Nevada Governor Race Polls: Joe Lombardo Set to Win the GOP Primary Race
| Nevada Governor Race Polls: Trump-endorsed candidate, Joe Lombardo is set to win the upcoming GOP Primary Race as per the latest poll. |
The 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, with incumbent governor Steve Sisolak eligible for a second term. Nevada has remained a swing state, in the 2018 gubernatorial election Sisolak won by 4.1 points.
Both Clinton and Biden won the state by identical margins: 2.4 points, despite Biden doing worse with Latino voters. Nevada is the only state in the union that allows voters to choose “none of these candidates” which tends to garner around 2% every election. That will be a factor in a close race – just like 2018 was and 2022 will be.
Contents
- Nevada Governor Race Polls: Candidates in the primaries
- Nevada Governor Race Polls: Google Search Update
- Nevada Governor Race Polls: Net Sentiments
- Nevada Governor Race Polls: Latest News
- Nevada Governor Race Polls: Latest Videos
- Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets
- Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: General Election Polls
- Endorsement
- Nevada Governor Race Polls: Demography
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Nevada Governor Race Polls: Candidates in the primaries
Steve Sissolak has all but secured the Democratic primary as he faces no credible opposition but the GOP field remains uncertain. Here are the candidates running in the primary:
Republican Primary (Only those Candidates Who have Secured 5% or more Vote share in Polls)
- Joey Gilbert, attorney and former boxer
- Dean Heller, former U.S. senator (2011–2019)
- John Lee, mayor of North Las Vegas (2013–present)
- Joe Lombardo, sheriff of Clark County (2015–present)
- Guy Nohra, venture capitalist
Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Primary Polls
Republican Primary
Poll source |
Date |
Joey Gilbert |
Dean Heller |
John Lee |
Joe Lombardo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polls Of Poll |
May 5th |
14% |
17% |
12% |
29% |
April 30 – May |
14% |
11% |
10% |
33% |
|
April 25–28 |
18% |
18% |
13% |
26% |
|
March 13–15 |
9% |
22% |
13% |
28% |
The GOP Primary election is turning out to be a one-sided affair with Joe Lombardo leading in all the latest polls. However, for the second place, the polls show a close fight between Joey Gilbert, Dean Heller and John Lee. The latest polls by Emerson College have Joey Gilbert in 2nd place while the poll by the Trafalgar Group has Joey Gilbert and Dean Heller tied for the second place.
Nevada Governor Race Polls: Google Search Update
Joey Gilbert |
Dean Heller |
John Lee |
Joe Lombardo |
||
May 5th, 2022 |
30% |
4% |
19% |
47% |
Nevada Governor Race Polls: Net Sentiments
Joey Gilbert |
Dean Heller |
John Lee |
Joe Lombardo |
||
May 5th, 2022 |
-0.8% |
-5.6% |
-27.9% |
-39.6% |
Nevada Governor Race Polls: Latest News
- Democratic Governors Association makes massive $10M ad buy for key Nevada governor’s race
- Trump-endorsed candidates snubbed & drubbed at NVGOP convention
- Laxalt leads GOP Senate primary, Lombardo up in gubernatorial primary: Nevada poll
Nevada Governor Race Polls: Latest Videos
Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets
Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: General Election Polls
Steve Sisolak vs. Joe Lombardo
| Date(s) | Steve Sisolak (D) |
Joe Lombardo (R) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | April 1–9 | 44% | 35% |
| Suffolk University | April 2–6 | 37% | 39% |
Steve Sisolak vs. Joey Gilbert
Date(s) |
Steve Sisolak (D) |
Joey Gilbert (R) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
April 1–9 |
45% |
31% |
|
April 2–6 |
39% |
35% |
Steve Sisolak vs. John Lee
Date(s) |
Steve Sisolak (D) |
John Lee (R) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
April 1–9 |
46% |
33% |
|
April 2–6 |
37% |
40% |
Steve Sisolak vs. Dean Heller
Date(s) |
Steve Sisolak (D) |
Dean Heller (R) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
April 1–9 |
46% |
33% |
|
April 2–6 |
39% |
39% |
The November 3rd Nevada Governor election is expected to be a close one as per the latest polls. However, the incumbent Steve Sisolak may be able to hold on to the office as per the polls.
Endorsement
Joe Lombardo
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)
- Mark Hutchison, former Lieutenant Governor of Nevada (2015–2019)
Dean Heller
- Nevada Police Union
Steve Sisolak
- Human Rights Campaign
- Natural Resources Defense Council
Nevada Governor Race Polls: Demography
As per the latest 2020 Census Figures, the voting age demographics of the state are as follows:
Demographics |
Proportion |
White American |
50% |
Black American |
10.9% |
Hispanic American |
25.3% |
Asian American |
11.3% |
Native American |
3.2% |
Others |
1.4% |
White voters make up about 50% of the state’s voting-age population but form a larger majority of the eligible voter base as Asian and Hispanic voters tend to be immigrants who cannot vote. However, minority voters are a crucial voting bloc in the state and Republicans managed to make inroads into them in 2020. They will be hoping to continue that trend this year as they try to retake the Governor’s mansion.
Clark County is the most important county in the state and is home to Las Vegas and a majority of the state voters including a large number of Asian and Black voters. Democrats almost always win the county but margins are crucial here. Clinton won it by 11 points, while Biden won it by 9 points but made up lost votes in Washoe County, home to Reno. The county is more suburban and white than Clark and swung to Biden, helping Biden win the state by the same margin as Clinton.
Democratic margins here to win the state as every other county in the state is safely Republican. Those counties are not as populated but will be decisive in a GOP victory as long as they can keep the margin close in Washoe and Clark.
Prognosticators like RCP, Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all agree and rate the race as a “toss-up” which means that both parties have a roughly equal chance of winning the election.
Nevada is going to be a battleground state in 2022 with a competitive senate election to go with the governor’s election. Democrat Catherine Cortez-Masto will be running for re-election there and that seat is a must-win in order for Democrats to hold their slim Senate majority.
Read: Arizona Governor race 2022 Polls
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