New York Governor Race 2022 Polls and Prediction
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Kathy Hochul has maintained a huge lead over Lee Zeldin as per the polls. In the last three New York Governor Polls, she has an average of 12% lead over Lee Zeldin.
New York Governor Polls– Kathy Hochul: 51%, Lee Zeldin: 39%
Latest New York Governor Race 2022 Polls– Kathy Hochul: 54%, Lee Zeldin: 39%
Last 7 Days Google Search Volume– Kathy Hochul: 49%, Lee Zeldin: 51%
Net Social Media Sentiment– Kathy Hochul: -53.7%, Lee Zeldin: -31.4%
CrowdwisdomLive Prediction: Easy win for Hochul but likely to be a margin below 15%
When is the New York Governor’s Race Scheduled?
The 2022 Governor Election in New York is set to take place on November 8th, 2022 to elect the representative.
Zeldin vs Hochul Polls: Prediction Table
|Who is ahead?||Trending Towards|
|Google Search||Kathy Hochul||Zeldin|
|Social Media Sentiment||Lee Zeldin||Zeldin|
Debate on number of debates heats up in New York governor’s race
NY Governor race polls: Campaign Observations and Insights
- The latest New York Governor Poll has Kathy Hochul leading by 15% over her rival candidate Lee Zeldin.
- The pollsters are of the opinion that despite Hochul maintaining a big lead, she is not insurmountable.
- The Approval Rating of Governor Hochul has never crossed 50%. It has mostly been between 42-44%.
- Lee Zeldin is three points ahead among upstate voters and in the New York City suburbs.
- Zeldin is also leading among the independents. He is leading by 44% to 42% over Hochul.
- The major disadvantage of Lee Zeldin is that he is against abortion and gun control law and Hochul is pro both. The majority of the New Yorkers are also pro to both.
- However, Lee Zeldin has not openly talked and expressed his views on abortion and gun control instead he has been targeting Hochul on laws. The two main laws that Zeldin has spoken against are
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Hochul vs Zeldin Polls
|Date||Hochul (D)||Zeldin (R)|
|Average of Hochul vs Zeldin Polls||Sept 23rd||51%||39%|
|Public Policy Polling (D)||Sept 8–9, 2022||54%||39%|
|co/efficient||Sept 5–7, 2022||49%||43%|
|Emerson College||Sept 4–6, 2022||50%||35%|
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Past Gubernatorial Elections
Democrats have won the last 4 Gubernatorial elections in New York State by a minimum of 14 points. Republican George Pataki last won a Gubernatorial election in 2002.
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Google Trends
|Last 7 Days|
|Last 30 Days|
Zeldin vs Hochul Polls: Social Media Sentiment Tracker
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets
New York Governor Race: Lee Zeldin’s Take on Different Issues
Bail Law: Recently Lee Zeldin was at a campaign event, however, within a few days, his attacker was released on cashless bail. He was released on his own recognizance despite being charged with attempted assault in the second degree.
Since then Lee Zeldin has demanded to bring a reform in cashless bail law and also said that the judges should have discretion when considering who should remain in police custody. However, Kathy Hochul refused to comment on this issue and she ruled out any discussion about the amendments to state bail laws until January next year. This move of Kathy Hochul indicates that she does not want to disturb her voter base at any cost until the General elections are over.
Mandatory 40-hour Workweek for Farm Laborers: In the state of New York, previously there was a mandatory 60-hour workweek for the farm laborers and beyond it, the farm owners were to pay bonuses to the laborers. Now New York’s Farm Laborers Wage Board has ended the 60-hour workweek and replaced it with a 40-hour workweek, meaning after 40 hours of work in a week the farm owners will be liable to pay bonuses to the laborers.
Lee Zeldin has started to raise his voice against this move. Recently he was at a farm in Albany County where the farm owners have gathered at the Stanton family farm to protest against this latest rule. However, Kathy Hochul refused to comment on this issue and she ruled out any discussion about the amendments to state bail laws until January next year. This move of Kathy Hochul indicates that she does not want to disturb her voter base at any cost until the General elections are over.
New York Governor Polls: Polling Average Last 3 elections and Result
The politics in New York has been mostly dominated by the Democratic Party. The Governor of New York has been mostly from Democratic Party. The last time a Republican became a Governor of New York was back in 2022 when George Pataki won the Governor election. The last 3 New York Governor’s elections have been won by the Democratic Party. The last 3 New York Governor elections were held in 2010, 2014, and 2018. Here are a few details regarding the last 3 New York Governor elections:
2018 New York Governor Race: The 2018 New York gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018. The incumbent Governor, Andrew Cuomo ran for re-election for 3rd term in the office. He was up against activist Cynthia Nixon in the Primary election whom he defeated without much difficulty.
For the general election, he was up against the Republican Marc Molinaro. The polls for the General election were mostly one-sided with most of the polls predicting an easy win for Andrew Cuomo. The polls gave Cuomo around 15-20% lead over his Republican rival Marc Molinaro. The result of the election was in line with the poll prediction. Andrew Cuomo won the election and was elected to the office of the Governor of New York for the third consecutive time. He polled 59.62% of the total votes. His opponent, Marc Molinaro got a 36.21% vote share.
However, Cuomo could not complete his third term as Governor of New York. He had to resign from the office of the Governor of New York after several charges of sexual harassment. Andrew Cuomo was succeeded by Kathy Hochul as a new Governor of New York.
NY Governor Polls: 2014 New York Governor Race: In 2014, Andrew Cuomo ran for re-election to the second term in the office. However, his Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy did not run for re-election. Kathy Hochul the current Governor of New York ran for the office of Lieutenant Governor.
The election was held on November 4th, 2014. Cuomo and Hochul were up against the Republican Rob Astorino and Chris Moss. The polls for the Governor election were one-sided with almost all the polls giving over 20% lead to Andrew Cuomo over Rob Astorino. However, the result was slightly different than the poll prediction.
Andrew Cuomo was able to retain the office of Governor of New York but his victory lead was less than what was predicted by the polls. Cuomo polled 54.3% of the total votes while Rob Astorino received 40.3% vote share. The victory margin of Andrew Cuomo was 14%.
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: 2010 New York Governor Race: The 2010 New York gubernatorial election was held on November 2nd, 2010. The incumbent Governor David Paterson, elected as lieutenant governor in 2006 as the running mate of Eliot Spitzer, chose not to run for a full term. Therefore, Andrew Cuomo was the Democratic Party’s nominee for the office of Governor of New York. This was for the first time when Andrew Cuomo ran for the office of Governor of New York. He was up against the Republican Carl Paladino.
The polls for the 2010 New York Governor Race were in favor of Andrew Cuomo. Cuomo was predicted to register a massive win over his GOP rival Carl Paladino. The polls predicted around a 20% lead for Andrew Cuomo in the general election.
The result of the General election was bigger than what the polls predicted. Andrew Cuomo defeated Carl Paladino by massive 30 points. Andrew Cuomo received around 63% of the total votes while Carl Paladino got only 33.5% of the total votes.
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: NY Governor Primary Polls Conclusion
The 2022 New York Gubernatorial election is gradually becoming a one-sided affair. The New York Governor Polling in the past has been mostly in favor of the Democrats. The last time a Republican became the Governor of New York was back in 2002 when George Pataki won the election against the Democrat Carl McCall.
The 2022 Governor election for New York is almost heading in favor of the Democrats. The latest New York Governor Polls show an easy win for the incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul. Kathy Hochul is maintaining a good lead over almost all the GOP candidates as per the latest New York Governor Polls 2022.
Her most probable challenger Lee Zeldin is trailing by almost 20% as per the latest New York Gov Polls. The latest New York Governor’s Race Polls have been released by John Zogby Strategies. Here are the latest New York State Polls number:
Now talking about the New York Governor Primary for both Democratic Party and the Republican, in the Democratic field, the race is one-sided with Kathy Hochul heading for a landslide victory as per the latest Dems NY Governor Race Polls. The latest 2022 NY Governor Race poll by Emerson College gives Kathy Hochul an almost 40% lead over her nearest challenger Tom Suozzi.
Talking about the Republican field, the New York Gubernatorial Polls have Lee Zeldin heading for an easy win. As per the latest, GOP Primary Poll published by Emerson College, Lee Zeldin has over a 15% lead over his nearest GOP rival Rob Astorino.
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: How Did New York Vote In 2020?
New York has been a blue state and Democrats have always dominated the state. In 2020 Biden defeated Trump by a massive 23%. Of the total votes polled, Biden got 60.9% while Trump received only 37.7% of the total votes.
New York has a total of 62 counties and has 29 electoral votes. Trump led in 41 counties while Biden with 21 counties to his name won the state. The counties that played an important role in deciding the outcome in New York were:
- Albany County: Biden: 64.8% Trump: 33.2%
- Bronx County: Biden: 83.4% Trump: 15.9%
- Brooklyn County: Biden: 77% Trump: 22.2%
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Candidates in the primaries
Both parties’ primaries see relatively crowded fields with the GOP primary having no clear favorite yet. Here are the candidates running in the primary:
- Rob Astorino, Westchester County executive (2010–2017) and gubernatorial nominee in 2014
- Andrew Giuliani, Former special assistant to the President and Associate Director of the Office of Public Liaison during the Trump administration, Newsmax TV contributor, and son of former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani
- Lee Zeldin, U.S. representative for NY-01 (2015–present)
- Kathy Hochul, the incumbent governor of New York (2021–present); Lt. Governor of New York (2014-2021)
- Jumaane Williams, Advocate
- Thomas Suozzi, US Representative for NY
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Primary Race 2022 Result
GOP Primary Result:
Democratic Primary Result:
New York Governor Race 2022 Polls: Racial Demographics
As per the latest 2020 Census Figures, the demographics of the state are as follows:
White Americans are a majority of voters in the Republican Primary. Democratic strength comes from New York City which is very diverse, however, Trump did well in Staten Island as well as the Orthodox Jewish and white working-class areas in Brooklyn.
Indeed Trump made his biggest gains in the state with non-white voters in New York City. Long Island has been trending rapidly Democratic whereas “Upstate New York” remains competitive for both parties – Democrats win urban cities like Rochester, Buffalo, Albany, and Syracuse while Republicans win in rural areas, especially in the rural western part of the state that borders Pennsylvania.