FIFA World Cup 2022: Iran vs Wales Prediction

FIFA World Cup 2022: Iran vs Wales Prediction

Iran vs Wales Prediction

When is Wales most likely to score a goal? Based on our analysis, Wales is likely to score in both halves, but the chances of them scoring in the second half are higher.

When is Iran likely to score a goal? Iran are more likely to score in the second half.

Who is likely to score a goal for Wales? Brennan Johnson is most likely to score for Wales.

Who is Likely to score a goal for Iran? Mehdi Taremi is most likely to score a goal for Iran.

Goal Prediction? Wales: 2, Iran: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate the recent performances

Iran and Wales are set to play at the Al Rayyan Stadium on Saturday in Group B of the 2022 FIFA World Cup. Both teams had contrasting results on Matchday 1.

When Alireza Beiranvand and Majid Hosseini, a teammate, clashed, Iran was dealt a bad hand early on. Prior to being carried off in the 19th minute, Beiranvand initially continued to play.

Afterward, England scored 6 goals in the Mauling to crush Iran. Taremi scored 2 consolation goals for Iran.

In what was deemed to be the most crucial game for both teams, the United States and Wales battled to a gritty, hard-fought 1-1 draw in their World Cup Group B opener on Monday night at the Ahmad bin Ali Stadium in Qatar.

Iran vs Wales Prediction and Odds: Goal Analysis (World Cup Qualification: Last five matches)

  • Wales has not lost a single game in the last five matches in the world cup qualification. Wales has won four and drew one.
  • The total goal aggregate for the last five matches is 10:4. Wales averaged two goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals per match.
  • Wales has scored 2 or more goals in the two matches. scoring 5 against Belarus and 2 against Austria.
  • Approximately 60% of Wales’ goals in the World Cup qualification came in the second half.

Iran: Goal Analysis (World Cup Qualification: Last five matches)

  • In its last five World Cup Qualifications games, Iran has won four and lost one.
  • Iran played its last five games against Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, the UAE and South Korea.
  • Iran’s only loss came against South Korea, where Iran failed to score any goal.
  • The total number of goals Iran has scored in their last five games stands at 7:2 with Iran scoring two or more goals against Syria and Lebanon.

Wales vs Iran Prediction: Last game attack analysis

Wales dominated the USA in the last game and the scoreline doesn’t show the whole picture. Wales played with expected goals of 1.55 to the USA’s 0.75. Wales shot 7 shots against the USA with a shooting accuracy of 42% and missed 2 big chances. Wales looked most threatening in Set pieces with 0.65 expected goals from them. Wales, like their World Cup Qualification campaign, looked most dangerous in the second half against the USA.


  • 40% Probability to score a goal from Set Pieces against Iran.
  • 62% Probability of Wale scoring in the second half

Iran looked most threatening in the second half and it is evident after trailing 3-0 in the first half. Iran scored 0.25 more goals than their total expected goals. Iran had a combined xG of 1.75 and threatened to score more from their open play. Iran shot 8 shots with a shooting accuracy of 32% and missed one big chance.

Insights: Likely to score fewer goals against Wales with an xG lower than actual goals.

Wales vs Iran Prediction: Forward Statistics


In his 11 Premier League games, Brennan Johnson has 6 shots on target out of a total of 10 shots and 2 goals. Brennan Johnson makes 13 passes on average each game, with a 64% accuracy percentage. With good shooting accuracy, Johnson has scored three goals for Wales in the previous five games.

This season, Gareth Bale appeared in two US Major Soccer League games, took 14 shots overall with 6 of them finding the back of the net, and netted two goals. Gareth Bale averaged 12 passes per game, completing them at an 82%.

World Cup Goals: Wales (2022)

Gareth Bale: 1 (Penalty)


For quite some time, Sardar Azmoun has been the team’s top forward for Iran. The forward scored 10 goals in 14 games during the Asian World Cup qualifying, averaging 0.77 goals per game with above-average shooting accuracy.

Mehdi Taremi displayed similar brilliance throughout the World Cup qualification. In 13 games, the attacking midfielder scored 7 goals, averaging 0.59 goals per game.

World Cup Goals: Iran (2022)

Mehdi Taremi: 2 goals (Non-Penalty: 1, Penalty: 1)

Wales vs Iran Prediction: Defensive Analysis

Wales’s goal conceding xG against the USA was a meagre 0.75. Wales put up a strong defensive performance with stellar performance on Interceptions, Clearances and tackles.

  • Wales made 8 interceptions, 1 block and 29 clearances.

Iran might find themselves unlucky, as England scored more goals despite 2.11 xG. England played a very well-organized game where everything fell into place for them. England’s shooting precision combined with a technically superior finish propelled them against Iran.

  • Iran made 16 interceptions coupled with 4 Blocks and 13 Clearances against England.

Wales vs Iran Prediction: Head-to-Head Statistics

Wales and Iran have played only one game, dating back to 1978, where Wales defeated Iran 1-0 in an International Friendly.

  • Both teams are yet to play against each other in the World Cup.

Wales vs Iran Prediction and Odds


Wales World Cup Squad

Goalkeepers: Wayne Hennessey, Danny Ward, Adam Davies

Defenders: Ben Davies, Ben Cabango, Tom Lockyer, Joe Rodon, Chris Mepham, Ethan Ampadu, Chris Gunter, Neco Williams, Connor Roberts

Midfielders: Sorba Thomas, Joe Allen, Matthew Smith, Dylan Levitt, Harry Wilson, Joe Morrell, Jonny Williams, Aaron Ramsey, Rubin Colwill

Forwards: Gareth Bale, Kieffer Moore, Mark Harris, Brennan Johnson, Dan James

Iran World Cup Squad

Goalkeepers: Hossein Hosseini, Amir Abedzadeh, Mohammad Reza Akhbari, Payam Niazmand

Forwards: Karim Ansarifard, Mehdi Ghayedi, Allahyar Sayyadmanesh, Mohammad Mohebi, Kaveh Rezaei

Defenders: Morteza Pouraliganji, Ramin Rezaeian, Milad Mohammadi, Majid Hosseini, Rouzbeh Cheshmi, Omid Noorafkan

Midfielders: Omid Ebrahimi, Mehdi Torabi, Saman Ghoddos, Ali Gholizadeh, Ali Karimi, Milad Sarlak

Wales vs Iran Prediction: Final Analysis and Insights

Wales in its last five World Cup Qualifier games are averaging two goals per match and its xG in its last game against the USA was more in line with its goal-scoring average in the Qualifiers. On the other hand, Iran has conceded two or more goals in three of its last five World Cup games and its conceding xG did not show any difference.

Wales outperform Iran in all aspects of the game. The quality of the team and statistics are in Wales’ favor, as evidenced by the 1-0 victory by the Cymru in their last head-to-head.

Prediction: Wales: 2, Iran: 1

*Wales to win but we see Iran scoring a goal too.

* Over 2.5 goals

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