29.7%
-16.1%
-17.4%
May 2nd
-18.8%
-26.8%
-27.6%
April 28th
-33.1%
-15.5%
-22%

Florida Governor Race Polls: Latest Videos

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Barbara Seiders on Twitter: “I generally wait to see how the Democratic primaries turn out before weighing in on races in other states. But Crist wants to have it both ways, says he supports women’s decisions but is pro-life. Yeah, no. I just set up a new recurring donation to @NikkiFried. https://t.co/YpLlLlapom / Twitter”

I generally wait to see how the Democratic primaries turn out before weighing in on races in other states. But Crist wants to have it both ways, says he supports women’s decisions but is pro-life. Yeah, no. I just set up a new recurring donation to @NikkiFried. https://t.co/YpLlLlapom

Florida Governor Polls: Racial Demographics of Florida

As per the 2020 Census figures

Demographic
Proportion
White American
51.5%
Hispanic American
26.5%
African American
14.5%
Asian Americans
2.9%
Multiracial
3.7%
Others
0.9%

Most of Florida’s Hispanics are Cubans. In fact, Florida as a state due to its close proximity to Cuba has the highest proportion of Cuban Americans in the country. Most of the community is well known for its antipathy to Communism or Socialism due to most of the community being forced to migrate due to the actions of the Communist government of Cuba.

There’s a large chunk of Puerto Ricans in Florida, especially in the Orlando Metro area. They moved to Florida due to its cultural similarities, the poor economic conditions in Puerto Rico, and after Hurricane Maria devastated the island in 2018. The remaining Latino population is very diverse, hailing from various countries in South America including Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela etc.

Florida has been crowned as one of the best places to retire due to its weather and beaches. Thus the state also has a large retiree population. 20% of the population is over 65 years of age.

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Party Registration

Florida has been a reliable swing state since 1992 fiercely contested between the 2 major parties.

In the last 20 years, the Republican party has grown more powerful in Florida and has been able to win over most state-level elected offices. Currently, except for the Agriculture Commissioner, it holds nearly each and every single office in the state including the 2 Senate seats and 16/27 US House Representative Seats.

As per the latest figures released by the Florida Secretary of State:-

Registered Republicans are 35.77% of total voters
Registered Democrats are 35.93% of total voters

Registered Independents are 26.54% of total voters

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls

Read our coverage of the US Senate and Governor Polls Here

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