Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Bruce Harrell gaining Momentum

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Bruce Harrell gaining Momentum
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Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Bruce Harrell is at 42.83% and Lorena Gonzalez at 35.5%

Many potential voters are still undecided

Bruce Harrell is regaining momentum on Google Trends compared to Lorena Gonzalez

Average of latest polls, Google Search Update

The 2021 Seattle Mayoral election is scheduled for November 2nd, 2021.

Incumbent Mayor Jenny Durkan announced that she would retire at the end of her current term and not seek reelection. Fifteen candidates were running in a nonpartisan top-two primary for mayor of Seattle, Washington, on August 3, 2021.
Prior to the November 2nd election, a nonpartisan primary election was held on August 3rd to select the final two candidates.

The top 2 candidates who made it to the next step of the election were Bruce Harrell and Lorena Gonzalez who belong to the Moderate and Progressive wings of the Democratic Party Respectively

There will be 2 debates between both the candidates
The first one will be on October 14th
The second one will be on October 28th

Seattle Mayoral Elections 2021: Latest News

Bruce Harrell and M. Lorena González, a current council member, are combined up in the November 2 election as ballots scheduled to be mailed this week.

The TV spot is paid for by an independent political action committee that supports González to make a connection between Harrell and Donald Trump via a donor. Harrell has criticized the commercial as insulting and misguiding, while González is saying voters should know about the information.

Highlighting Seattle Times column, “As per the Capitol riot, Trump’s ‘top’ Seattle contributor donated to Bruce Harrell’s campaign for mayor,” the ad says over footage from the U.S. Capitol attack by Trump supporters.

Seattle resident George Petrie, the CEO of Goodman Real Estate, had donated $2,800 to the Trump Make America Great Again PAC monthly since January 6, $550 to Harrell’s campaign, and more to an independent, pro-Harrell PAC.

“Bruce Harrell returned $550, on the other hand, Trump’s contributor and his wife put $100,000 into ‘Bruce Harrell for Seattle’s Future,’” he stated, the ad paid for by the Essential Workers for Lorena PAC, closing with sounds from the U.S. Capitol attack. “Seattle’s Future?”

Essential Workers for Lorena PAC, which recently reported spending about $380,000 on anti-Harrell TV commercials, is funded by unions that represent retail, hotel, and service workers. George Petrie has contributed $61,250 and Alyssa Petrie $38,750 to Bruce Harrell for Seattle’s Future, which also has many other real estate executives as major donors.

Meanwhile, Harrell’s campaign is running TV ads “Help people out of parks and into housing; add more officers and improve community safety through the rise and non-armed response; address the climate crisis with 100% clean buildings.”

BIPOC mayoral candidates set to make history in upcoming Seattle election | KIRO 7 News



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Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Latest Polls

Until now , the Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls has seen only 3 polls released after the Preliminary election results were released by August 17th

Polling Company
Date
Bruce Harrell
Lorena Gonazlez
Undecided
Average
7th to 16th Sept
42.33%
35%
20.3%
13th-16th Sept
40%
33%
27%
11th to 14th September
45%
45%
10%
7th to 9th September
42%
27%
24%

As per the findings of the Komo News and Strategies poll

  • Bruce Harrel comands a 7 point lead over Lorena Gonzalez.
  • 27% of voters are still undecided, hence the race can still go anyway.
  • The support for the candidates is uniform across the city
  • Concerns about homelessness and public safety are driving voter choices in this election, including the current efforts that clearly aren’t working
  • 37% believe Harrell would do a better job handling homelessness compared to 30% for Gonzalez
  • 38% believe Harrell would be better for jobs and the economy compared to 24% for Gonzalez
  • 39% believe Harrell would reduce crime compared to 22% for Gonazlez
  • 56% of all aged 50 and above support Harrell
  • 42% of whites and 31% of non whites support Harrell
  • 41% of those between 18-49 support Gonzales
  • 33% of whites and 35% of non whites support gonzales
  • 59% of very liberals and 77% of socialists are rallying behind Gonzales
  • 58% of Moderates and 66% of conservatives are firmly behind Harrell.
  • 42% of those who call themselves somewhat liberal and 34% support Harrell and Gonzales respectively

As per the findings of GQR Research which was an internal poll of the Lorena Gonzalez campaign

  • Both Bruce Harrell and Gonzalez are tied at 45% of support
  • González gets her support from Democrats, younger voters, voters of color, union households, and renters.
  • Harrell draws support from Independents and Republicans, seniors, and homeowners.
  • A simulated campaign that includes contrasts against both González and Harrell shifts the race decidedly in González’s favor.


As per the findings of this very detailed poll from CrossCut/Elway Research:-

  • Bruce Harrell is currently in the lead with 42%
  • Lorena Gonzalez is second with 24%
  • A large proportion of voters are still undecided
  • 54% of people aged 65 and above and 47% of people aged between 50-64 support Bruce Harrell
  • 30% of those who support Bruce Harell support him because of his views on specific issues
  • Atleast 15% support him because he is a moderate
  • Atleast 22% are voting for him because they don’t like his opponent or her philosophy
  • A plurality i.e.36% of people aged 18-35 and 36-50 support Lorena Gonzalez
  • 36% of Respondents who support Lorena Gonzalez support her because of Philosophy+Progressive Ideology
  • Atleast 17% support her because of her stance on issues

Seattle mayoral candidate Lorena González outlines plan to tackle homelessness

Racial Demographics of Seattle
There are over 483,000 registered voters in Seattle

As per the 2014-18 American Community Services(ACS) Estimates:-

Demographic
Proportion
White American (Non -Hispanic)
64.5%
Asian American
14.9%
Hispanic American
6.6%
African American
6.8%
Multi-Racial
6.0%
Native American
0.5%
Pacific Islander
0.3%
Other
0.3%

Seattle is one of the most Liberal Cities in the USA.

Local Elections are non-partisan but almost all the city-wide elected officials are registered, Democrats. Seattle is part of 2 COngressional Districts- the 7th and the 9th which have elected Democratic Representatives by huge margins for the last 10 years

In the last 5 Presidential elections, the Republican party has never crossed more than 20% of the total vote.

Year
Democratic Voteshare
Republican Voteshare
2020
88.45%
9.11%
2016
84.22%
8.44%
2012
83.01%
13.74%
2008
84.32%
13.81%
2004
80.50%
17.87%

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Google Search Update, Oct 8th

From August 17th, Bruce Harrell has been ahead on Google Trends.

Lorena Gonzalez did gain some momentum from 20th-25th September, but she then slowly started to lose it. Now Bruce Harrell is winning back momentum while Lorena Gonzalez is losing ground

Last 7 days:-
Bruce Harrell: 83% Lorena Gonzalez: 17%

seattle 4

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls : What are the Prediction and Betting Odds?

On Smarkets, Bruce Harrell has a 65.79% chance of winning

The odds of Bruce Harrell : Lorena Gonzalez is at 1.5 : 2.38


Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Latest Campaign News, Oct 8th

Articles that are written by partisan websites are marked ether by(D) or (R). Article choices are driven by their appearance on Google.

Seattle Homelessness debate

October 12th

Seattle ads rolling out

October 8th

Seattle business leaders say dire situation downtown demands swift action

Seattle Mayoral debates set for Oct. 14 and 28

Submit your questions for the Seattle Mayoral Debate

October 6th

Seattle mayoral candidates propose tackling climate change through transit, housing

Seattle mayoral candidate Bruce Harrell: City needs ‘sense of urgency’ to address homeless crisis

Seattleites cite homelessness, public safety as top concerns in new survey

Seattle city attorney’s race: A stark choice marks the 2021 ballot

Seattle elections are nonpartisan, but some November candidates see group divide
Moderate vs Progressive divides among Democrats

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Latest Videos, October 8th

Meet the Candidates: What’s your vision for the future of work and downtown Seattle?

Seattle City Mayor candidates rapid-fire

Let’s Clear the Air: Climate and Environmental Justice Mayoral Forum

Seattle Cultural Sector Candidate Forum

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Latest Tweets, 8th October

Tweet Collection below will invariably be partisan and should usually have an equal number from both sides

Originally tweeted by Tom Layson (@TomLayson) on October 8, 2021.

Tonight at 7:30 on @KBTCtv @NorthwestNow is in a discussion with @bruceharrell about the upcoming #election. I’ll see you tonight.

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Originally tweeted by Tammy J. Morales (@TammyMoralesSEA) on October 7, 2021.

What do unions hope to win by supporting @MLorenaGonzalez for mayor? Well…I can think of a few things.

Economic security, worker protections, the right to a voice on the job, safe working conditions, good benefits for their families, worker power. Sounds pretty good to me. ¡El pueblo unido jamás será vencido! #VoteLorena

Originally tweeted by Bruce Harrell (@bruceforseattle) on October 7, 2021.

I believe in a Seattle where opportunities are abundant and all can thrive. Together, we can reset City Hall and restore Seattle’s promise – for everyone.

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: Who were the candidates in the Primary Election and what Happened?

On August 3rd voting begun, after 14 days of counting the results of the Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls primary were finally released in their entirety

Bruce Harrell was widely expected to be the frontrunner, but very few expected the distance between him and Lorena Gonzalez to be this close.

As these two were the first 2 candidates,they went to the next round of this election

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Seattle mayoral candidates say the city is at an 'existential' point |  Crosscut

Preliminary election for the November 2nd Seattle Mayoral General election will be held on August 3rd. A total of 15 candidates are in fray for the August 3rd Primary election. The preliminary election is a non-partisan primary.

The top two candidates to get the most votes will move to the final round.
Among the 15 candidates, 8 candidates have been able to grab the media attention. The candidates are Colleen Echohawk, Jessyn Farrell, Lorena González, Bruce Harrell, Andrew Grant Houston, Lance Randell, Arthur K. Langlie and Casey Sixkiller.
The candidates are:

Colleen Echohawk

Colleen Echohawk is the Former executive director of Chief Seattle Club. She has been living in Settle since past 24 years. She’s an enrolled member of the Katehaki Band of the Pawnee Nation and a member of the Upper Athabascan people of Mentasta Lake. She had announced her candidacy in late January.

Colleen Echohawk making homelessness the center of her bid for Seattle mayor

Jessyn Farrell

Jessyn Farrell is Senior vice president at Civic Ventures. She was raised in northeast Seattle and Lake Forest Park and have lived in Seattle ever since then. She graduated from the University of Washington and Boston College Law School.

Lorena González

Lorena González is currently Civil rights attorney and the present Seattle City Council president. González grew up in Central Washington in a migrant farm-working family.

Bruce Harrell

Bruce Harrell is Attorney and former Seattle City Council member. He announced his campaign via an “open letter” to the city of Seattle in the month of March 2021.

Andrew Grant Houston

Andrew Grant Houston is Architect and owner of House Cosmopolitan. He declared his candidacy in the early days of 2021. Houston’s campaign is focused on climate change and housing.

Lance Randall

Lance Randall is a small business owner, political scientist, economic development practitioner and a musician. He is currently serving as director of economic development for SEED Seattle.

Arthur K. Langlie

Arthur K. Langlie is the grandson of a former Seattle mayor and Washington governor. He works as a Senior executive in the construction industry.

Casey Sixkiller

Casey Sixkiller is Former deputy mayor for Seattle. He announced his candidacy in the month of May 2021. Sixkiller has also served as King County’s chief operating officer. He’s an enrolled citizen of the Cherokee Nation.

The other candidates running for the August 3rd Primary election are:

Don L. Rivers, Stan Lippmann, Clinton Bliss, Henry Clay Dennison, James Donaldson, Omari Tahir-Garrett and Rodney Holt.

Analysis: In Seattle mayoral race, top contenders must make a case for change, Both Lorena González and Bruce Harrell come with City Hall baggage

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: How is the Election Held?

Elections for the next Seattle Mayoral will begin with a Primary election scheduled for August 3rd. Elections in Washington use a nonpartisan blanket primary that selects the top two candidates. All the candidates will appear on the ballot for the Primary election whether endorsed by any party or not.

Washington elections have been vote-by-mail in every county since 1990.

  • Voting can only be done by absentee ballot, typically mailed to registered voters 20 days ahead of the election deadline, and returned by US Mail.
  • Designated ballot drop boxes are available as an alternative to mailing, and voters with disabilities can get assistance in person beginning 18 days before election day.
  • Mail in ballots must be postmarked by midnight of the election day, or delivered to the drop box by 8 pm.

Have you returned your ballot? Here’s everything you need to know about the upcoming primary election in Seattle:

Seattle Mayoral Race 2021 Polls: What happened in last Election?

The last Seattle Mayoral Election was held in the year 2017. The incumbent mayor back then, Ed Murray sought re-election, but after allegations of sexual abuse he resigned from his position in September 2017 and called off his campaign.

For the Primary election, 21 candidates were in fray. The candidates included the likes of Jenny Durkan, Cary Moon, Nikkita Oliver, Jessyn Farrell former Mayor Mike McGinn, and State Senator Bob Hasegawa. After the Primary election, former U.S. Attorney Jenny Durkan and civic activist Cary Moon advanced to the General election which was held on November 7, 2017.

In general election, Jenny Durkan received 56.25% vote percentage while Carey Moon got 43.75% votes. On November 28 Jenny Durkan officially took over as Mayor of Seattle. She became the first female mayor of Seattle since Bertha Knight Landes was elected in 1926.

Read: 2021 Virginia Governor Election Opinion Polls: Youngkin agrees to Northern Virginia debate with McAuliffe

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