Nevada Governor Race Polls: Joe Lombardo Set to Win the GOP Primary Race

Nevada Governor Race Polls: Joe Lombardo Set to Win the GOP Primary Race
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Nevada Governor Race Polls: Trump-endorsed candidate, Joe Lombardo is set to win the upcoming GOP Primary Race as per the latest poll.

The 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, with incumbent governor Steve Sisolak eligible for a second term. Nevada has remained a swing state, in the 2018 gubernatorial election Sisolak won by 4.1 points.

Both Clinton and Biden won the state by identical margins: 2.4 points, despite Biden doing worse with Latino voters. Nevada is the only state in the union that allows voters to choose “none of these candidates” which tends to garner around 2% every election. That will be a factor in a close race – just like 2018 was and 2022 will be.

Nevada Governor Race Polls: Candidates in the primaries

Steve Sissolak has all but secured the Democratic primary as he faces no credible opposition but the GOP field remains uncertain. Here are the candidates running in the primary:

Republican Primary (Only those Candidates Who have Secured 5% or more Vote share in Polls)

  • Joey Gilbert, attorney and former boxer
  • Dean Heller, former U.S. senator (2011–2019)
  • John Lee, mayor of North Las Vegas (2013–present)
  • Joe Lombardo, sheriff of Clark County (2015–present)
  • Guy Nohra, venture capitalist

Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Primary Polls

Republican Primary

Poll source
Date
Joey
Gilbert
Dean
Heller
John
Lee
Joe
Lombardo
Polls Of Poll
May 5th
14%
17%
12%
29%
April 30 – May
14%
11%
10%
33%
April 25–28
18%
18%
13%
26%
March 13–15
9%
22%
13%
28%

The GOP Primary election is turning out to be a one-sided affair with Joe Lombardo leading in all the latest polls. However, for the second place, the polls show a close fight between Joey Gilbert, Dean Heller and John Lee. The latest polls by Emerson College have Joey Gilbert in 2nd place while the poll by the Trafalgar Group has Joey Gilbert and Dean Heller tied for the second place.

Nevada Governor Race Polls: Google Search Update

Joey Gilbert
Dean Heller
John Lee
Joe Lombardo
May 5th, 2022
30%
4%
19%
47%

Nevada Governor Race Polls: Net Sentiments

Joey Gilbert
Dean Heller
John Lee
Joe Lombardo
May 5th, 2022
-0.8%
-5.6%
-27.9%
-39.6%

Nevada Governor Race Polls: Latest News

Nevada Governor Race Polls: Latest Videos

Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Governor Sisolak on Twitter: “Nevada is proud to be home to one of the fastest-growing Asian American populations — Asian American & Pacific Islander communities are deeply rooted in our State & culture. That’s why I’ve declared May as Asian Pacific American Heritage Month! https://t.co/q8vZVRCViY / Twitter”

Nevada is proud to be home to one of the fastest-growing Asian American populations — Asian American & Pacific Islander communities are deeply rooted in our State & culture. That’s why I’ve declared May as Asian Pacific American Heritage Month! https://t.co/q8vZVRCViY

Nevada Governor Race 2022 Polls: General Election Polls

Steve Sisolak vs. Joe Lombardo

Date(s) Steve
Sisolak (D)
Joe
Lombardo (R)
OH Predictive Insights April 1–9 44% 35%
Suffolk University April 2–6 37% 39%

Steve Sisolak vs. Joey Gilbert

Date(s)
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Joey
Gilbert (R)
April 1–9
45%
31%
April 2–6
39%
35%

Steve Sisolak vs. John Lee

Date(s)
Steve
Sisolak (D)
John
Lee (R)
April 1–9
46%
33%
April 2–6
37%
40%

Steve Sisolak vs. Dean Heller

Date(s)
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Dean
Heller (R)
April 1–9
46%
33%
April 2–6
39%
39%

The November 3rd Nevada Governor election is expected to be a close one as per the latest polls. However, the incumbent Steve Sisolak may be able to hold on to the office as per the polls.

Endorsement

Joe Lombardo

  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)
  • Mark Hutchison, former Lieutenant Governor of Nevada (2015–2019)

Dean Heller

  • Nevada Police Union

Steve Sisolak

  • Human Rights Campaign
  • Natural Resources Defense Council

Nevada Governor Race Polls: Demography

As per the latest 2020 Census Figures, the voting age demographics of the state are as follows:

Demographics
Proportion
White American
50%
Black American
10.9%
Hispanic American
25.3%
Asian American
11.3%
Native American
3.2%
Others
1.4%

White voters make up about 50% of the state’s voting-age population but form a larger majority of the eligible voter base as Asian and Hispanic voters tend to be immigrants who cannot vote. However, minority voters are a crucial voting bloc in the state and Republicans managed to make inroads into them in 2020. They will be hoping to continue that trend this year as they try to retake the Governor’s mansion.

Clark County is the most important county in the state and is home to Las Vegas and a majority of the state voters including a large number of Asian and Black voters. Democrats almost always win the county but margins are crucial here. Clinton won it by 11 points, while Biden won it by 9 points but made up lost votes in Washoe County, home to Reno. The county is more suburban and white than Clark and swung to Biden, helping Biden win the state by the same margin as Clinton.

Democratic margins here to win the state as every other county in the state is safely Republican. Those counties are not as populated but will be decisive in a GOP victory as long as they can keep the margin close in Washoe and Clark.

Prognosticators like RCP, Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all agree and rate the race as a “toss-up” which means that both parties have a roughly equal chance of winning the election.

Nevada is going to be a battleground state in 2022 with a competitive senate election to go with the governor’s election. Democrat Catherine Cortez-Masto will be running for re-election there and that seat is a must-win in order for Democrats to hold their slim Senate majority.

Read: Arizona Governor race 2022 Polls

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