Florida Governor Polls 2022: Crist vs DeSantis

Florida Governor Polls 2022: Crist vs DeSantis
Florida Governor Polls (Average of last 3 Polls): Charlie Crist: 42%, Ron DeSantis: 50%.

Google Search Share (Last 7 Days Average): Ron DeSantis: 88%, Charlie Crist: 12%.

Social Media Sentiment: Ron DeSantis: -55.4%, Charlie Crist: -41.1%.

CrowdwisdomLIVE Prediction: Ron DeSantis to win by a margin of 10%.

When is the Florida Governor’s Race?

The Florida governor elections will be held in the month of November 8, 2022. The Democratic Party Primary polls took place on August 23rd, 2022. Charlie Crist won the Democratic Party’s Primary election. He defeated Nikki Fried by a huge margin of 24%. Incumbent governor Ron DeSantis (R) was nominated unopposed by anyone.

Florida Governor Election 2022 Predictions Table

Who is Leading?Trending Towards
PollsRon DesantisRon Desantis
Google Search ShareRon DesantisRon Desantis
Social Media SentimentCharlie CristCharlie Crist

Florida Governor Race: Insights and Observations

  1. Ron DeSantis appears to have lost momentum after Roe vs Wade. 57% of Floridians disapprove of the recent SCOTUS decision to overturn Roe vs Wade. Also, 59% of the voters support gun safety reforms passed by Congress.
  2. However, the Economy and inflation are the top two issues and 50% of the voters approve of DeSantis’s performance. Democrats would hope that inflation will fall significantly before the midterm elections.
  3. Added to it, education has now taken the central theme of the election. Recently Charlie Crist announced his running mate for the upcoming Florida Governor election. He has picked Miami-Dade County teachers union president Karla Hernandez-Mats as his running mate. The message was clear, he wanted to tap the teacher Union’s votes.
  4. It must be remembered that Karla Hernandez was the one who defied Florida Governor DeSantis’ administration during the Covid and continued with the mask mandates in the school. She also favored delaying the return of students to school during the 2020 Covid crisis.
  5. Ron DeSantis on the other hand has been running education-themed ads across the internet. Recently he suspended four elected Broward County School Board members. All four were believed to be registered, Democrats. He then replaced them with 4 men, with three having a good Republican connection.

DeSantis Announces Steps To Limit Influence Of Chinese Communist Party

YouTube video

2022 Florida Governor Race Polls: Ron DeSantis Polls

Average of Desantis Crist PollsSeptember 22nd
DeSantis50%
Charlie Crist42%
CiviqsSeptember 20th
DeSantis52%
Charlie Crist45%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 18th
DeSantis48%
Charlie Crist41%
Sachs MediaSeptember 10th
DeSantis51%
Charlie Crist41%

Florida Governor Polls: Google Search Last 7 Days

Google Search Volume: As a Governor of Florida, the search volume for DeSantis has been higher as compared to that of Charlie Crist. Charlie Crist has managed to narrow the gap but this can be linked to his search volume skyrocketing after Primary Victory.

Last 7 Days
Ron DeSantis88%
Charlie Crist12%

Ron DeSantis Polls: Social Media Sentiments

September 23rd
Desantis-55.4%
Crist-41.1%
August 30th
Desantis-21.4%
Crist-12.2%

Florida Governor Predictions

Despite Charlie Crist gaining as per the polls, the Florida Governor’s Predictions are in favor of the incumbent Ron DeSantis.

Ron DeSantis’s approval rating in Florida

  • Around 53% of voters approve of Ron Desantis for his performance as Governor of Florida
    • 50% of voters approved of Desantis’s performance in the economy. This is his best-performing metric.
    • Ron Desantis’s approval rating in 2022 is the lowest on ‘Unifying Floridians’ where only 43% of the voters approve of his performance. 49% of the voters disapprove of his performance on this metric.
    • Ron Desantis’s approval rating in 2022 is ordinary on handling covid-19 where 47% of the voters approve of his performance while 48% disapprove of his performance.

Florida Governor Polls: Top Issues and How it Changed From 2018?

As per the latest survey the issue of the economy, immigration, inflation, and abortion rights are the top issues of Florida voters. Here are the top issues of voters of Florida:

  1. Inflation/economy: 54%
  2. Social issues like abortion rights or gun control: 44%
  3. Immigration: 26%
  4. Environment/climate change: 21%
  5. Taxes: 17%
  6. Crime/public safety: 16%
  7. Health care: 13%

During the 2018 Governor election, Health care was the major issue of the voters of Florida. After healthcare, immigration was the 2nd major issue that Florida voters considered before voting, it as followed by Gun control. Abortion was the very last issue of concern.

Considering the survey, Ron DeSantis as a Governor has been able to fix the health care issue while has failed on the issue of Gun Control or crimes. After the Roe vs Wade verdict, Abortion has also become a major voting issue.

2022 Florida Governor Polls: Florida Primary Videos

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Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Florida Governor Polls: Campaign Funding

Ron DeSantis has raised the maximum funds to finance his 2022 re-election bid among all the candidates running for the Office of the Governor of Florida.

Ron DeSantis

As per the data by FollowTheMoney, DeSantis has raised almost $87 million for his 2022 re-election bid. In 2018, Ron DeSantis raised roughly $60 million for his campaign. His campaign raised $3.7 million in 2020 and $5.5 million in 2019. DeSantis had raised $67 Million alone in 2021 and this year in the starting he raided an additional $10M.

Charlie Crist

The Democratic Party’s Primary candidate Charlie Crist on the hand has been able to raise $381,761 in fundraising. But the expenditure on his campaign has been way higher than what he has been able to raise. As of now, the total expenditure of Charlie Crist has been $795,658. The total cash in hand of Charlie Crist remains only $5,111.

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Who were the Candidates in Florida Governor Primary Election 2022?

A. Democratic Primary

Charlie Crist, U.S. representative and the former Republican governor of Florida

Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture

Annette Taddeo, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014

Florida Governor Polls: Polling Average Last 3 elections and Result

It was 1994 when Florida for the last time had a Governor from Democratic Party and since then there has been only a Republican Governor. The last 3 Governor elections in Florida were held in 2010, 2014, and 2018 and in all three elections, a Republican won the election and went on to become the Governor of Florida. Here are a few details regarding the last 3 Governor elections in Florida:

Florida Governor Polls: 2018 Florida Governor Election: 2018 Florida Governor election was held on November 6, 2018. The incumbent Governor Rick Scott was term-limited and could not run for a third term. Ron DeSantis became the Republican nominee while on the Democratic Party’s ballot was Andrew Gillum.

Despite Florida being a Republican bastion, almost all the polls predicted a return of a Democratic Governor in Florida. 9 of the last 10 polls gave Andrew Gillum a lead over DeSantis. The polls showed Gillum leading by around 2-5% against Ron DeSantis. It was the last poll by Trafalgar Group which gave DeSantis a 3-points lead over his Democratic Party rival, Andrew Gillum.

The result of the election was very close. Ron DeSantis got a 49.6% vote share while Andrew Gillum polled a 49.2% vote share. After the result, Ron DeSantis went on to become the Governor of Florida for the first time.

Florida Governor Polls: 2014 Florida Governor Election: The 2014 Florida Governor election was held between the then incumbent Governor Rick Scott and the former Republican turned Democrat Charlie Crist. Crist was elected governor as a Republican in 2006 but did not run for re-election in 2010.

The polls for the election showed a very tight race with two of the last 5 polls giving Charlie Crist an edge over Rick Scott. Only one poll favored a win for the incumbent Governor Rick Scott while the last 2 polls showed both the candidates tied for the Governor’s office.

The result of the election was very close with Rick Scott pulling out a 1% win over Charlie Crist. Rick Scott polled 48.1% of the total votes while Charlie Christ received 47.1% vote share. After the election result, Rick Scott went on to become the Governor of Florida for the second time.

Florida Governor Polls: 2010 Florida Governor Election: The Florida Governor election has mostly been a close fight between the Republicans and the Democrats. In 2010, the Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Rick Scott was the GOP nominee after Charlie Crist refused to run for the Governor’s office on the Republican ticket for the 2nd time. Alex Sink was the Democratic Party’s nominee.

The polls, as usual, indicated a very close election but the majority of the polls had Rick Scott in the driver’s seat. The election result was in accordance with the polls. Rick Scott won the election narrowly. He polled 48.9% of the total votes while Alex Sink garnered 47.7% vote share.

After the election, Rick Scott went on to become the Governor of Florida for the first time.

Florida Governor Polls: Candidates’ Profile and Past Experience

Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis is the 46th Governor of Florida. Before joining politics he worked as an Attorney and served in Florida’s 6th district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018.

He was born in Jacksonville and became a part of the US Navy in 2004. As for his political career, he was first elected to Congress in 2012, defeating his Democratic opponent Heather Beaven. In 2018, he became the Governor of Florida for the first time and is seeking re-election in 2022.

Ron DeSantis has also proposed several points to elevate Teachers’ and Students’ Learning. The proposals are:

1. One-time bonus to retired military veterans and retired first responders who commit to joining the teaching profession for two years as full-time classroom teachers.

2. Establishes an additional pathway to becoming an educator.

3. Establishes opportunities for K-12 teachers to receive scholarship funds for their master’s degree.

Charlie Crist

Charlie Crist was also an Attorney and had served as U.S. representative from Florida’s 13th congressional district since 2017. Charlie Crist started his political career as a Republican. He went on to become the Governor of Florida in 2007 but while in office he ran for the  U.S. Senate seat. In 2011 his term as Governor ended. He did not seek re-election as the poll numbers were not in his favor.

In 2012 he joined Democratic Party and currently, he is the frontrunner to win the upcoming Democratic Party’s Primary election.

Charlie Crist will veto any bill that threatens women’s right to choose.

He also promised to cut taxes on Gas and promised to force property insurance companies to reduce insurance premiums.

Florida Governor Polls: Florida Primary Election Recap

Florida Governor Polls: Latest Democratic Party Primary polls

What did the Polls Predict?

Florida Governor Polls: Who Won the Democratic Party Primary Election?

Florida Governor Polls: Racial Demographics of Florida

As per the 2020 Census figures

Most of Florida’s Hispanics are Cubans. In fact, Florida as a state due to its close proximity to Cuba has the highest proportion of Cuban Americans in the country. Most of the community is well known for its antipathy to Communism or Socialism due to most of the community being forced to migrate due to the actions of the Communist government of Cuba.

There’s a large chunk of Puerto Ricans in Florida, especially in the Orlando Metro area. They moved to Florida due to its cultural similarities, the poor economic conditions in Puerto Rico, and after Hurricane Maria devastated the island in 2018. The remaining Latino population is very diverse, hailing from various countries in South America including Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela, etc.

Florida has been crowned as one of the best places to retire due to its weather and beaches. Thus the state also has a large retiree population. 20% of the population is over 65 years of age.

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: Party Registration

Florida has been a reliable swing state since 1992 fiercely contested between the 2 major parties.

In the last 20 years, the Republican party has grown more powerful in Florida and has been able to win over most state-level elected offices. Currently, except for the Agriculture Commissioner, it holds nearly each and every single office in the state including the 2 Senate seats and 16/27 US House Representative Seats.

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls: As per the latest figures released by the Florida Secretary of State:-

Registered Republicans are 35.77% of total voters
Registered Democrats are 35.93% of total voters

Registered Independents are 26.54% of total voters

Florida Governor Election 2022 Polls

Read our coverage of the US Senate and Governor Polls Here

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