Pennsylvania Senate Polls: In Dr. Oz vs Fetterman Fight, It is Advantge Fetterman
| August 10th: Pennsylvania Senate Polls: John Fetterman has a lead over Dr. Mehmet Oz as per the latest poll. Latest Dr Oz Polls: John Fetterman: 47% Dr. Mehmet Oz: 30% Average of Polls: Fetterman: 46.7% Dr. Oz: 36%. Google Search Volume: John Fetterman: 68% Dr. Mehmet Oz: 32% Net Social Sentiment: John Fetterman: -7% Dr. Mehmet Oz: +13.9% |
The 2022 Senate Election in Pennsylvania is set to take place on the 8th of November 2022 which will elect the new member to the US Senate to represent Pennsylvania. Trump-backed Mehmet Oz was declared the winner of the GOP Primary race after the recount. He will be up against the Democratic candidate John Fetterman who had an easy win in the Primary race.
| What are the Advantages of John Fetterman? John Fetterman, the Democrat is up against the Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz in the upcoming PA Senate Race. The polls have given him a digit lead over his rival Dr. Oz. Here are a few advantages of John Fetterman which is helping him in the election: 1. Hitting the Republican Vote Base The rural voters in the USA have been known as the vote base of the Republicans and despite several attempts, the rural voters have more or less remained with the Republicans. However, John Fetterman is defying this trend. According to an article in HoustonChronicles, John Fetterman is one Democratic Party candidate who is set to have huge support also of the rural voters. Fetterman has been following his words, “Every County, Every Vote.” He shows up in every county be it big or small and interacts with the people of that county. This has helped him in increasing his influence also on the rural voters. 2. Favorability Rating of Fetterman Much Higher than Non-Favorability Rating Recently a survey found out that Fetterman has around a 17% lead over his rival GOP candidate, Dr. Mehmet Oz. Apart from this, the survey also found that the favorability of John Fetterman is much higher than that of Dr. Oz. As per the survey, Oz has a 38% unfavorability rating to while Fetterman’s rating is just 19%. 45% had a somewhat or very favorable rating of Fetterman while Oz has only 26% favorable rating. |
Pennsylvania Senate Race Polls: Observations and Insights
- John Fetterman is heading for an easy win in the upcoming PA Senate Race.
- The latest poll by Momentive has Fetterman ahead of Dr. Oz by 17%.
- Fetterman has the support of 49% of Voters in Pennsylvania belonging to 50+ of age.
- Among women voters, Fetterman enjoys the support of 54% whereas just 40% are in favor of voting for Mehmet Oz.
- Oz leads among the men voters. Around 49% of the men voters may support Dr. Oz while 45% of voters are with Fetterman.
- Black Voters are highly behind John Fetterman. Mehmet Oz may succeed in getting the support of only 16% of Black voters.
Pennsylvania Senate Race Polls 2022: Fetterman vs Oz Polls
The very first poll numbers since the Primary election have been and John Fetterman is leading with 6 points as per the poll.
| Polling Company | Date of Polling |
| Average of Polls | August 10th |
| Mehmet Oz | 36% |
| John Fetterman | 46.7% |
| Momentive (D) | July 29th |
| Mehmet Oz (R) | 30% |
| John Fetterman (D) | 47% |
| Fox News | July 26 |
| Mehmet Oz (R) | 36% |
| John Fetterman (D) | 47% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R) | June 24th |
| Mehmet Oz (R) | 38% |
| John Fetterman (D) | 44% |
| Blueprint Polling | June 17th |
| Mehmet Oz (R) | 40% |
| John Fetterman (D) | 49% |
Fetterman vs Oz Polls: GOP Google Search
John Fetterman has risen over the last 7 days on account of increased media coverage of the recount in the primary election.
| John Fetterman (D) | Mehmet Oz (R) | |
| August 10th | 69% | 31% |
| August 5th | 66% | 34% |
| July 15th | 64% | 36% |
Pennsylvania Senate Race 2022 Polls: Net Sentiments
| John Fetterman (D) | Mehmet Oz (R) | |
| August 10th | -41.4% | -52.1% |
| August 5th | -16.2% | -57.5% |
| July 15th | -3.5% | -17.6% |
Pennsylvania Senate Polls: Latest Videos
Oz vs Fetterman Polls: Latest Tweets
Originally tweeted by Dr. Mehmet Oz (@DrOz) on August 9, 2022.
John Fetterman seriously believes that releasing ⅓ of Pennsylvania’s prison population wouldn’t make PA any less safe. We do not want someone this delusional in Washington, folks.
Originally tweeted by John Fetterman (@JohnFetterman) on August 10, 2022.
Getting close to 700k followers 👀 I am NOT able to spend million$ of my own money on this campaign (like Dr. Oz).
Sooo increasing our following here is truly an invaluable way to get our Message out.
RT + follow if you’re ready to flip this Senate seat from 🔴 to 🔵
Pennsylvania Senate Polls: Fundraising Details
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Last Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fetterman (D) | $25,826,082 | $20,327,530 | $5,498,552 | 06/30/2022 |
| Mehmet Oz (R) | $18,996,720 | $17,870,097 | $1,126,623 | 06/30/2022 |
| Everett Stern (I) | $100,917 | $90,742 | $557 | 06/30/2022 |
| Erik Gerhardt (L) | $10,984 | $5,410 | $5,669 | 06/30/2022 |
The Pennsylvania Senate Polls have predicted a win for the Democratic Party’s John Fetterman. In his quest to be elected as the Senator from Pennsylvania, John Fetterman has been able to raise nearly $26M to fund his campaign. Of the total funds raised, he has spent slightly over $20M and is now left with around $5.5M cash in hand. This data is updated on June 30th, 2022.
Mehmet Oz on the hand has been able to raise around $19M to fund his campaign. Of the total funds, he has already spent around $18M. As of June 30, 2022, Mehmet Oz has around $1.12 M cash in hand.
Dr Oz Polls: Candidates’ Strengths
John Fetterman
All Likely Voters: John Fetterman is leading Dr Mehmet Oz when it comes to all likely voters. Josh Shapiro has the support of 50% of all likely voters.
Voters 50+: Around 49% of the voters in age over 50 are likely to support John Fetterman while 46% of the voters in age over 50 years are unlikely to support, Dr Mehmet Oz.
Independents: John Fetterman may be able to garner the support of only 36% of the independent voters.
Women: Women voters are more likely to vote for the Democratic candidate, John Fetterman. 54% of the women voters may vote for John Fetterman.
Men: Among the men voters John Fetterman is not very acceptable. He may get the support to of around 45% of the men voters.
Black Voters: Black Voters seem to be firmly standing behind John Fetterman. 76% of the Black voters are likely to vote for John Fetterman. Pennsylvania has around 11% black population.
Dr. Mehmet Oz
All Likely Voters: Dr. Oz is trailing in the poll as of now. He has the support of 44% of all the likely voters while his opponent John Fetterman has the support of 50% of the likely voters.
Voters 50+: Dr. Mehmet Oz is again trailing Fetterman among the voters over 50 years of age. Around 49% of the voters in age over 50 are likely to support John Fetterman while 46% of the voters in this age group are likely to support Dr. Mehmet Oz.
Independents: Independents are more likely to vote for Dr. Oz than John Fetterman. 48% of the independent voters are more likely to vote for Dr. Mehmet Oz.
Women: Women voters are more likely to lean towards John Fetterman than Dr. Mehmet Oz. Dr Mehmet Oz may get the support of only 40% of the women voters.
Men: Among the men voters Dr. Mehmet Oz is more likely acceptable. He may get the support of around 5% of the men voters.
Black Voters: Black Voters seem to be firmly standing behind John Fetterman. 76% of the Black voters are like to vote for Fetterman while only 16% may back Dr. Mehmet Oz.
Pennsylvania Senate Polls: Last 3 elections
In 1962 Joseph S. Clark Jr. won the Class III Senate election as a Democratic Party candidate. It was the last time when a Democrat was elected as a Class III Senator from Pennsylvania. The Republicans have been at the helm of power when it comes to electing a Senator from Pennsylvania. The last 3 Pennsylvania Senate elections were held in the years 2016, 2010, and 2004. In all three elections, a GOP candidate was elected as a Senator. Here are the details of the last 3 Senate elections in Pennsylvania:
2016 Pennsylvania Senate Election: The 2016 Pennsylvania Senate Race took place on November 8, 2016. Pat Toomey was running for his re-election for 2nd term. The primary election leading up to the General election was held on April 26, 2016. As an incumbent senator, Pat Toomey has no challenger in the Primary election and was nominated as a GOP candidate unopposed.
In the Democratic field, the fight was between three candidates, John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak. Katie McGinty won the Primary election and Joe Sestak was 2nd in the race.
For the General election between Republican Pat Toomey and Democrat Katie McGinty, almost all the polls predicted the election to have a wire finish with Katie McGinty having an edge.
However, the result of the election was different from the prediction. Pat Toomey won the election by a narrow margin. He polled 48.8% of the total votes while Katie McGinty polled 47.3% of the total votes.
2010 Pennsylvania Senate Election: In 2010, Republican Senator Arlen Specter switched to Democrat and contested the Democratic Party’s Primary election. However, he was not lucky enough as he lost the Primary election to Joe Sestak who became the Democratic nominee for the 2010 Pennsylvania Senate election.
For the Republicans, the primary election was completely one-sided with Pat Toomey winning the primary election handsomely. He got over 80% of the total votes.
The 2010 Pennsylvania General election was held on November 2nd, 2010. The fight was between Joe Sestak and Pat Toomey. The polls for the election were completely divided. Of the last 4 polls, two predicted a win for Pat Toomey while the other two predicted a win for Joe Sestak. The election result was a close one. Pat Toomey won the election. He polled 51% of the total votes while Joe Sestak received 49% of the total votes.
2004 Pennsylvania Senate Race: On November 2nd, 2004, the election to elect the Senator from Pennsylvania took place. The fight was between Republican Arlen Specter and Democrat Joe Hoeffel. Arlen Specter was running for re-election for the fifth time. Despite being an incumbent he had a close challenger in the Primary election. Pat Toomey and Arlen Specter went head-to-head in the primary election but Specter won the election as he polled 50.82% of the total votes. Pat Toomey received 49.18% of the total votes.
The Democratic Field had no challenge and Joe Hoeffel was nominated unopposed for the General election. In the General election, the polls predicted an easy win for the incumbent Arlen Specter. Joe Hoeffel did not pose many problems for Arlen’s re-election. Arlen Specter won the election once again. he polled 52.6% of the total votes while his challenger, Joe Hoeffel got a 41.9% vote share. Arlen Specter was elected as the Senator from Pennsylvania for the 5th term.
Pennsylvania Senate Race 2022 Polls: Primary Race Recap
Pennsylvania Senate 2022 Polls: Who Were the Candidates In the Primary Election?
PA Senate Race 2022 Polls: Republican Party
- Kathy Barnette, author, and political commentator
- Jeff Bartos, Businessman
- Mehmet Oz, Surgeon
- David McCormick, CEO of Bridgewater Associates
Pennsylvania Senate Polls: Democratic Party
- John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor for Pennsylvania
- Conor Lamb, US representative for PA
- Malcolm Kenyatta, State representative
PA Senate Race Polls: Democratic Primary Results
| Candidates | Primary votes |
| John Fetterman | 752,402 |
| Conor Lamb | 336,933 |
| Malcolm Kenyatta | 139,260 |
John Fetterman registered a massive win in the Democratic Party’s primary election. He polled over 700K votes. His nearest rival Conor Lamb polled on around 336K votes.
PA Senate Race Polls: Republican Primary Results
| Candidates | Primary Votes |
| Mehmet Oz | 419,999 |
| Kathy Barnette | 331,864 |
| Jeff Bartos | 66,619 |
| David McCormick | 419,048 |
The GOP Primary Race ended up in court after David McCormick demanded the recount of the votes. The result was very close and despite the endorsement of Dr. Mehmet Oz by Donald Trump, he did not have an easy run in the election. The election went down the wire finish. Dr. Mehmet Oz won the election by less than 1000 votes. Mehmet Oz got 419,999 votes while David McCormick received 419,048 votes.
PA Senate Race Polls: Demographics
As per the latest 2020 Census Figures
| Demographics | Proportion |
| White American | 73.5% |
| Black American | 10.5% |
| Hispanic American | 8.1% |
| Asian American | 3.9% |
| Multi-racial | 3.5% |
| Others | 0.5% |
Pennsylvania continues to grow at a steady rate till the next census. Pennsylvania’s Hispanic Population grew around 82.6% from 2000 to 2010 which is one of the largest increases in any state. This happened due to immigration from Puerto Rico, South America, Mexico, and the Dominican Republic and there is also a 60% Asian population located here. The Black and African American community has grown by 13%.
Currently in Pennsylvania, the majority of the population is represented by White Americans. They make up around 73.5% of the total population of Pennsylvania. Black Americans make up around 11% of the total population of Pennsylvania. Other races make up 15% of the population.
Read: Ohio Senate 2022 Preview
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