Oregon Governor Race Polls 2022: Christine Drazan could become the first GOP Governor in 35 years

The Oregon Governor Race will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect the member as governor of Oregon. In 2015, incumbent Kate Brown took charge of the office. Brown will not be contesting re-elections due to two terms limit.

The Gubernatorial election in November will be contested between Tina Kotek (D) vs Christine Drazan (R). Both won their respective primaries on May 17th. Tina Kotek beat her rival Tobias Read 58%-31% while Drazan beat her rival Bob Tiernan 23-18%

Observations and Insights

The Republican party is well placed to win the Gubernatorial election in November. While no polls have been released, here are some statistics that will support this hypothesis

In 2018, the Democrats won the gubernatorial election by a 6.4% margin, it was 7.1% in 2016 (Special election), 5.8% in 2014, 1.5% in 2010 and 7.9% in 2006. The Republicans need a 4% swing to win the 2022 election.

While the Democrats have an advantage on registrations, 500,000 out of 800,000 voters registered in the last 6 years have classified themselves as unaffiliated.

On Google Search, the Republicans and Democrats were 50% each in May 2018. In 2022, during the same week, Republicans are 71% of all searches or 42% ahead. In fact, during the 2020 election, the Republicans were ahead by just 6%.

On Social Media, Tina Kotek is trailing Christine Drazan at the moment.

All of this could change as the campaign rolls out in a few weeks but the environment does not favour the Democrats, for now.

The impact of Betsy Johnson is not yet clear at the moment but she is likely to cause considerable damage to both candidates.

Oregon Governor Race Polls 2022: Google Search, Kotek vs Drazan

Oregon Governor Race Polls 2022: Social Media Net Sentiment, Drazan vs Kotek

Oregon Governor Race Polls 2022: Latest Videos

Christine Drazan wins GOP nomination for Oregon governor

Nicholas Kristof endorses Tina Kotek in governor’s race

Oregon Governor Race Polls 2022: Latest Tweets

Oregon Governor Race Polls 2022: Latest News

1. Tina Kotek wins Democratic primary for Oregon governor
2. Election results: Kotek wins Dem gubernatorial primary, Drazan leads in GOP
3. Oregon’s governor race will almost certainly feature 3 women: Democrat Tina Kotek wins, Republican Christine Drazan holds strong early lead
4. Drazan has a slight lead in the Republican primary for Oregon governor

Oregon Governor Race Polls 2022: Demographics

As per the United State census, the total population of Oregon was 4,237,256 by 2020, and compared to the last census conducted in 2010 it has increased up to 10.17%.

According to the 2020 census, 13% of Oregon’s population is of Hispanic or Latino origin. In Oregon, the Mexican population is up to 10%, Puerto Rican 0.3%, and Cuban 0.1%. Portland is Oregon’s most diverse area while there are high concentrations of Mexican-Americans in Jefferson and Malheur counties.

The majority of the population is situated in Portland as it is located in the metro area. Oregon ranks 12th among the Asian American population and 10th among the Native American population. Oregon has one of the lowest populations of African American origin. This makes Oregon the 39th most densely populated state.

As per 2004 data, Oregon’s foreign-born population exceeds 300,000 and accounts for almost 9% of the total population.

There are five major ancestries living in Oregon majorly white: German with 19%, Irish with 11%, English with 11%, American with 5%, and Norwegian with 3%.

In the Oregon median age of the gender, the population is 39 years of age. The ratio of the female population is 50% and males with 49% as per the current data.

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