Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Cortez Masto leads Laxalt by 1%

Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Cortez Masto 43%, Laxalt 41.7%
Laxalt and Cortez Masto are well placed to win their primaries
May 12th
The 2022 Nevada Senatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, with incumbent Senator Catherine Cortez Masto running for a second term as the only Latina in the senate. Nevada has remained a swing state all century.
Nevada Newsmakers – Adam Laxalt/Sam Brown Debate
Contents
- Observations and Insights
- Nevada Senate Polls: Laxalt (R) vs Cortez-Masto (D)
- Republican Primary Polls, Laxalt vs Brown
- Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Last Elections
- Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos
- Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets
- Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest News
- Share this:
Observations and Insights
- Republicans are eyeing Nevada because in the 2020 General election, of 8 closely lost states, Nevada was one of them. Trump lost Nevada by less than 4%. A win in Nevada for the Republicans could better their chances of winning the state in 2024.
- There are three prominent candidates in Republican who are running for GOP Primary polls. Adam Laxalt was endorsed by Donald Trump earlier this month. Laxalt’s endorsement was not surprising as he was leading in almost every poll and was much ahead of other candidates.
Trump-backed candidates have gotten more support from the voters. - Republican Adam Laxalt last year called Catherine Cortez Masto his biggest opponent. If Laxalt wins the GOP primary race then he may have to face Catherine in the Senate race. Catherine is ahead in all Democratic Polls.
As per our observation, the race is too close to call.
Nevada Senate Polls: Laxalt (R) vs Cortez-Masto (D)
Polling Company |
Date |
Cortez-Masto (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
|
Average of All Polls |
May 10th |
43% |
41.7% |
|
April 20th |
46% |
47% |
||
April 9th |
43% |
35% |
||
April 6th |
40% |
43% |
How Overturning Roe v. Wade Affects Other Civil Rights: Catherine Cortez Masto
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: General Elections, Google Trends For Last 7 days
Cathrine Cortez Masto |
Adam Laxalt |
||
May 12th |
64% |
35% |
|
May 11th |
63% |
36% |
|
May 10th |
61% |
39% |
|
April 29th |
49% |
51% |
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Social Media Sentiments
Cathrine Cortez Masto |
Adam Laxalt |
||
May 12th |
-30% |
-46% |
|
May 11th |
-26% |
-43% |
|
May 9th |
-2% |
-16% |
|
May 4th |
– |
-19% |
Republican Primary Polls, Laxalt vs Brown
- Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran
- Bill Hockstedler, healthcare executive and USAF veteran
- Adam Laxalt, former Attorney General of Nevada (2015–2019), nominee for Governor in 2018
- Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen
Poll source |
Date |
Sam Brown |
Adam Laxalt |
|
Average |
May 10th |
24% |
52% |
|
May 2 |
27% |
50% |
||
April 28 |
26% |
50% |
||
April 26 |
20% |
57% |
\ |
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Google Trends for the last 7 days
Sam Brown |
Adam Laxalt |
Sharelle Mendenhall |
|
May 12th |
63% |
28% |
7% |
May 11th |
65% |
25% |
8% |
May 9th |
62% |
29% |
7% |
April 29th |
48% |
48% |
3% |
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Republican Primary, Social Media Sentiments
Sam Brown |
Adam Laxalt |
|
May 12th |
-36% |
-46% |
May 11th |
-30% |
-43% |
May 9th |
-7% |
-9% |
April 29th |
– |
-7% |
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Last Elections
In the last Nevada Senate Election, that is in 2016, the incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected with 47.2% of the vote share.
She defeated her Republican rival, Joe Heck, by a huge margin. Cortez won Clark county which gave her a clear mandate of three-quarters of the state’s population. She defeated Heck by almost 27000 votes.
Nevada is the only state in the union that allows voters to choose “none of these candidates” which tends to garner around 2% every election. However, in 2016 that number rose to 3.8% allowing Cortez to win with only 47.1% of the vote as she only won one of Nevada’s 17 counties.
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest News
- Nevada’s Cortez Masto, Rosen vote to codify abortion into federal law, measure fails with no Republican support
- Overturning Roe v. Wade would be ‘damaging’ to economy, women: Yellen
- These 10 senators are most vulnerable six months from Election Day
- Laxalt, Brown clash over voter fraud in GOP Senate race
- US government announces $4.4 billion of funding for battery manufacturing, processing, recycling
- GOP pins hopes on Nevada’s Laxalt to help win Senate control
- Democrats Campaigning in Swing States Are Reckoning With Biden’s Economy
- Vulnerable Senate Dems campaign as last hope against abortion ban
- Laxalt among first Republicans to comment on Supreme Court Roe v. Wade leak
Nevada Senate Polls: Candidates in the Primaries
Catherine Cortez-Masto has all but secured the Democratic primary as she faces no credible opposition. The GOP has more people running but Laxalt is the overwhelming favorite. Here are the candidates running in the primary:
Republican Primary
- Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran
- Bill Hockstedler, healthcare executive and USAF veteran
- Adam Laxalt, former Attorney General of Nevada (2015–2019), nominee for Governor in 2018
- Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Racial Demographics
As per the latest 2020 Census Figures, the voting age demographics of the state are as follows:
Demographics |
Proportion |
White American |
50% |
Black American |
10.9% |
Hispanic American |
25.3% |
Asian American |
11.3% |
Native American |
3.2% |
Others |
1.4% |
White voters make up about 50% of the state’s voting-age population but form a larger majority of the eligible voter base as Asian and Hispanic voters tend to be immigrants who cannot vote. However, minority voters are a crucial voting bloc in the state and Republicans managed to make inroads into them in 2020. They will be hoping to continue that trend this year as they try to retake the Governor’s mansion.
Clark County is the most important county in the state and is home to Las Vegas and a majority of the state voters including a large number of Asian and Black voters. Democrats almost always win the county but margins are crucial here. Clinton won it by 11 points, while Biden won it by 9 points but made up lost votes in Washoe County, home to Reno.
The county is more suburban and white than Clark and swung to Biden, helping Biden win the state by the same margin as Clinton. These two counties will decide the election, and any Republican must cut down Democratic margins here to win the state as every other county in the state is safely Republican. Those counties are not as populated but will be decisive in a GOP victory as long as they can keep the margin close in Washoe and Clark.
Nevada Senate Race 2022 Polls: Last Senate Election
In the last Nevada Senate Election, that is in 2016, the incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected with 47.2% of the vote share.
She defeated her Republican rival, Joe Heck, by a huge margin. Cortez won Clark county which gave her a clear mandate of three-quarters of the state’s population. She defeated Heck by almost 27000 votes.
Nevada is the only state in the union that allows voters to choose “none of these candidates” which tends to garner around 2% every election. However, in 2016 that number rose to 3.8% allowing Cortez to win with only 47.1% of the vote as she only won one of Nevada’s 17 counties.
You must log in to post a comment.