Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Cortez Masto leads Laxalt by 1%

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Cortez Masto leads Laxalt by 1%
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Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Cortez Masto 43%, Laxalt 41.7%

Laxalt and Cortez Masto are well placed to win their primaries

May 12th

The 2022 Nevada Senatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, with incumbent Senator Catherine Cortez Masto running for a second term as the only Latina in the senate. Nevada has remained a swing state all century.

Nevada Newsmakers – Adam Laxalt/Sam Brown Debate

Observations and Insights

  1. Republicans are eyeing Nevada because in the 2020 General election, of 8 closely lost states, Nevada was one of them. Trump lost Nevada by less than 4%. A win in Nevada for the Republicans could better their chances of winning the state in 2024.
  2. There are three prominent candidates in Republican who are running for GOP Primary polls. Adam Laxalt was endorsed by Donald Trump earlier this month. Laxalt’s endorsement was not surprising as he was leading in almost every poll and was much ahead of other candidates.
    Trump-backed candidates have gotten more support from the voters.
  3. Republican Adam Laxalt last year called Catherine Cortez Masto his biggest opponent. If Laxalt wins the GOP primary race then he may have to face Catherine in the Senate race. Catherine is ahead in all Democratic Polls.
    As per our observation, the race is too close to call.

Nevada Senate Polls: Laxalt (R) vs Cortez-Masto (D)

Polling Company
Date
Cortez-Masto (D)
Adam Laxalt (R)
Average of All Polls
May 10th
43%
41.7%
April 20th
46%
47%
April 9th
43%
35%
April 6th
40%
43%

How Overturning Roe v. Wade Affects Other Civil Rights: Catherine Cortez Masto

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: General Elections, Google Trends For Last 7 days

Cathrine Cortez Masto
Adam Laxalt
May 12th
64%
35%
May 11th
63%
36%
May 10th
61%
39%
April 29th
49%
51%

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Social Media Sentiments

Cathrine Cortez Masto
Adam Laxalt
May 12th
-30%
-46%
May 11th
-26%
-43%
May 9th
-2%
-16%
May 4th
-19%

Republican Primary Polls, Laxalt vs Brown

  • Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran
  • Bill Hockstedler, healthcare executive and USAF veteran
  • Adam Laxalt, former Attorney General of Nevada (2015–2019), nominee for Governor in 2018
  • Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen
Poll source
Date
Sam Brown
Adam Laxalt
Average
May 10th
24%
52%
May 2
27%
50%
April 28
26%
50%
April 26
20%
57%
\

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Google Trends for the last 7 days

Sam Brown
Adam Laxalt
Sharelle Mendenhall
May 12th
63%
28%
7%
May 11th
65%
25%
8%
May 9th
62%
29%
7%
April 29th
48%
48%
3%

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Republican Primary, Social Media Sentiments

Sam Brown
Adam Laxalt
May 12th
-36%
-46%
May 11th
-30%
-43%
May 9th
-7%
-9%
April 29th
-7%

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Last Elections

In the last Nevada Senate Election, that is in 2016, the incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected with 47.2% of the vote share.

She defeated her Republican rival, Joe Heck, by a huge margin. Cortez won Clark county which gave her a clear mandate of three-quarters of the state’s population. She defeated Heck by almost 27000 votes.

Nevada is the only state in the union that allows voters to choose “none of these candidates” which tends to garner around 2% every election. However, in 2016 that number rose to 3.8% allowing Cortez to win with only 47.1% of the vote as she only won one of Nevada’s 17 counties.

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Adam Paul Laxalt on Twitter: “🚨 🚨 🚨The Biden administration has canceled oil and gas lease sales in Alaska and the Gulf of Mexico.Gas in NV today! pic.twitter.com/BPwyYjFm86 / Twitter”

🚨 🚨 🚨The Biden administration has canceled oil and gas lease sales in Alaska and the Gulf of Mexico.Gas in NV today! pic.twitter.com/BPwyYjFm86

Sam Brown on Twitter: “Americans are hurting and DC is doing nothing as usual. Electing career politicians over and over will get us the same results every time. They spend our tax dollars and leave us behind. It’s time for new leadership that stands up for working families.https://t.co/kanBDqNglZ / Twitter”

Americans are hurting and DC is doing nothing as usual. Electing career politicians over and over will get us the same results every time. They spend our tax dollars and leave us behind. It’s time for new leadership that stands up for working families.https://t.co/kanBDqNglZ

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest News

  1. Nevada’s Cortez Masto, Rosen vote to codify abortion into federal law, measure fails with no Republican support
  2. Overturning Roe v. Wade would be ‘damaging’ to economy, women: Yellen
  3. These 10 senators are most vulnerable six months from Election Day
  4. Laxalt, Brown clash over voter fraud in GOP Senate race
  5. US government announces $4.4 billion of funding for battery manufacturing, processing, recycling
  6. GOP pins hopes on Nevada’s Laxalt to help win Senate control
  7. Democrats Campaigning in Swing States Are Reckoning With Biden’s Economy
  8. Vulnerable Senate Dems campaign as last hope against abortion ban
  9. Laxalt among first Republicans to comment on Supreme Court Roe v. Wade leak

Nevada Senate Polls: Candidates in the Primaries

Catherine Cortez-Masto has all but secured the Democratic primary as she faces no credible opposition. The GOP has more people running but Laxalt is the overwhelming favorite. Here are the candidates running in the primary:

Republican Primary

  • Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran
  • Bill Hockstedler, healthcare executive and USAF veteran
  • Adam Laxalt, former Attorney General of Nevada (2015–2019), nominee for Governor in 2018
  • Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Racial Demographics

As per the latest 2020 Census Figures, the voting age demographics of the state are as follows:

Demographics
Proportion
White American
50%
Black American
10.9%
Hispanic American
25.3%
Asian American
11.3%
Native American
3.2%
Others
1.4%

White voters make up about 50% of the state’s voting-age population but form a larger majority of the eligible voter base as Asian and Hispanic voters tend to be immigrants who cannot vote. However, minority voters are a crucial voting bloc in the state and Republicans managed to make inroads into them in 2020. They will be hoping to continue that trend this year as they try to retake the Governor’s mansion.

Clark County is the most important county in the state and is home to Las Vegas and a majority of the state voters including a large number of Asian and Black voters. Democrats almost always win the county but margins are crucial here. Clinton won it by 11 points, while Biden won it by 9 points but made up lost votes in Washoe County, home to Reno.

The county is more suburban and white than Clark and swung to Biden, helping Biden win the state by the same margin as Clinton. These two counties will decide the election, and any Republican must cut down Democratic margins here to win the state as every other county in the state is safely Republican. Those counties are not as populated but will be decisive in a GOP victory as long as they can keep the margin close in Washoe and Clark.

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Last Senate Election

In the last Nevada Senate Election, that is in 2016, the incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected with 47.2% of the vote share.

She defeated her Republican rival, Joe Heck, by a huge margin. Cortez won Clark county which gave her a clear mandate of three-quarters of the state’s population. She defeated Heck by almost 27000 votes.

Nevada is the only state in the union that allows voters to choose “none of these candidates” which tends to garner around 2% every election. However, in 2016 that number rose to 3.8% allowing Cortez to win with only 47.1% of the vote as she only won one of Nevada’s 17 counties.

Track all US Senate Elections

 

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