Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls and Prediction
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Nan Whaley is struggling as per the latest poll numbers. The incumbent Mike DeWine is set to return as he has maintained a lead of 17% in the latest poll.
Ohio Governor Polls (Average of last 3 Polls): Nan Whaley: 37%, Mike DeWine: 48%.
Latest Ohio Governor Polls: Nan Whaley: 33%, Mike DeWine: 50%.
Google Search Share: Mike DeWine: 69%, Nan Whaley: 31%
Social Media Sentiment: Mike Dewine: -9.4%, Nan Whaley: +21.4%
Crowdwisdom360 Prediction: Considering all three data points, the incumbent Governor Mike DeWine is set to return as Governor of Ohio once again.
The 2022 Ohio Governor Election is scheduled for November 8th, 2022. The Primary election was conducted on May 3rd, 2022. Both the Republican and the Democratic Party’s primary election was completely one-sided. Governor DeWine won the primary election by a margin of 20 points against his closest rival Jim Renacci.
Nan Whaley on the other hand registered a thumping win over her rival John Cranley. Nan Whaley secured around 65% of the total votes polled.
AD: Nan Whaley for Ohio Governor in the 2022 General Election
Ohio Governor Polls: Who Will Win the Ohio Governor Race?
Poll: The poll numbers are highly in favor of the incumbent Mike DeWine. He is ahead of Nan Whaley by 17% in the latest poll while having a 13% lead in the average of the last 3 polls. An average (last 3 polls) of 10% of voters are undecided.
Google Search: Mike DeWine is way ahead of Nan Whaley in terms of Google search volume. His search volume is double that of Nan Whaley.
Net Sentiment: The social media sentiment of Nan Whaley is highly positive while Mike DeWine has a negative social media sentiment.
Who will Win the Ohio Governor Race: Considering all the factors, Mike DeWine is set to return as Governor of Ohio. He may win the election by a minimum of 5%.
Ohio Governor Polls: Latest Poll Observation
- In Ohio, Joe Biden has only a 39% Job approval rating and if the elections are held today, only 39% of the Ohio Voters would vote for him.
- For the 2024 Presidential election around 53% of the voters would prefer Biden over Trump.
- The majority of Ohio’s rural voters are in favor of the Republican candidates while in the suburban area voters are divided.
- Economy, jobs, inflation, and taxes are the key issues concerning the Ohio voters.
Ohio Governor Polls 2022: Latest Polls
|Date||Mike DeWine (R)||Nan Whaley (D)|
|Average Of Polls||September 21st||48%||37%|
|Emerson College||Sept 10–13||50%||33%|
|Fallon Research||Sept 6–11||49%||37%|
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: What May Help Nan Whaley Win The Upcoming Governor Race?
For the upcoming Ohio Governor Race, Nan Whaley will be up against the incumbent governor Mike DeWine. There have been no recent polls for the upcoming Ohio Governor Race but one poll conducted over 2 months back by Suffolk University has Mike DeWine ahead of Nan Whaley by 15%. However, the race is still wide open, and here are the three reasons that may help Nan Whaley in the upcoming Governor Race:
1. Abortion Law
By law in Ohio, a woman is allowed to abort her child within 6 weeks of pregnancy. However, most of the time it has been found that a woman may not know about her pregnancy within 6 months. Recently, an incident in Ohio shook everyone. A 10-year-old rape victim had to leave Ohio for an abortion in Indiana because her pregnancy was over 6 weeks by 3 days. After this incident, Mike DeWine did not want to comment on Abortion Law. Nan Whaley has promised to get away with the law after she gets elected.
2. Gun Law
Gun violence has been one of the debating topics in the US after the rising number of gun attacks in the country. The Democratic Party has been advocating for the ban on Guns in the country but Republicans have been against it.
One factor that favors Nan Whaley is her age. Whaley is 46 and many young voters may be attracted to her way of thinking while Mike DeWine is already 75 and the young voters may find it slightly difficult to connect with the views of the incumbent Governor.
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Google Search Trends General Election
Google Search Volume: Google search volume indicates the level of searches of an individual. Mike DeWine’s search volume is more than double that of Nan Whaley’s in Ohio.
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: General Election, Net Social Media Sentiment
Social Media Sentiment: Net Sentiment shows how people feel about a particular individual. The net sentiment of Nan Whaley is better compared to that of Mike DeWine.
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos
Ohio Governor Race Polls 2022: Latest Tweets
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Primary Race Recap and Result
Ohio Governor Race 2022: Ohio Governor Candidates
- Mike DeWine, incumbent Governor of Ohio (2019–present)
- Jim Renacci, former U.S. Representative for Ohio’s 16th congressional district (2011–2019) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018
- Joe Blystone is a Farmer
- Ron Hood, Former State Representative from the 78 district
Democratic Party Candidates
- John Cranley, Mayor of Cincinnati (2013–2022)
- Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton (2014–2022)
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Republican Polls
Ohio Governor Polls: Actual Result Republican
Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Democrat Polls
Ohio Governor Polls: Actual Result Democrats
Ohio Governor Polls: Demography
Ohio has rapidly turned right as Democrats have lost votes in their working-class strongholds in North West Ohio, especially in Mahoning and Trumbull counties. Both counties swung over 25 points in 2020 from 2012 when Obama won the state thanks to his margins in counties like these.
Similar to other states, Democrats have made improvements in educated places – the most educated county in the state, Delaware County, and the northern suburbs of Columbus have swung to the left rapidly along with Hamilton County, home to Cincinnati which was unusually conservative for an urban county pre-Trump.
Democrats have to rely on improving margins in the North West and along Lake Erie if they want to have any chance of retaking the governor’s office. White votes remain a large majority and it’s the same case in both parties’ primaries. Non-white voters are a pivotal voting bloc for Democrats.
Read: Georgia Senate Polls