Iowa Senate Race Polls 2022: Democratic Party Primary Race Headed For Close Finish

Iowa Senate Race Polls 2022: Democratic Party Primary Race Headed For Close Finish
Iowa Senate Race Polls 2022: Grassley, 89 this year, is running for a staggering 8th term in the senate. In the GOP field for the upcoming Primary election, not much competition is expected.

In Democratic Party’s field, Abby Finkenauer and Michael Franken are in a close fight as per the latest polls. Our data suggest the upcoming Democratic Party’s Primary election will have a wire finish. Currently, Michael Franken is ahead of Abby Finkenauer marginally.

The Iowa General election will be held on November 8th, 2022. The current incumbent Chuck Grassley, a Republican has held this seat since 1980, the year Ronald Reagan won his first term. He is running for an eighth term and he has traditionally won this swingy state by large margins.

Chuck Grassley received just 60% of the vote the first time he ran in 2016. 2016 was in fact his closest race, as polarization brought down his margins. He still won by 24 points as Trump won the state by around 9 points.

Iowa Senate Polls: Candidates in the primaries

Republican Party

  • Jim Carlin, state senator (2017–present)
  • Chuck Grassley, incumbent U.S. Senator (1981–present)

Democratic Party

  • Abby Finkenauer
  • Michael T. Franken
  • Glenn Hurst

Iowa Polls 2022: Latest Polls (Democratic Party)

Date(s)Abby FinkenauerMichael FrankenGlenn Hurst
Change Research (D)May 4–840%42%4%
GBAO (D)March 30 – April 364%15%6%

Iowa Polls 2022: Google Trends

DateAbby FinkenauerMichael FrankenGlenn Hurst
June 3rd62%25%12%
June 1st65%23%12%
May 31st67%20%13%
May 1847%40%13%

Iowa Polls 2022: Net Sentiments

DateFinkenauerFrankenHurst
June 3rd+52%-27%+19%
June 1st+44.7%+63%0%

Iowa Senate Race Polls 2022: Latest Polls (Republican Party)

No polls have been conducted for the Republican primary election. The Republican primary is not competitive so do not expect any new polls here. The incumbent Governor Chuck Grassley may again dominate the GOP field in the upcoming Primary race.

Iowa Senate Polls 2022: Google Trends

Charles Ernest GrassleyJim Carlin
June 3rd90%10%
June 1st90%10%
May 31st92%8%
May 18th93%7%

Iowa Senate Race Polls 2022: Net Sentiments

Chuck GrassleyJim Carlin
June 3rd-33%
June 1st-71.5%
May 31st-76.8%+5%
May 18th-27.3%7%

Iowa Polls 2022: Latest News

Iowa Polls 2022: Latest Tweets

ChuckGrassley on Twitter: “Observe the 1st emergence of soybean Its called the cotyledon stage Notice the green sprout emergence of a soybean plant U will see in my next #soybeanwatch how this has evolved into a bigger plant pic.twitter.com/6Ve5rejRuH / Twitter”

Observe the 1st emergence of soybean Its called the cotyledon stage Notice the green sprout emergence of a soybean plant U will see in my next #soybeanwatch how this has evolved into a bigger plant pic.twitter.com/6Ve5rejRuH

Iowa Senate Polls 2022: Latest Videos

YouTube video

Iowa Election Polls: Racial Demographics of the Voting Age Population (VAP)

DemographicProportion
White-American85.5%
Hispanic-American5.5%
African-American4.2%
Asian-American2.8%
Native-American1.6%

The data is from the 2020 census. Iowa is one of the whitest states in the nation and has a relatively low college-educated population. This has fuelled its rightward swing since 2016. It swung 15 points to the Republicans between 2012 and 2016, one of the largest swings in the country. Like its neighbour Ohio, it backed Obama twice before going for Trump twice. Florida is the only other state to do the same.

Trump solidified his gains in the rural areas of the state, while the Des Moines metro area swung against him. Dallas County, the most educated in the state, has swung 10 points from 2012. This mirrors trends in other states. The long term outlook looks bleak for the Democrats here. It would appear they have more room to fall in the rural areas while there are simply not enough non-white voters for Democrats to win to cut down Republican margins.

Republicans now hold 3 out of Iowa’s 4 Congressional Districts both its Senate seats, both houses of the state legislature as well as the Governor’s mansion. Given Iowa’s demographics, Republican dominance of the state looks set to continue.

Iowa Senate Race 2022 Polls: General Election

All prognosticators agree that this race is not competitive: Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball and RCP rate the race as “Safe Republican”.

Do not expect Democrats to invest as many resources here after their disappointing 2020 where they hoped to oust Joni Ernst, Iowa’s other Republican Senator. The race was considered a “toss-up” but Ernst won by a larger than expected 6.5 points as Trump won the state by high single digits yet again.

Iowa Primary Election 2022 Polls

Read: California Governor Polls 2022

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